
Volume
$76K
Txns
2,356
Traders
589
Fees
$0
Ends
May 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model by DeepSeek has a higher arena score than all OpenAI models on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) at any point by May 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that the arena score must be higher - if it ties with the best OpenAI arena score it will not count. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Trades
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 93%$3.09Mvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 90%$1.78Mvolume
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
No 90%$84.4Kvolume
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
No 100%$661Kvolume
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
No 100%$2.83Mvolume
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
No 52%$725Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | Plant2tri | No / 99.9¢ | -81.91 | $81.8 | |
| 1y | MAGA.MUSK | No / 99.9¢ | +81.91 | $81.8 | |
| 1y | 0x386f...d343b1 | No / 99.9¢ | -5.34 | $5.33 | |
| 1y | 0x2496...f385e8 | No / 99.9¢ | -8.16 | $8.15 | |
| 1y | 0xcd43...499626 | No / 99.9¢ | -5.50 | $5.49 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.8¢ | -234.87 | $234 | |
| 1y | 0xcfbe...c318cf | No / 99.9¢ | -7.51 | $7.5 | |
| 1y | 0x897f...5c5ce1 | No / 99.9¢ | -7.28 | $7.27 | |
| 1y | qwertzu | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | MAGA.MUSK | No / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 1y | 0x6876...045f02 | No / 99.9¢ | -5.77 | $5.76 | |
| 1y | 0xd547...a976a3 | No / 99.9¢ | -7.15 | $7.14 | |
| 1y | 0x638d809F32E9e45c91Dd9Ac3EAd1551a2cc25536-1740056539725 | No / 99.9¢ | -10.33 | $10.3 | |
| 1y | Plant2tri | No / 99.9¢ | -658.09 | $657 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.8¢ | -1.70 | $1.7 | |
| 1y | melinda42 | No / 99.8¢ | +1.70 | $1.7 | |
| 1y | lauraellis | No / 99.8¢ | +1.15 | $1.15 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.8¢ | -1.15 | $1.15 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.8¢ | -1.49 | $1.49 | |
| 1y | agay | No / 99.8¢ | +1.49 | $1.49 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.8¢ | -20.16 | $20.1 | |
| 1y | Dando | No / 99.8¢ | +20.16 | $20.1 | |
| 1y | Razirback | No / 99.0¢ | -0.01 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | SYSY.CN | No / 99.0¢ | +0.01 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | luciferx | No / 99.8¢ | +1.00 | $1 |
1–25