
Volume
$1M
Txns
7,740
Traders
929
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Trades
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Yes 100%$0volume
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
No 75%$0volume
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Yes 73%$0volume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?
Yes 94%$0volume
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?
No 96%$0volume
Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?
Yes 53%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +55.56 | $0.06 | |
| 6mo | ZhangMuZhi- | No / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 6mo | Yukaii | Yes / 0.1¢ | +44.44 | $0.04 | |
| 6mo | Nexuus | Yes / 0.1¢ | +38.78 | $0.04 | |
| 6mo | Ignisss | Yes / 0.1¢ | +11.86 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | Yukaii | Yes / 0.1¢ | +9.45 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | ZhangMuZhi- | No / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 6mo | Snpe | Yes / 0.1¢ | +39.91 | $0.04 | |
| 6mo | ZhangMuZhi- | No / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 6mo | Ignisss | Yes / 0.1¢ | +30.02 | $0.03 | |
| 6mo | Pestle | Yes / 0.1¢ | +30.77 | $0.03 | |
| 6mo | ObsidianPM | Yes / 0.1¢ | +39.21 | $0.04 | |
| 6mo | flywheelpoly | No / 99.7¢ | -5.00 | $4.99 | |
| 6mo | d68e | Yes / 0.3¢ | -5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | flycococo1212 | No / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 6mo | 0xe8d0E6f73B49Ef07078562dB4b12974EEf365542-1722338495689 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | power1337 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +13.86 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | power1337 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +9.65 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | triklozoid | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | power1337 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +9.35 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | power1337 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.24 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | power1337 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.41 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +4.99 | $0 | |
| 6mo | puruhan | Yes / 0.1¢ | -264.00 | $0.26 | |
| 6mo | power1337 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.43 | $0.01 |
1–25