
Volume
$528K
Txns
4,389
Traders
666
Fees
$0
Ends
Jun 30, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI publicly releases the weights of a reasoning model (e.g., o1, o3) or a large language model (LLM) that is as advanced as GPT-3 by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Multimodal models (e.g., DALL·E, vision-language models), speech or audio-based models (e.g., Whisper), specialized AI agents or reinforcement learning models (e.g., robotics, AlphaCode-like systems) or models that otherwise do not meet the listed criteria will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
Yes 100%$1.21Mvolume
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?
Yes 100%$796Kvolume
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Yes 100%$1.24Mvolume
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Yes 100%$809Kvolume
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Yes 100%$814Kvolume
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?
Yes 100%$352Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11mo | Ordon | No / 99.9¢ | +5.19 | $5.18 | |
| 11mo | userrname | No / 99.9¢ | -5.19 | $5.18 | |
| 11mo | pootytherewardfarmer | Yes / 0.1¢ | +98.00 | $0.1 | |
| 11mo | LBZero | No / 99.8¢ | -51.00 | $50.9 | |
| 11mo | Parz1vaI | No / 99.9¢ | -1,061.79 | $1.06K | |
| 11mo | Ordon | No / 99.9¢ | +1,260.79 | $1.26K | |
| 11mo | 0x74a292 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 11mo | Parz1vaI | No / 99.9¢ | -50.00 | $50 | |
| 11mo | 0x74a292 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 11mo | Parz1vaI | No / 99.9¢ | -1,500.00 | $1.5K | |
| 11mo | rep | No / 99.9¢ | +1,500.00 | $1.5K | |
| 11mo | rep | No / 99.9¢ | +2,000.00 | $2K | |
| 11mo | Parz1vaI | No / 99.9¢ | -2,000.00 | $2K | |
| 11mo | Parz1vaI | No / 99.9¢ | -7.77 | $7.76 | |
| 11mo | ArcLing | No / 99.9¢ | +7.77 | $7.76 | |
| 11mo | JoE | No / 99.9¢ | +21.41 | $21.4 | |
| 11mo | Parz1vaI | No / 99.9¢ | -21.41 | $21.4 | |
| 11mo | 0x74a292 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 11mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -156.60 | $156 | |
| 11mo | Parz1vaI | No / 99.9¢ | -214.19 | $214 | |
| 11mo | Car | Yes / 0.1¢ | -420.79 | $0.42 | |
| 11mo | JustinCase | No / 99.4¢ | -50.00 | $49.7 | |
| 11mo | whyuasostupid | Yes / 0.6¢ | -50.00 | $0.3 | |
| 11mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 11mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +32.00 | $0.03 |
1–25