 December 31 Yes 47.62 net shares | 21.0¢ / 20.0¢ | -$10 (-100.0%) | $4.76 23.81 shares | Apr 25, 2026 10:04 PM | |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? Yes 29.63 net shares | 27.0¢ / 28.0¢ | -$8 (-100.0%) | $4.15 14.81 shares | Apr 25, 2026 9:58 PM | |
 September 30 Yes 53.33 net shares | 15.0¢ / 14.0¢ | -$8 (-100.0%) | $3.73 26.67 shares | Apr 25, 2026 10:04 PM | |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes 10.53 net shares | 57.0¢ / 59.0¢ | -$6 (-100.0%) | $3.11 5.26 shares | Apr 25, 2026 10:06 PM | |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? Yes 75.00 net shares | 8.0¢ / 8.0¢ | -$6 (-100.0%) | $3 37.50 shares | Apr 25, 2026 9:58 PM | |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes 13.95 net shares | 43.0¢ / 39.7¢ | -$6 (-100.0%) | $2.77 6.98 shares | Apr 25, 2026 10:13 PM | |
 25 bps increase Yes 171.43 net shares | 3.5¢ / 2.8¢ | -$6 (-100.0%) | $2.4 85.71 shares | Apr 25, 2026 10:33 PM | |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? Yes 11.43 net shares | 35.0¢ / 39.0¢ | -$4 (-100.0%) | $2.23 5.71 shares | Apr 25, 2026 10:06 PM | |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes 30.77 net shares | 13.0¢ / 14.0¢ | -$4 (-100.0%) | $2.15 15.38 shares | Apr 25, 2026 10:00 PM | |
June 30 Yes 85.71 net shares | 7.0¢ / 5.0¢ | -$6 (-100.0%) | $2.14 42.86 shares | Apr 25, 2026 10:03 PM | |
 May 31 Yes 7.02 net shares | 57.0¢ / 58.0¢ | -$4 (-100.0%) | $2.04 3.51 shares | Apr 25, 2026 10:48 PM | |
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? Yes 19.05 net shares | 21.0¢ / 18.0¢ | -$4 (-100.0%) | $1.71 9.52 shares | Apr 25, 2026 10:13 PM | |
 Janez Janša No 15.38 net shares | 26.0¢ / 22.0¢ | -$4 (-100.0%) | $1.69 7.69 shares | Apr 25, 2026 10:34 PM | |
 8–9 No 10.00 net shares | 25.7¢ / 33.8¢ | -$2.57 (-100.0%) | $1.69 5.00 shares | Apr 27, 2026 12:53 AM | |
May 31 Yes 117.65 net shares | 3.4¢ / 2.7¢ | -$4 (-100.0%) | $1.59 58.82 shares | Apr 25, 2026 10:03 PM | |
25 bps decrease Yes 74.07 net shares | 5.4¢ / 4.1¢ | -$4 (-100.0%) | $1.52 37.04 shares | Apr 25, 2026 10:32 PM | |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? Yes 76.92 net shares | 5.2¢ / 3.7¢ | -$4 (-100.0%) | $1.42 38.46 shares | Apr 25, 2026 9:56 PM | |
 Decrease No 11.76 net shares | 17.0¢ / 21.0¢ | -$2 (-100.0%) | $1.24 5.88 shares | Apr 26, 2026 9:00 PM | |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes 20.00 net shares | 10.0¢ / 11.0¢ | -$2 (-100.0%) | $1.1 10.00 shares | Apr 25, 2026 10:19 PM | |
 April 30 Yes 14.29 net shares | 14.0¢ / 15.0¢ | -$2 (-100.0%) | $1.07 7.14 shares | Apr 25, 2026 10:48 PM | |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? Yes 12.50 net shares | 16.0¢ / 17.0¢ | -$2 (-100.0%) | $1.06 6.25 shares | Apr 25, 2026 10:06 PM | |
 Major solar storm by April 30? No 2.09 net shares | 95.5¢ / 98.6¢ | -$2 (-100.0%) | $1.03 1.05 shares | Apr 26, 2026 7:47 PM | |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No 1.56 net shares | 64.0¢ / 66.0¢ | -$1 (-100.0%) | $1.03 1.56 shares | Apr 26, 2026 7:45 PM | |
 Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30? No 2.33 net shares | 86.0¢ / 88.0¢ | -$2 (-100.0%) | $1.02 1.16 shares | Apr 26, 2026 7:44 PM | |
 No change Yes 2.90 net shares | 69.0¢ / 70.0¢ | -$2 (-100.0%) | $1.01 1.45 shares | Apr 26, 2026 7:56 PM |
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