Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
ActiveVolume
$3K
Txns
151
Traders
51
Fees
$30
Liquidity
$13,214
Ends
Dec 9, 2026
Volume
$3K
Txns
151
Traders
51
Fees
$30
Liquidity
$13,214
Ends
Dec 9, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate hikes will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 99%$21.3Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 82%$20.8Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 52%$4.65Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$11.2Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$8.71Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Yes 83%$1.46Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9h | uncleroger | Yes / 38.0¢ | +9.68 | $3.68 | |
| 9h | 0x0a38DcF3740eE299a0607E80CB955C42a34cF931-1727027089095 | No / 62.0¢ | +9.68 | $6.12 | |
| 9h | 0x0a38DcF3740eE299a0607E80CB955C42a34cF931-1727027089095 | No / 62.0¢ | +250.00 | $158 | |
| 9h | uncleroger | Yes / 38.0¢ | +250.00 | $95 | |
| 12h | uncleroger | Yes / 38.0¢ | +40.32 | $15.8 | |
| 12h | AJSV | No / 62.0¢ | +40.32 | $25 | |
| 1d | AAK.81 | Yes / 35.0¢ | +20.00 | $7 | |
| 1d | 0x0a38DcF3740eE299a0607E80CB955C42a34cF931-1727027089095 | No / 65.0¢ | +20.00 | $13.2 | |
| 1d | Elias.Thornwell | Yes / 41.0¢ | +5.32 | $2.18 | |
| 1d | 0x0a38DcF3740eE299a0607E80CB955C42a34cF931-1727027089095 | No / 59.0¢ | +5.32 | $3.2 | |
| 4d | Butlerian | Yes / 45.0¢ | +25.00 | $11.3 | |
| 4d | Butlerian | Yes / 46.0¢ | +25.00 | $11.5 | |
| 4d | 0x0a38DcF3740eE299a0607E80CB955C42a34cF931-1727027089095 | No / 54.5¢ | +50.00 | $27.9 | |
| 4d | 52adsa | Yes / 47.0¢ | +5.53 | $2.6 | |
| 4d | wavesinthesky | Yes / 45.8¢ | -5.53 | $2.53 | |
| 4d | wavesinthesky | Yes / 42.0¢ | -5.00 | $2.1 | |
| 4d | planktonXD | Yes / 42.0¢ | +5.00 | $2.16 | |
| 4d | BornAgain26 | Yes / 41.0¢ | +6.66 | $2.81 | |
| 4d | TerranSupremacy | Yes / 41.0¢ | -6.66 | $2.73 | |
| 4d | BornAgain26 | Yes / 36.0¢ | +3.47 | $1.29 | |
| 4d | flexer78 | No / 64.0¢ | +3.47 | $2.22 | |
| 5d | Elias.Thornwell | Yes / 35.0¢ | +1.54 | $0.54 | |
| 5d | kris86 | No / 65.0¢ | +1.54 | $1.02 | |
| 6d | Colala | No / 69.0¢ | -14.49 | $10 | |
| 6d | hdm656151 | No / 69.0¢ | +14.49 | $10.2 |
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