
Volume
$15K
Txns
685
Traders
79
Fees
$159
Liquidity
$26,302
Ends
Oct 28, 2026
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
Trades
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 78%$4.72Mvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
No 80%$5.01Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
No 99%$2.11Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
No 100%$1.82Mvolume
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes 52%$2.98Mvolume
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 79%$5.99Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24m | Oklmntrader | Yes / 54.0¢ | +20.00 | $10.8 | |
| 24m | KickstandBot | No / 46.0¢ | +20.00 | $9.45 | |
| 26m | ViscaElBarca | Yes / 52.8¢ | -50.00 | $26.4 | |
| 26m | Bodytobody | Yes / 54.0¢ | +17.39 | $9.39 | |
| 26m | Bodytobody | Yes / 54.0¢ | +50.00 | $27 | |
| 26m | qcp2 | No / 46.0¢ | +17.39 | $8.22 | |
| 26m | HolyMoses7 | No / 46.0¢ | +1,000.00 | $472 | |
| 26m | 0x6fc8...afd0db | No / 46.0¢ | -27.29 | $12.6 | |
| 26m | dropmeplease | Yes / 54.0¢ | +20.00 | $10.8 | |
| 26m | 0xrezero | Yes / 54.0¢ | +50.00 | $27 | |
| 26m | AlAhmeda | Yes / 54.0¢ | +50.00 | $27 | |
| 26m | 0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468F | No / 46.0¢ | -170.38 | $78.4 | |
| 26m | just-hanging-around | No / 46.0¢ | +100.00 | $47.5 | |
| 26m | Bodytobody | Yes / 54.0¢ | +22.71 | $12.3 | |
| 26m | ViscaElBarca | Yes / 54.0¢ | +50.00 | $27 | |
| 26m | 0x6fc8...afd0db | No / 46.0¢ | -609.49 | $280 | |
| 26m | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 54.0¢ | +100.13 | $54.1 | |
| 3h | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 54.0¢ | +3.40 | $1.84 | |
| 3h | PPMT | Yes / 52.8¢ | -3.40 | $1.79 | |
| 7h | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 54.0¢ | +52.60 | $28.4 | |
| 7h | kelbros | Yes / 52.8¢ | -52.60 | $27.8 | |
| 12h | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 54.0¢ | +343.87 | $186 | |
| 12h | descent | No / 46.0¢ | -170.00 | $78.2 | |
| 12h | jiantie | No / 46.0¢ | +513.87 | $243 | |
| 12h | dajunshishui | Yes / 55.0¢ | -10.57 | $5.81 |
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