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![]() Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? NoCrypto 7,493.91 shares | 43.6¢ / 65.0¢ | $1.6K (49.1%) | $3.27K · 34 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 1:55 AM | |
![]() Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? NoCrypto 11,278.77 shares | 42.0¢ / 45.0¢ | $1.33K (15.2%) | $8.64K · 71 | $5.01K · 14 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 1:54 AM | |
![]() Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? YesPolitics 8,500.00 shares | 45.1¢ / 19.0¢ | -$2.21K (-57.8%) | $3.83K · 5 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 1:46 AM | |
![]() Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? YesPolitics 3,887.97 shares | 37.1¢ / 9.0¢ | -$1.09K (-75.8%) | $1.44K · 12 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 1:44 AM | |
![]() Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? YesPolitics 216,289.48 shares | 44.2¢ / 0.2¢ | -$97K (-93.2%) | $104K · 599 | $6.68K · 42 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 1:37 AM | |
![]() US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? YesPolitics 5,397.24 shares | 64.6¢ / 0.3¢ | -$3.47K (-99.5%) | $3.49K · 23 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 1:05 AM | |
![]() Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? NoPolitics 42.73 shares | 54.0¢ / 55.0¢ | $6.43 (2.4%) | $270 · 19 | $253 · 11 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 1:00 AM | |
![]() Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026? YesCrypto 2,487.00 shares | 79.4¢ / 70.6¢ | -$220 (-11.1%) | $1.98K · 14 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 12:56 AM | |
![]() Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? YesPolitics 1,442.96 shares | 23.2¢ / 0.2¢ | -$332 (-99.1%) | $335 · 15 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 12:49 AM | |
![]() Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? YesPolitics 195,771.82 shares | 80.6¢ / 54.0¢ | -$52.1K (-33.0%) | $158K · 293 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 12:42 AM | |
![]() Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? NoPolitics 43.93 shares | 83.9¢ / 67.0¢ | -$35.8 (-2.8%) | $1.26K · 10 | $1.19K · 10 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 12:21 AM | |
![]() Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison? YesPolitics 2.00 shares | 9.0¢ / 7.1¢ | -$0.04 (-20.7%) | $0.18 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 12:16 AM | |
![]() IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31? NoPolitics 6,729.86 shares | 87.1¢ / 99.8¢ | $854 (14.6%) | $5.86K · 8 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 12:01 AM | |
![]() Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? YesPolitics 998.97 shares | 56.3¢ / 0.2¢ | -$561 (-99.6%) | $563 · 15 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 11:54 PM | |
![]() US strike on Cuba by December 31? NoPolitics 15,912.32 shares | 52.4¢ / 71.0¢ | $3.48K (31.5%) | $11.1K · 142 | $3.25K · 36 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 11:12 PM | |
![]() Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? NoPolitics 39.00 shares | 92.0¢ / 99.8¢ | $3.04 (8.5%) | $35.9 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 11:03 PM | |
![]() Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? YesCrypto 1,200.00 shares | 24.5¢ / 9.0¢ | -$186 (-63.3%) | $294 · 4 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 10:28 PM | |
![]() Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026? YesCrypto 2,685.28 shares | 63.1¢ / 52.3¢ | -$291 (-17.2%) | $1.69K · 13 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 4:28 PM | |
![]() Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31? YesPolitics 666.00 shares | 13.0¢ / 0.2¢ | -$85.3 (-98.5%) | $86.6 · 4 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 2:05 PM | |
![]() Will Pudgy Penguins floor price dip to 2 ETH before 2027? NoCrypto 117.60 shares | 50.0¢ / 30.3¢ | -$7.24 (-6.5%) | $111 · 2 | $68.1 · 1 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 9:50 AM | |
![]() Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? NoPolitics 61.11 shares | 48.0¢ / 92.5¢ | $27.2 (92.7%) | $29.3 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 7:16 AM | |
![]() Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? YesCrypto 9,963.28 shares | 47.9¢ / 19.0¢ | -$2.4K (-36.9%) | $6.47K · 98 | $2.22K · 23 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 7:03 AM | |
![]() Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? NoPolitics 0.12 shares | 77.0¢ / 93.0¢ | $175 (9.1%) | $1.93K · 1 | $2.1K · 7 | $0 | Jul 21, 2026 8:46 AM | |
![]() Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? NoPoliticsRedeemable 0.28 shares | 68.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $7.41K (19.3%) | $38.4K · 181 | $45.9K · 325 | $0 | Jul 1, 2026 6:14 AM | |
![]() Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? NoPoliticsRedeemable 0.06 shares | 90.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $3.23K (7.0%) | $46K · 69 | $49.2K · 30 | $0 | May 1, 2026 6:54 AM |
1–25
| Market | Entry / Current | PnL | Buys | Sells | Merge | Last Active | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 42.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $38.4K (133.1%) | $28.8K · 113 | $5.04K · 4 | $0 | Feb 28, 2026 9:56 AM | |
41.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $31.5K (122.7%) | $19.6K · 136 | $50K · 80 | $0 | Mar 5, 2026 1:11 AM | ||
![]() US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 43.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $29.2K (92.6%) | $31.5K · 137 | $23.1K · 67 | $0 | Feb 28, 2026 9:56 AM | |
![]() US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? WonYesPolitics | 50.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $14.2K (44.0%) | $32.3K · 198 | $17K · 141 | $0 | Apr 8, 2026 10:55 AM | |
![]() US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 45.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $11.2K (57.6%) | $19.4K · 12 | $12.6K · 19 | $0 | Feb 28, 2026 9:56 AM | |
![]() US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 21.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $10.1K (301.5%) | $3.35K · 61 | $450 · 3 | $0 | Feb 28, 2026 9:56 AM | |
75.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $9.2K (11.9%) | $77.5K · 160 | $86.7K · 102 | $0 | Jul 7, 2026 3:30 PM | ||
![]() Odds of Khamenei out by March 31 over 40% in February? WonYesPolitics | 21.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $8.96K (365.8%) | $2.45K · 13 | $0 | $0 | Feb 28, 2026 7:51 PM | |
![]() US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 71.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $8.64K (40.5%) | $21.4K · 89 | $0 | $0 | Jun 1, 2026 9:28 AM | |
![]() US forces enter Iran by April 30? WonYesPolitics | 78.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $8.63K (16.9%) | $51K · 71 | $11.1K · 34 | $0 | Apr 9, 2026 12:41 AM | |
![]() US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 44.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $8.54K (68.2%) | $12.5K · 64 | $18.6K · 28 | $0 | Jun 21, 2026 1:35 PM | |
![]() US strikes Iran by March 10, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 41.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $8.19K (143.1%) | $5.72K · 55 | $0 | $0 | Feb 28, 2026 9:56 AM | |
62.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $7.82K (43.1%) | $18.1K · 82 | $6.73K · 22 | $0 | Jun 15, 2026 12:49 AM | ||
![]() Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 42.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $7.72K (134.8%) | $5.73K · 27 | $0 | $0 | Feb 28, 2026 9:27 AM | |
![]() U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31? WonYesPolitics | 78.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $7.62K (25.3%) | $30.1K · 158 | $2.09K · 31 | $0 | Jan 24, 2026 12:56 AM | |
![]() Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? WonNoPolitics | 52.7¢ / 78.0¢ | $7.58K (37.3%) | $20.3K · 44 | $27.9K · 105 | $0 | Apr 17, 2026 4:47 PM | |
3.9¢ / 0.0¢ | $7.21K (849.5%) | $582 · 95 | $1.59K · 10 | $6.47K | Mar 5, 2026 1:22 AM | ||
![]() U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28? WonYesPolitics | 65.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $6.2K (49.2%) | $12.6K · 134 | $2.14K · 4 | $0 | Feb 28, 2026 10:51 AM | |
0.6¢ / 0.0¢ | $5.86K (7624.8%) | $0 | $0.93 · 28 | $5.94K | Mar 27, 2026 2:59 PM | ||
![]() US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 70.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $5.76K (24.9%) | $23.1K · 38 | $10.1K · 35 | $0 | Jun 1, 2026 1:37 PM | |
![]() Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? WonNoPolitics | 85.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $5.75K (16.4%) | $35K · 93 | $0 | $0 | Jun 1, 2026 9:28 AM | |
![]() Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30? WonNoPolitics | 88.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $5.53K (12.5%) | $44.4K · 136 | $1.05K · 4 | $22 | May 6, 2026 12:55 AM | |
86.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $5.49K (10.3%) | $53.2K · 54 | $20K · 71 | $0 | May 20, 2026 1:31 AM | ||
![]() US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 51.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $5.48K (87.9%) | $6.23K · 45 | $11.7K · 7 | $0 | Jun 18, 2026 12:39 AM | |
![]() US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 59.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $5.45K (61.5%) | $8.85K · 3 | $14.3K · 2 | $0 | Jun 18, 2026 12:41 AM |
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Performance Summary
PnL Change
Markets
2047
Won
1338
Lost
633
Win Rate
67.9%
Profit Factor
1.68x
Avg Win
$729
Avg Loss
-$915
Total Wins
$975K
Total Losses
-$579K
Avg. Hold Time
Period
Best Period
Worst Period
Longest Streak
Current Streak
Max Drawdown
Current DD
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Rebates
Rewards
Yield