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![]() Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? YesPolitics 3,513.16 shares | 32.9¢ / 42.0¢ | $320 (27.7%) | $1.16K · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 7:29 PM | |
![]() 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31? YesPolitics 989.48 shares | 4.1¢ / 2.9¢ | -$12.6 (-30.7%) | $41 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 7:02 PM | |
![]() US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? YesPolitics 1,671.58 shares | 19.5¢ / 0.5¢ | -$605 (-45.6%) | $1.33K · 4 | $713 · 1 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 6:18 PM | |
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on July 28, 2026? YesPolitics 700.87 shares | 21.7¢ / 43.0¢ | $189 (109.7%) | $172 · 3 | $60.2 · 1 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 8:01 AM | |
![]() Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 20… YesPolitics 5,716.04 shares | 10.4¢ / 0.4¢ | -$564 (-74.0%) | $762 · 5 | $175 · 1 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 10:33 PM | |
![]() Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? YesPolitics 90.00 shares | 56.0¢ / 3.8¢ | -$46.9 (-93.1%) | $49.5 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 5:46 PM | |
![]() Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? NoFinance 1,346.96 shares | 70.0¢ / 71.2¢ | $15.9 (1.7%) | $932 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 1:56 PM | |
![]() Will the US federal government take a stake in Anthropic PBC? NoPolitics 11.85 shares | 62.0¢ / 91.0¢ | $3.44 (46.9%) | $7.23 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 27, 2026 1:07 PM | |
![]() Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31? YesPoliticsRedeemable 0.06 shares | 74.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $8.39 (0.8%) | $1.07K · 1 | $1.08K · 22 | $0 | Jan 11, 2026 11:27 AM | |
![]() U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025? NoPoliticsRedeemable 0.05 shares | 14.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $72.6 (11.9%) | $613 · 4 | $685 · 12 | $0 | Jan 1, 2026 9:32 AM |
| Market | Entry / Current | PnL | Buys | Sells | Merge | Last Active | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? WonYesPolitics | 15.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $27.3K (43.8%) | $62.5K · 7 | $89.8K · 137 | $0 | Apr 11, 2026 12:34 AM | |
![]() Will Trump visit China by March 31? WonYesPolitics | 21.1¢ / 0.0¢ | $27.1K (209.4%) | $12.9K · 30 | $40.1K · 88 | $0 | Apr 1, 2026 8:18 AM | |
![]() Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 31.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $17.7K (130.0%) | $13.6K · 30 | $2.58K · 2 | $0 | May 9, 2026 1:05 AM | |
37.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $13.2K (165.3%) | $7.99K · 7 | $21.2K · 12 | $0 | Jun 15, 2026 12:24 AM | ||
![]() US strikes Nigeria by December 31? WonYesPolitics | 5.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $10.8K (1859.5%) | $583 · 4 | $11.4K · 14 | $0 | Dec 26, 2025 3:20 AM | |
![]() Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25? WonNoPolitics | 18.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $8.97K (289.2%) | $3.1K · 6 | $12.1K · 6 | $0 | May 26, 2026 3:18 AM | |
![]() Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? WonYesFinance | 19.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $7.17K (313.5%) | $2.21K · 7 | $9.45K · 28 | $0 | Jun 12, 2026 6:00 PM | |
![]() JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10? WonNoPolitics | 55.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $6.14K (40.4%) | $15.2K · 48 | $21.3K · 72 | $0 | Apr 11, 2026 6:27 AM | |
![]() Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? WonYesPolitics | 60.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $4.96K (34.4%) | $14.4K · 17 | $19.4K · 11 | $0 | Mar 4, 2026 1:06 AM | |
37.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $4.96K (107.5%) | $4.61K · 1 | $9.57K · 13 | $0 | May 1, 2026 11:12 PM | ||
![]() Starmer out by June 22, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 54.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $4.9K (60.1%) | $8.05K · 14 | $13.1K · 12 | $0 | Jun 22, 2026 10:39 AM | |
![]() US strike on Syria by December 31? WonYesPolitics | 18.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $4.14K (437.7%) | $946 · 1 | $2.16K · 2 | $0 | Dec 20, 2025 4:44 AM | |
10.7¢ / 0.0¢ | $4.02K (11.9%) | $33.8K · 21 | $37.8K · 99 | $0 | Jun 2, 2026 6:22 PM | ||
![]() US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 29.6¢ / 0.0¢ | $3.95K (70.1%) | $5.64K · 14 | $9.58K · 45 | $3 | Jun 21, 2026 1:35 PM | |
![]() Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31? WonYesPolitics | 29.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $3.87K (192.3%) | $2.01K · 1 | $5.88K · 6 | $0 | Feb 28, 2026 12:21 AM | |
![]() Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? WonYesPolitics | 49.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $3.74K (42.0%) | $8.91K · 5 | $12.7K · 29 | $0 | Mar 4, 2026 7:25 PM | |
![]() Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 32.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $3.7K (204.9%) | $1.8K · 33 | $5.5K · 11 | $0 | Jul 14, 2026 8:02 PM | |
11.2¢ / 0.0¢ | $3.67K (40.3%) | $9.12K · 37 | $12.8K · 27 | $0 | Jun 16, 2026 12:34 AM | ||
![]() US government shutdown Saturday? WonNoPolitics | 26.7¢ / 0.0¢ | $3.56K (34.7%) | $10.3K · 15 | $13.8K · 33 | $0 | Feb 4, 2026 12:36 AM | |
41.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $3.42K (127.8%) | $2.68K · 19 | $6.1K · 1 | $0 | May 5, 2026 12:36 AM | ||
30.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $3.22K (50.0%) | $6.44K · 24 | $9.66K · 29 | $0 | Jun 15, 2026 2:25 AM | ||
28.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $3.21K (30.7%) | $10.4K · 19 | $13.6K · 51 | $0 | Jun 15, 2026 12:24 AM | ||
![]() US forces enter Iran by March 7? WonNoPolitics | 57.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $3.07K (34.8%) | $8.82K · 10 | $11.9K · 24 | $0 | Mar 8, 2026 7:17 AM | |
![]() Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 15? WonYesPolitics | 21.9¢ / 0.0¢ | $3.04K (107.8%) | $2.82K · 27 | $5.86K · 18 | $0 | Dec 18, 2025 1:30 AM | |
![]() Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04? WonYesPolitics | 55.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $3K (81.6%) | $3.67K · 23 | $6.67K · 1 | $0 | May 20, 2026 3:24 AM |
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Performance Summary
PnL Change
Markets
587
Won
312
Lost
252
Combos
6
Win Rate
55.3%
Profit Factor
2.08x
Avg Win
$997
Avg Loss
-$594
Total Wins
$311K
Total Losses
-$150K
Avg. Hold Time
Period
Best Period
Worst Period
Longest Streak
Current Streak
Max Drawdown
Current DD
Max Runup
Rebates
Rewards
Yield