
Volume
$1K
Txns
141
Traders
35
Fees
$2
Liquidity
$791
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify. An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 94%$3.4Mvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 90%$2.03Mvolume
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?
Yes 52%$182Kvolume
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?
No 83%$102Kvolume
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
No 99%$727Kvolume
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Yes 62%$62.7Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7h | 0x6714...76fad2 | No / 55.0¢ | -10.88 | $5.99 | |
| 7h | romanew-1-new | Yes / 44.0¢ | -5.00 | $2.2 | |
| 7h | HerrieDavis | Yes / 44.0¢ | -5.88 | $2.59 | |
| 1d | 2997 | Yes / 25.2¢ | -5.00 | $1.26 | |
| 1d | romanew-1-new | Yes / 26.0¢ | +5.00 | $1.3 | |
| 2d | Plankton7 | Yes / 51.0¢ | +29.41 | $15.3 | |
| 2d | TraderProMax | Yes / 51.0¢ | -20.00 | $10.2 | |
| 2d | HerrieDavis | Yes / 51.0¢ | -9.41 | $4.8 | |
| 4d | 2997 | Yes / 54.0¢ | +5.00 | $2.75 | |
| 4d | TraderProMax | Yes / 54.0¢ | -5.00 | $2.7 | |
| 9d | snayaye | Yes / 25.0¢ | +10.88 | $2.8 | |
| 9d | 0x6714...76fad2 | No / 75.0¢ | +10.88 | $8.16 | |
| 18d | peepeepooppoop | No / 78.0¢ | +4.55 | $3.55 | |
| 18d | Gundamn | Yes / 22.0¢ | +4.55 | $1.03 | |
| 23d | R18helloworld | Yes / 12.5¢ | -10.00 | $1.25 | |
| 23d | yyyyyyy | No / 87.0¢ | -10.00 | $8.7 | |
| 25d | RITB123 | No / 87.0¢ | +10.00 | $8.75 | |
| 25d | yyyyyyy | No / 87.0¢ | -10.00 | $8.7 | |
| 25d | RITB123 | No / 86.0¢ | +10.00 | $8.65 | |
| 25d | R18helloworld | Yes / 14.0¢ | +10.00 | $1.4 | |
| 25d | yyyyyyy | No / 87.0¢ | -7.84 | $6.82 | |
| 25d | R18helloworld | Yes / 12.5¢ | -7.84 | $0.98 | |
| 26d | RITB123 | No / 87.0¢ | +11.00 | $9.62 | |
| 26d | yyyyyyy | No / 87.0¢ | -11.00 | $9.57 | |
| 26d | yyyyyyy | No / 87.0¢ | -14.00 | $12.2 |
1–25