
Volume
$483K
Txns
11,460
Traders
1,224
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to “Yes” if U.S. government forces seize another ship that is transporting, or is intended to transport, oil to or from Venezuela by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. U.S. government forces refers to any active U.S. military (including U.S. Coast Guard), law enforcement, or intelligence personnel or contractors. Seizes refers to U.S. forces taking custody of or asserting operational control of the vessel, including boarding and taking control of the vessel, detaining the vessel indefinitely, or forcefully rerouting the vessel to a U.S.-controlled port. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Yes 90%$62Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Yes 95%$35.4Mvolume
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Yes 100%$14.4Mvolume
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Yes 100%$4.43Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 72%$24.2Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Yes 100%$3.46Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5mo | thoas | No / 99.9¢ | -179.97 | $180 | |
| 5mo | ZhangMuZhi- | No / 99.9¢ | +105.13 | $105 | |
| 5mo | Skogeru | No / 99.9¢ | +74.84 | $74.8 | |
| 5mo | cxntmakeup | No / 99.9¢ | -1,156.94 | $1.16K | |
| 5mo | Skogeru | No / 99.9¢ | +425.16 | $425 | |
| 5mo | Michael5289 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -731.78 | $0.73 | |
| 5mo | Michael5289 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -15.52 | $0.02 | |
| 5mo | Perdiddle11 | No / 99.9¢ | -15.52 | $15.5 | |
| 5mo | Michael5289 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -6.13 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | luuuur | Yes / 0.1¢ | +6.13 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | luuuur | Yes / 0.1¢ | +7.87 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | Crockin | Yes / 0.1¢ | -7.87 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | 0x080D71180b06a86aCD998ab64311BB1A5486dB3e-1762675347455 | No / 99.8¢ | -5.37 | $5.36 | |
| 5mo | milize | Yes / 0.2¢ | -5.37 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | StudentMoney | No / 99.9¢ | +4,635.04 | $4.63K | |
| 5mo | rht1 | No / 99.9¢ | -123.21 | $123 | |
| 5mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -500.00 | $500 | |
| 5mo | loooki9 | No / 99.9¢ | -1,385.92 | $1.38K | |
| 5mo | CorkisGeldbeutel | No / 99.9¢ | -6.46 | $6.45 | |
| 5mo | luuuur | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | pootytherewardfarmer | Yes / 0.1¢ | +205.00 | $0.2 | |
| 5mo | Syrianbutterfly | No / 99.9¢ | -1,427.84 | $1.43K | |
| 5mo | milize | Yes / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 5mo | hivong09 | No / 99.9¢ | -772.61 | $772 | |
| 5mo | 0x07bc...a474c2 | No / 99.7¢ | -102.00 | $102 |
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