
Volume
$7M
Txns
30,775
Traders
4,231
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 3, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count. Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 78%$31.6Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 100%$6.22Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Yes 56%$27.8Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 78%$21.1Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$6.09Mvolume
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?
No 100%$1.83Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3mo | onekey09 | No / 99.9¢ | +180.30 | $180 | |
| 3mo | ziyuny | No / 99.9¢ | -180.30 | $180 | |
| 3mo | kgf0618 | No / 99.9¢ | -10.89 | $10.9 | |
| 3mo | onekey09 | No / 99.9¢ | +10.89 | $10.9 | |
| 3mo | onekey09 | No / 99.9¢ | +190.00 | $190 | |
| 3mo | mkijytr | No / 99.9¢ | -190.00 | $190 | |
| 3mo | RaptorVoid | No / 99.9¢ | -55.11 | $55.1 | |
| 3mo | onekey09 | No / 99.9¢ | +55.11 | $55.1 | |
| 3mo | tyrewq | No / 99.9¢ | -150.00 | $150 | |
| 3mo | onekey09 | No / 99.9¢ | +150.00 | $150 | |
| 3mo | Navigator77 | No / 99.9¢ | -126.13 | $126 | |
| 3mo | onekey09 | No / 99.9¢ | +126.13 | $126 | |
| 3mo | onekey09 | No / 99.9¢ | +426.17 | $426 | |
| 3mo | johnchristoph | No / 99.9¢ | -426.17 | $426 | |
| 3mo | onekey09 | No / 99.9¢ | +529.66 | $529 | |
| 3mo | 0x4ffE239Aa5ffFA2436493cDC3C3b9E6C2956Abc2-1772655739437 | No / 99.9¢ | -529.66 | $529 | |
| 3mo | onekey09 | No / 99.9¢ | +109.89 | $110 | |
| 3mo | PeiQi0 | No / 99.9¢ | -109.89 | $110 | |
| 3mo | Jjgr | No / 99.9¢ | -499.99 | $499 | |
| 3mo | onekey09 | No / 99.9¢ | +499.99 | $499 | |
| 3mo | onekey09 | No / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 3mo | 0xb7307b7D21e73937E5462CF5b5Cd1cA8A4A6100E-1771868380137 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 3mo | onekey09 | No / 99.9¢ | +10.17 | $10.2 | |
| 3mo | 0x8b2617a28c44fe4EA82c1a1EC443876cC6Fd2E05-1772791272225 | No / 99.9¢ | -10.17 | $10.2 | |
| 3mo | onekey09 | No / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 |
1–25