| PnL | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes 102.56 net shares | 39.0¢ / 36.0¢ | -$1.54 (-7.7%) | May 12, 2026 9:45 PM | |
 May 15 Yes -9.60 net shares | 52.0¢ / 99.3¢ | $0 (91.0%) | May 12, 2026 1:13 PM | |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? Yes 183.76 net shares | 10.9¢ / 11.0¢ | $0.11 (1.1%) | May 12, 2026 1:12 PM | |
 May 31 No 26.31 net shares | 79.8¢ / 96.0¢ | $2.26 (20.3%) | May 12, 2026 1:08 PM | |
 ↑ 85,000 Yes 18.87 net shares | 54.7¢ / 52.0¢ | -$0.26 (-5.0%) | May 12, 2026 1:07 PM | |
 ↓ 75,000 Yes 119.15 net shares | 54.7¢ / 38.0¢ | -$10 (-30.6%) | May 12, 2026 1:06 PM | |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No 2.25 net shares | 89.0¢ / 88.0¢ | -$0.01 (-1.1%) | May 12, 2026 1:03 PM | |
 June 30 Yes 40.48 net shares | 7.4¢ / 19.0¢ | $2.76 (156.3%) | May 4, 2026 2:03 PM | |
↑ 85,000 No 18.19 net shares | 55.0¢ / 48.0¢ | -$0.65 (-12.7%) | May 4, 2026 1:59 PM | |
↓ 70,000 Yes 5.79 net shares | 34.6¢ / 12.0¢ | -$0.66 (-65.3%) | May 3, 2026 3:15 AM | |
↓ 65,000 Yes 47.37 net shares | 27.4¢ / 0.0¢ | -$7.59 (-100.0%) | Apr 15, 2026 1:54 PM | |
 Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? Yes 0.01 net shares | 6.8¢ / 2.6¢ | -$0 (-61.8%) | Apr 15, 2026 1:50 PM | |
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? Yes -751.18 net shares | 4.7¢ / 1.8¢ | -$0 (-61.4%) | Apr 15, 2026 1:08 PM | |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes 126.51 net shares | 10.3¢ / 6.5¢ | -$4.78 (-36.7%) | Apr 14, 2026 2:16 PM | |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes 199.66 net shares | 11.0¢ / 9.0¢ | -$4.03 (-18.3%) | Apr 11, 2026 1:16 PM | |
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes 163.39 net shares | 15.9¢ / 12.0¢ | -$6.39 (-24.6%) | Apr 11, 2026 1:16 PM | |
 June 30 No 2.75 net shares | 72.7¢ / 89.0¢ | $0.45 (22.5%) | Apr 11, 2026 1:15 PM | |
 April 30 Yes 213.81 net shares | 25.3¢ / 0.0¢ | -$54 (-100.0%) | Apr 11, 2026 1:14 PM | |
 100–200B Yes 705.40 net shares | 0.7¢ / 0.1¢ | -$0 (-85.9%) | Apr 11, 2026 1:12 PM | |
<100B Yes 625.01 net shares | 0.8¢ / 0.2¢ | -$0 (-74.7%) | Apr 11, 2026 1:10 PM | |
600B+ Yes 436.04 net shares | 1.2¢ / 1.0¢ | -$1.08 (-19.9%) | Apr 11, 2026 1:10 PM | |
 April 30 Yes 20.51 net shares | 53.6¢ / 0.0¢ | -$11 (-100.0%) | Apr 10, 2026 12:29 AM | |
↓ 60,000 Yes 17.87 net shares | 28.0¢ / 0.0¢ | -$5 (-100.0%) | Apr 10, 2026 12:28 AM | |
 ↓ 40 No 3.75 net shares | 53.4¢ / 71.0¢ | $0.66 (33.0%) | Apr 8, 2026 7:52 PM | |
 Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? Yes 0.01 net shares | 36.0¢ / 6.5¢ | -$0 (-81.9%) | Apr 8, 2026 3:16 AM |
1–25
