| PnL | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 May 8 No 3.15 net shares | 87.0¢ / 87.0¢ | $0 (0.0%) | May 2, 2026 3:56 PM | |
May 31 No 8.83 net shares | 60.0¢ / 64.0¢ | $0.18 (6.7%) | May 2, 2026 3:45 PM | |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 161.29 net shares | 31.0¢ / 29.0¢ | -$1.61 (-6.5%) | May 2, 2026 8:15 AM | |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? No 13.02 net shares | 47.0¢ / 47.0¢ | $0 (0.0%) | May 2, 2026 7:13 AM | |
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No 15.13 net shares | 69.0¢ / 73.0¢ | $0.3 (5.8%) | May 2, 2026 7:13 AM | |
 May 31 Yes 0.01 net shares | 22.0¢ / 22.0¢ | $0 (0.0%) | May 1, 2026 9:27 PM | |
 May 31 Yes 0.02 net shares | 88.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (13.6%) | May 1, 2026 8:47 PM | |
 May 15 No 10.47 net shares | 56.2¢ / 80.0¢ | $1.25 (42.4%) | May 1, 2026 6:28 PM | |
 74,000 No 222.08 net shares | 0.9¢ / 0.1¢ | -$0.89 (-88.9%) | May 1, 2026 5:35 PM | |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? Yes 15.38 net shares | 13.0¢ / 9.0¢ | -$0.31 (-30.8%) | May 1, 2026 1:55 PM | |
 Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? No 2.45 net shares | 81.5¢ / 81.0¢ | -$0.01 (-0.6%) | May 1, 2026 9:05 AM | |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? Yes 16.67 net shares | 12.0¢ / 14.0¢ | $0.17 (16.7%) | May 1, 2026 8:31 AM | |
May 31 No 5.20 net shares | 60.0¢ / 55.0¢ | -$0.26 (-8.3%) | May 1, 2026 7:26 AM | |
72,000 No 602.24 net shares | 3.3¢ / 0.1¢ | -$19.4 (-97.0%) | May 1, 2026 12:08 AM | |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? Yes 69.87 net shares | 12.5¢ / 9.0¢ | -$1.22 (-27.9%) | Apr 30, 2026 5:08 PM | |
72,000 No 105.12 net shares | 1.9¢ / 0.1¢ | -$0.95 (-94.7%) | Apr 30, 2026 4:45 PM | |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? Yes 25.97 net shares | 7.7¢ / 6.1¢ | -$0.21 (-20.8%) | Apr 30, 2026 2:50 PM | |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? Yes 20.00 net shares | 10.0¢ / 9.0¢ | -$0.1 (-10.0%) | Apr 30, 2026 7:53 AM | |
 Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva Yes 14.43 net shares | 39.4¢ / 38.0¢ | -$0.1 (-3.4%) | Apr 29, 2026 11:11 PM | |
 Iván Cepeda Castro Yes 2.17 net shares | 92.3¢ / 93.2¢ | $0.01 (1.1%) | Apr 29, 2026 10:51 PM | |
 Iran Yes 146.73 net shares | 27.3¢ / 0.0¢ | -$20.2 (-100.0%) | Apr 29, 2026 6:36 AM | |
 Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026? Yes 59.17 net shares | 67.6¢ / 84.0¢ | $4.9 (24.3%) | Apr 28, 2026 6:10 PM | |
80,000 Yes 3,968.03 net shares | 1.0¢ / 0.0¢ | -$20 (-100.0%) | Apr 28, 2026 4:12 PM | |
78,000 Yes 497.35 net shares | 8.0¢ / 0.0¢ | -$20.1 (-100.0%) | Apr 28, 2026 4:06 PM | |
May 5 No 0.02 net shares | 73.0¢ / 97.7¢ | $0 (33.8%) | Apr 28, 2026 1:43 PM |
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