
Volume
$195K
Txns
1,997
Traders
396
Fees
$558
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price). The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?
No 100%$184Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?
Yes 100%$107Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?
Yes 100%$114Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 92%$3.14Mvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550?
No 100%$74.8Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 85%$1.82Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13d | Chrislitsch | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1.04 | |
| 13d | tolledo | No / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 13d | OraculumNobius | Yes / 99.9¢ | +500.50 | $500 | |
| 13d | tolledo | No / 0.1¢ | -499.50 | $0.5 | |
| 13d | Chrislitsch | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1.04 | |
| 14d | cqk | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1,315.05 | $1.31K | |
| 14d | XuRi888 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +4,015.05 | $4.01K | |
| 14d | 150Dao150000 | No / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 14d | tolledo | No / 0.1¢ | +2,500.00 | $2.5 | |
| 14d | cqk | Yes / 99.9¢ | -849.75 | $849 | |
| 14d | alexjianwang | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2,000.00 | $2K | |
| 14d | luffyzhan | Yes / 99.9¢ | +849.75 | $849 | |
| 14d | norealtime | No / 0.1¢ | +326.55 | $0.33 | |
| 14d | cqk | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1,673.45 | $1.67K | |
| 14d | FFFly | Yes / 99.9¢ | +6.61 | $6.6 | |
| 14d | norealtime | No / 0.1¢ | +6.61 | $0.01 | |
| 14d | norealtime | No / 0.1¢ | +26.59 | $0.03 | |
| 14d | DeepDitch | No / 0.1¢ | -26.59 | $0.03 | |
| 14d | norealtime | No / 0.1¢ | +500.00 | $0.5 | |
| 14d | aiwar | Yes / 99.9¢ | +500.00 | $500 | |
| 14d | aiwar | Yes / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 14d | norealtime | No / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 14d | aiwar | Yes / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 14d | norealtime | No / 0.1¢ | +40.25 | $0.04 | |
| 14d | noid2 | No / 0.1¢ | +59.75 | $0.06 |
1–25