
Volume
$4,371,772
Txns
24,415
Traders
2,964
Fees
$19
Ends
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
Yes 99% · $1.65M volume
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Yes 100% · $3.81M volume
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
No 98% · $11.8M volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
No 100% · $34.6M volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
No 94% · $4.32M volume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
No 78% · $9.81M volume
1–25