
Volume
$6K
Txns
310
Traders
89
Fees
$4
Liquidity
$9,884
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China launches a ballistic missile between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only launches of ballistic missiles, including intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs), submarine-launched ballistic missiles (SLBMs), and ballistic anti-ship missiles, will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. Launches of other systems such as cruise missiles, SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Trades
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
No 87%$0volume
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No 96%$0volume
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
No 91%$0volume
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
Yes 90%$0volume
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
No 94%$0volume
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Yes 92%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20h | 0x00cDEa4d807710807cdBC54AD34cFAFCd992c0aE-1782010404295 | No / 81.0¢ | -5.00 | $4.05 | |
| 20h | Haradwaith | Yes / 19.0¢ | -5.00 | $0.95 | |
| 1d | 0x889d...398342 | Yes / 19.0¢ | +5.26 | $1 | |
| 1d | Haradwaith | Yes / 19.0¢ | -5.26 | $1 | |
| 1d | Haradwaith | Yes / 19.0¢ | -20.00 | $3.8 | |
| 1d | RazuchiONE | No / 81.0¢ | -20.00 | $16.2 | |
| 1d | BerkshireHahaway | No / 80.0¢ | +20.00 | $16 | |
| 1d | 0xA158c | No / 80.0¢ | -20.00 | $16 | |
| 1d | 0xA158c | No / 81.0¢ | +20.00 | $16.2 | |
| 1d | Haradwaith | No / 81.0¢ | +55.55 | $45 | |
| 1d | ViscaElBarca | No / 81.0¢ | -100.00 | $81 | |
| 1d | Haradwaith | Yes / 19.0¢ | -20.10 | $3.82 | |
| 1d | BerkshireHahaway | No / 80.0¢ | +4.35 | $3.48 | |
| 1d | wweat | No / 81.0¢ | -20.00 | $16.2 | |
| 1d | RazuchiONE | No / 81.0¢ | +20.00 | $16.2 | |
| 1d | 0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468F | Yes / 18.0¢ | -60.00 | $10.8 | |
| 1d | Haradwaith | Yes / 18.0¢ | -100.00 | $18 | |
| 1d | NoSteinNoGate | Yes / 18.0¢ | +410.10 | $73.8 | |
| 1d | PPMT | No / 82.0¢ | +30.10 | $24.7 | |
| 1d | wweat | No / 82.0¢ | +20.00 | $16.4 | |
| 1d | predictdogepepewif | Yes / 18.0¢ | -50.00 | $9 | |
| 1d | ViscaElBarca | No / 82.0¢ | +100.00 | $82 | |
| 1d | SPLPB | Yes / 18.0¢ | -50.00 | $9 | |
| 2d | SPLPB | Yes / 18.0¢ | -10.00 | $1.8 | |
| 2d | 0xE8C428250693d7f1E588ba6F4666d02E68F0eA5c-1782008528190 | No / 82.0¢ | -10.00 | $8.2 |
1–25