
Volume
$2M
Txns
4,831
Traders
857
Fees
$36
Liquidity
$131,339
Ends
Dec 31, 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | dlawlednirg | No / 85.0¢ | +1.18 | $1 | |
| 1h | tiger11 | Yes / 15.0¢ | +1.18 | $0.18 | |
| 5h | tiger11 | Yes / 15.0¢ | +170.00 | $25.5 | |
| 5h | AVV | No / 85.0¢ | +170.00 | $145 | |
| 5h | winforretire | No / 85.0¢ | +209.41 | $178 | |
| 5h | tiger11 | Yes / 15.0¢ | +209.41 | $31.4 | |
| 5h | tiger11 | Yes / 15.0¢ | +11.76 | $1.76 | |
| 5h | 0x8b71...c5917c | No / 85.0¢ | +11.76 | $10 | |
| 8h | tiger11 | Yes / 15.0¢ | +58.82 | $8.82 | |
| 8h | 0x370B0d0b79B76688B9D727D70051A58dB2A11348-1781225717418 | No / 85.0¢ | +58.82 | $50 | |
| 13h | tiger11 | Yes / 15.0¢ | +23.53 | $3.53 | |
| 13h | bb1256325 | No / 85.0¢ | +23.53 | $20 | |
| 15h | Ajjooli | Yes / 15.0¢ | -400.00 | $60 | |
| 15h | tiger555 | Yes / 15.0¢ | +53.39 | $8.01 | |
| 15h | lpmm1998 | Yes / 15.0¢ | +92.45 | $13.9 | |
| 15h | wAng13 | No / 85.0¢ | -23.66 | $20.1 | |
| 15h | mlpp2018 | Yes / 15.0¢ | +99.31 | $14.9 | |
| 15h | tiger11 | Yes / 15.0¢ | +24.16 | $3.62 | |
| 15h | DDFFF111 | Yes / 15.0¢ | +107.03 | $16.1 | |
| 18h | merz1305 | Yes / 15.0¢ | -250.06 | $37.5 | |
| 18h | tiger555 | Yes / 15.0¢ | +250.06 | $37.5 | |
| 20h | notworthit | No / 84.0¢ | +12.04 | $10.1 | |
| 20h | 0x9c930Caf62dC977dee863C336873f9017505Ce00-1777156835086 | No / 84.0¢ | -12.04 | $10.1 | |
| 21h | Curtisy | No / 85.0¢ | +35.29 | $30 | |
| 21h | tiger555 | Yes / 15.0¢ | +35.29 | $5.29 |
1–25
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No 94%$73.1Mvolume
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
No 99%$11.3Mvolume
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
No 99%$1.51Mvolume
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
No 90%$2.12Mvolume
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
No 88%$873Kvolume
US x China tariff agreement by June 30?
No 95%$28.2Kvolume