Haradwaith +$136K PnL

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Fees

Trades

Avg trade size

					Merge
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 29? YesWeather 3.17 shares	38.3¢ / 41.8¢	$1.77 (9.6%)	$18.5 · 4	$12.8 · 2	$6.12	Jul 29, 2026 5:04 AM
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July? NoFinance 40.42 shares	93.2¢ / 97.5¢	-$42.7 (-0.8%)	$5.4K · 42	$5.28K · 86	$41	Jul 29, 2026 5:04 AM
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? YesPolitics 15,413.04 shares	2.2¢ / 3.4¢	$767 (92.0%)	$834 · 80	$497 · 121	$576	Jul 29, 2026 5:04 AM
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 29? YesWeather 2.81 shares	29.0¢ / 19.0¢	-$0.28 (-34.5%)	$0.81 · 2	$0	$0	Jul 29, 2026 5:03 AM
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? NoSports 6,555.23 shares	63.1¢ / 54.1¢	-$318 (-2.5%)	$12.7K · 49	$7.43K · 269	$1.36K	Jul 29, 2026 5:03 AM
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? YesPolitics 7,777.10 shares	0.8¢ / 0.4¢	-$31.1 (-47.5%)	$65.5 · 1	$3.26 · 1	$0	Jul 29, 2026 5:03 AM
Will Cerezo Osaka win on 2026-07-29? NoSports 138.88 shares	80.0¢ / 80.0¢	$0 (0.0%)	$111 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 29, 2026 5:03 AM
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meetin… YesPolitics 664.39 shares	79.4¢ / 75.9¢	-$512 (-1.2%)	$43.9K · 124	$41.3K · 653	$1.54K	Jul 29, 2026 5:03 AM
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeti… NoPolitics 518.54 shares	81.4¢ / 76.2¢	-$301 (-1.2%)	$25.9K · 52	$25.2K · 643	$29.5	Jul 29, 2026 5:03 AM
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? NoPolitics 1,603.29 shares	45.2¢ / 21.7¢	$193 (2.6%)	$7.36K · 106	$5.4K · 367	$1.81K	Jul 29, 2026 5:03 AM
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on July 30? NoWeather 69.44 shares	64.0¢ / 59.0¢	-$3.47 (-7.8%)	$44.4 · 3	$0	$0	Jul 29, 2026 5:03 AM
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 30? NoWeather 30.85 shares	68.0¢ / 64.0¢	-$1.23 (-5.9%)	$21 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 29, 2026 5:03 AM
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 30? NoWeather 90.49 shares	57.0¢ / 54.8¢	-$1.92 (-3.4%)	$57 · 1	$5.51 · 1	$0	Jul 29, 2026 5:03 AM
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 29? YesWeather 30.05 shares	10.2¢ / 1.2¢	-$0.89 (-5.0%)	$17.7 · 10	$14.8 · 6	$1.66	Jul 29, 2026 5:03 AM
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 29? NoWeather 90.98 shares	95.2¢ / 9.9¢	-$72 (-11.2%)	$641 · 5	$560 · 23	$0	Jul 29, 2026 5:03 AM
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nominat… YesPolitics 11,566.23 shares	1.0¢ / 0.6¢	$215 (35.8%)	$600 · 29	$510 · 114	$236	Jul 29, 2026 5:03 AM
Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07? NoPolitics 99.95 shares	65.1¢ / 17.0¢	-$52.3 (-7.7%)	$682 · 8	$613 · 30	$0	Jul 29, 2026 5:03 AM
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 29? YesWeather 11.57 shares	3.0¢ / 0.7¢	$0.13 (5.3%)	$2.52 · 6	$2.57 · 2	$0	Jul 29, 2026 5:03 AM
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? YesPolitics 200.11 shares	53.5¢ / 55.0¢	-$126 (-3.1%)	$4.04K · 49	$3.75K · 106	$58.3	Jul 29, 2026 5:03 AM
Vancouver: Ariana Arseneault vs Annabelle Xu Ariana ArseneaultSports 64.00 shares	88.0¢ / 78.0¢	-$6.4 (-11.4%)	$56.3 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 29, 2026 5:03 AM
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? NoSports 1,000.71 shares	73.6¢ / 75.6¢	-$514 (-4.1%)	$12.5K · 60	$9.87K · 313	$1.36K	Jul 29, 2026 5:03 AM
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 29? NoWeather 2.30 shares	58.0¢ / 94.2¢	$0.83 (62.3%)	$1.33 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 29, 2026 5:03 AM
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C or higher on July 29? NoWeather 184.91 shares	98.8¢ / 99.5¢	$2.1 (0.7%)	$296 · 1	$114 · 2	$0	Jul 29, 2026 5:03 AM
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 30? NoWeather 56.31 shares	61.8¢ / 58.0¢	-$2.15 (-6.2%)	$34.8 · 2	$0	$0	Jul 29, 2026 5:03 AM
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 30? NoWeather 130.57 shares	40.4¢ / 34.0¢	-$8.33 (-15.8%)	$52.7 · 5	$0	$0	Jul 29, 2026 5:02 AM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? WonYesPolitics	29.6¢ / 24.0¢	$4.82K (32.2%)	$15K · 80	$9.97K · 399	$9.83K	Jul 25, 2026 3:14 PM
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? WonYesPolitics	3.3¢ / 0.0¢	$3.63K (341.0%)	$1.06K · 74	$1.17K · 226	$3.52K	Jun 1, 2026 6:36 AM
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026? WonYesCulture	3.1¢ / 0.0¢	$2.79K (42.4%)	$6.58K · 83	$5.78K · 345	$3.59K	May 17, 2026 3:42 AM
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? WonYesPolitics	3.9¢ / 0.0¢	$2.52K (553.0%)	$456 · 4	$295 · 36	$2.68K	Jul 1, 2026 6:09 AM
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? WonYesSports	3.5¢ / 8.2¢	$2.44K (199.9%)	$1.22K · 93	$1.02K · 235	$2.65K	Jul 2, 2026 6:29 PM
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? WonYesSports	1.1¢ / 0.0¢	$2.39K (241.6%)	$990 · 58	$989 · 309	$2.39K	Jul 12, 2026 7:01 AM
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? WonYesPolitics	31.5¢ / 100.0¢	$2.25K (44.6%)	$5.04K · 34	$2.76K · 114	$4.53K	Mar 6, 2026 11:20 AM
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election… WonYesPolitics	18.4¢ / 0.0¢	$2.18K (84.0%)	$2.6K · 51	$1.53K · 101	$3.25K	Feb 9, 2026 4:11 AM
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? WonYesPolitics	29.5¢ / 26.6¢	$2.15K (20.7%)	$10.4K · 80	$6.69K · 497	$5.86K	Jul 17, 2026 7:05 PM
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? WonYesPolitics	2.0¢ / 8.4¢	$1.97K (86.4%)	$2.28K · 178	$2.43K · 416	$1.81K	Jun 5, 2026 8:53 PM
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? WonYesPolitics	7.9¢ / 0.0¢	$1.93K (184.5%)	$1.05K · 516	$771 · 266	$2.21K	Sep 17, 2025 9:27 PM
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025? WonYesCulture	23.6¢ / 0.0¢	$1.91K (41.8%)	$4.57K · 242	$3.69K · 474	$2.79K	Jan 6, 2026 3:09 PM
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? WonNoPolitics	17.2¢ / 0.0¢	$1.86K (28.4%)	$6.56K · 465	$5.31K · 737	$3.11K	Nov 5, 2025 5:45 AM
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? WonYesPolitics	4.3¢ / 4.9¢	$1.82K (387.4%)	$471 · 63	$314 · 133	$1.98K	Apr 25, 2026 2:20 AM
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? WonYesPolitics	17.0¢ / 16.8¢	$1.77K (158.7%)	$1.11K · 87	$206 · 61	$2.67K	Apr 20, 2026 6:11 AM
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest? WonYesPolitics	27.6¢ / 0.0¢	$1.64K (27.1%)	$6.05K · 126	$3.42K · 352	$4.26K	Dec 8, 2025 4:26 AM
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026? WonYesCulture	2.8¢ / 0.0¢	$1.61K (217.3%)	$741 · 49	$593 · 97	$1.76K	May 17, 2026 3:48 AM
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion? WonYesSports	18.2¢ / 0.0¢	$1.61K (49.7%)	$3.23K · 109	$2.6K · 278	$2.24K	Dec 7, 2025 8:26 PM
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? WonYesPolitics	10.4¢ / 0.0¢	$1.49K (91.8%)	$1.63K · 34	$1.47K · 145	$1.66K	Jul 1, 2026 6:09 AM
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? WonYesPolitics	9.3¢ / 0.0¢	$1.49K (157.3%)	$949 · 14	$671 · 100	$1.77K	Jun 1, 2026 6:38 AM
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? WonYesPolitics	11.4¢ / 0.0¢	$1.49K (28.3%)	$5.24K · 258	$4.79K · 597	$1.93K	Nov 5, 2025 5:57 AM
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? WonYesPolitics	14.9¢ / 0.0¢	$1.47K (88.2%)	$1.67K · 35	$1.04K · 99	$2.1K	Jul 1, 2026 8:14 AM
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election WonYesPolitics	16.5¢ / 100.0¢	$1.44K (53.4%)	$2.69K · 16	$2.1K · 112	$2.02K	Jun 4, 2026 7:01 AM
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? WonYesPolitics	37.7¢ / 100.0¢	$1.42K (16.6%)	$8.52K · 47	$5.11K · 293	$4.83K	Mar 2, 2026 10:21 AM
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026? WonYesCulture	2.5¢ / 0.0¢	$1.42K (52.9%)	$2.68K · 58	$2.27K · 232	$1.82K	May 17, 2026 3:48 AM

Haradwaith +$136K PnL · Polymarket

PnL Calendar

July 2026

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

1$3.87K

Jul 1, 2026

Daily PnL

$3.87K

Open$194K

High$199K

Low$192K

Close$198K

Open positions3,627

USD balance$3.59K

2-$228

Jul 2, 2026

Daily PnL

-$228

Open$198K

High$198K

Low$197K

Close$197K

Open positions3,642

USD balance$5.31K

3-$1.63K

Jul 3, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.63K

Open$197K

High$198K

Low$195K

Close$196K

Open positions3,657

USD balance$7.1K

4-$344

Jul 4, 2026

Daily PnL

-$344

Open$196K

High$196K

Low$194K

Close$196K

Open positions3,776

USD balance$2.54K

5-$1.75K

Jul 5, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.75K

Open$196K

High$196K

Low$193K

Close$194K

Open positions3,862

USD balance$8.41K

6$1.33K

Jul 6, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.33K

Open$194K

High$196K

Low$193K

Close$195K

Open positions3,949

USD balance$9.7K

7-$3.56K

Jul 7, 2026

Daily PnL

-$3.56K

Open$195K

High$196K

Low$191K

Close$192K

Open positions4,018

USD balance$347

8-$1.88K

Jul 8, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.88K

Open$192K

High$192K

Low$189K

Close$190K

Open positions4,104

USD balance$396

9-$3.43K

Jul 9, 2026

Daily PnL

-$3.43K

Open$190K

High$190K

Low$185K

Close$186K

Open positions4,151

USD balance$467

10-$3.17K

Jul 10, 2026

Daily PnL

-$3.17K

Open$186K

High$187K

Low$182K

Close$183K

Open positions4,154

USD balance$609

11-$2.61K

Jul 11, 2026

Daily PnL

-$2.61K

Open$183K

High$184K

Low$179K

Close$180K

Open positions4,061

USD balance$2.12K

12-$658

Jul 12, 2026

Daily PnL

-$658

Open$180K

High$181K

Low$178K

Close$180K

Open positions4,069

USD balance$431

13-$10K

Jul 13, 2026

Daily PnL

-$10K

Open$180K

High$180K

Low$169K

Close$170K

Open positions4,129

USD balance$398

14-$7.05K

Jul 14, 2026

Daily PnL

-$7.05K

Open$170K

High$173K

Low$163K

Close$163K

Open positions4,256

USD balance$10.2K

15-$1.68K

Jul 15, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.68K

Open$163K

High$163K

Low$157K

Close$161K

Open positions4,346

USD balance$11.2K

16-$2K

Jul 16, 2026

Daily PnL

-$2K

Open$161K

High$162K

Low$158K

Close$159K

Open positions4,412

USD balance$943

17-$2.83K

Jul 17, 2026

Daily PnL

-$2.83K

Open$159K

High$159K

Low$156K

Close$156K

Open positions4,359

USD balance$261

18-$4.99K

Jul 18, 2026

Daily PnL

-$4.99K

Open$156K

High$157K

Low$150K

Close$151K

Open positions4,360

USD balance$10.8K

19$169

Jul 19, 2026

Daily PnL

$169

Open$151K

High$152K

Low$149K

Close$151K

Open positions4,403

USD balance$16.1K

20-$68.2

Jul 20, 2026

Daily PnL

-$68.2

Open$151K

High$152K

Low$151K

Close$151K

Open positions4,402

USD balance$4.5K

21-$1.98K

Jul 21, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.98K

Open$151K

High$152K

Low$149K

Close$149K

Open positions4,461

USD balance$416

22-$2.81K

Jul 22, 2026

Daily PnL

-$2.81K

Open$149K

High$150K

Low$146K

Close$147K

Open positions4,490

USD balance$278

23-$3K

Jul 23, 2026

Daily PnL

-$3K

Open$147K

High$147K

Low$143K

Close$144K

Open positions4,515

USD balance$534

24-$1.31K

Jul 24, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.31K

Open$144K

High$144K

Low$142K

Close$142K

Open positions4,521

USD balance$6.72K

25-$1.87K

Jul 25, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.87K

Open$142K

High$143K

Low$140K

Close$140K

Open positions4,570

USD balance$16.3K

26-$483

Jul 26, 2026

Daily PnL

-$483

Open$140K

High$141K

Low$139K

Close$140K

Open positions4,608

USD balance$15.6K

27-$2.43K

Jul 27, 2026

Daily PnL

-$2.43K

Open$140K

High$140K

Low$137K

Close$137K

Open positions4,677

USD balance$4.25K

28-$1.84K

Jul 28, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.84K

Open$137K

High$138K

Low$135K

Close$136K

Open positions4,681

USD balance$2.21K

29-$25.7

Jul 29, 2026

Daily PnL

-$25.7

Open$136K

High$136K

Low$135K

Close$136K

Open positions4,687

USD balance$6.38K

Performance Summary

PnL Change

1D -$4457D -$12.8K30D -$58.3K

Markets

61167

Won

38835

Lost

17165

Win Rate

69.3%

Profit Factor

0.56x

Avg Win

$6.61

Avg Loss

-$26.8

Total Wins

$257K

Total Losses

-$460K

Avg. Hold Time

17d 18h 50m 39s

Best Win

$1.3K

Will Norway win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Worst Loss

-$2.51K

Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Period

Best Period

$84.6K, Mar 1 – Mar 7

Worst Period

-$28.6K, Jul 12 – Jul 18

Longest Streak

7d W / 20d L

Current Streak

10d L

Max Drawdown

-$68.5K (-33.6%)

Current DD

-$68.5K (-33.6%)

Max Runup

$223K (1208.4%)

Rebates

$22.8K(101)

Rewards

$343K(566)

Yield

$263(322)

Haradwaith

Analytics

Analytics

Haradwaith

Haradwaith

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Volume

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Haradwaith

Trader DNA

Trader DNA