
Volume
$183
Txns
30
Traders
14
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$11,542
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count. The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced. Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Trades
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
No 100%$30.3Mvolume
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No 93%$32.1Mvolume
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
No 99%$9.37Mvolume
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
No 85%$572Kvolume
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
No 76%$495Kvolume
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
No 99%$1.33Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3h | hspje89 | Yes / 80.0¢ | +12.50 | $10 | |
| 3h | 0xe3ae...3d217a | No / 20.0¢ | +12.50 | $2.5 | |
| 7h | Zolot | Yes / 78.0¢ | -20.00 | $15.6 | |
| 7h | Kristotu | No / 22.0¢ | -20.00 | $4.4 | |
| 7h | nani | No / 20.0¢ | -44.68 | $8.94 | |
| 7h | 0xe3ae...3d217a | No / 20.0¢ | +44.68 | $8.94 | |
| 7h | Kristotu | No / 21.0¢ | +20.00 | $4.2 | |
| 7h | Zolot | Yes / 79.0¢ | +60.00 | $47.4 | |
| 7h | nani | No / 21.0¢ | +40.00 | $8.4 | |
| 9h | 0x0b242dd2E276f152466A3388168776eC14F0db31-1779297083017 | No / 21.0¢ | -4.68 | $0.98 | |
| 9h | nani | No / 21.0¢ | +4.68 | $0.98 | |
| 10h | 0x145758979e1C569A6AB9E7866b34d3F15Ca24207-1779331389708 | No / 23.0¢ | +4.35 | $1 | |
| 10h | IrinaD | No / 23.0¢ | -4.35 | $1 | |
| 11h | skybuyer24 | No / 21.6¢ | -29.99 | $6.47 | |
| 11h | AJSV | No / 22.0¢ | +16.73 | $3.68 | |
| 11h | IrinaD | No / 21.0¢ | +13.26 | $2.78 | |
| 14h | skybuyer24 | No / 21.0¢ | +15.00 | $3.15 | |
| 14h | uuhu | Yes / 79.0¢ | +15.00 | $11.8 | |
| 14h | skybuyer24 | No / 21.0¢ | +14.99 | $3.15 | |
| 14h | uuhu | No / 21.0¢ | -14.99 | $3.15 | |
| 14h | AJSV | No / 22.0¢ | +2.56 | $0.56 | |
| 14h | ksjds | Yes / 78.0¢ | +2.56 | $2 | |
| 14h | uuhu | No / 30.0¢ | +14.99 | $4.5 | |
| 14h | Chims | Yes / 70.0¢ | +14.99 | $10.5 | |
| 15h | 0x0b242dd2E276f152466A3388168776eC14F0db31-1779297083017 | No / 30.0¢ | +3.33 | $1 |
1–25