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  1. Home
  2. /Tags
  3. /Geopolitics

Geopolitics Markets

Explore prediction markets related to tag: Geopolitics.

$6.34Bvolume·979Ktraders·32.1Mtrades·$1.11Kfees

MarketProbability
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

0.2%

$17.3M

2,433

638

$11M

4,790

Apr 21, 2026

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

0.2%

$2.57M

823

337

$3.37M

12,218

Apr 30, 2026

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

2.2%

$1.34M

7,248

1,197

$835K

8,717

Apr 30, 2026

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

0.4%

$950K

3,750

611

$703K

20,112

Apr 30, 2026

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

41.0%

$803K

10,252

1,097

$75.6K

2,571

—

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?

0.1%

$520K

3,434

338

$185K

1,687

Apr 27, 2026

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

1.2%

$504K

2,069

358

$330K

5,755

Apr 30, 2026

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

3.9%

$446K

2,106

434

$177K

6,263

Apr 30, 2026

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

3.1%

$429K

6,618

1,970

$451K

2,877

May 31, 2026

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

0.2%

$420K

761

240

$265K

3,527

Apr 30, 2026

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?

9.0%

$416K

2,758

712

$181K

3,648

Apr 30, 2026

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

30.0%

$312K

2,526

775

$349K

5,220

May 31, 2026

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?

9.0%

$260K

1,668

510

$99.6K

2,957

Apr 30, 2026

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

15.0%

$235K

874

314

$351K

1,060

May 15, 2026

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?

1.2%

$233K

3,000

356

$121K

1,196

Apr 28, 2026

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

7.4%

$231K

3,787

1,261

$945K

16,927

Dec 31, 2026

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

7.0%

$195K

502

157

$723K

18,500

Jun 30, 2026

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

39.0%

$193K

1,800

519

$150K

4,286

May 31, 2026

Iran leadership change by April 30?
Iran leadership change by April 30?

1.9%

$186K

941

209

$137K

3,329

Apr 30, 2026

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?

1.2%

$139K

818

252

$150K

3,013

Apr 30, 2026

Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?

83.9%

$139K

5,340

639

$26.8K

707

Apr 30, 2026

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

11.0%

$129K

385

143

$225K

1,714

May 31, 2026

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?

5.0%

$128K

900

308

$85.7K

1,090

Apr 29, 2026

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

7.0%

$127K

490

184

$263K

3,618

May 31, 2026

First pageNext page

Analytics

Volume

Fees

Trades

Unique traders

Avg trade size

Volume

explorer.struct.to/tags/geopolitics
Apr 27, 2026, 12:03 UTC

Yes vs No volume

explorer.struct.to/tags/geopolitics
Apr 27, 2026, 12:03 UTC

Yes vs No trades

explorer.struct.to/tags/geopolitics
Apr 27, 2026, 12:03 UTC

Unique traders

explorer.struct.to/tags/geopolitics
Apr 27, 2026, 12:03 UTC

Makers vs takers

explorer.struct.to/tags/geopolitics
Apr 27, 2026, 12:03 UTC

Fees

explorer.struct.to/tags/geopolitics
Apr 27, 2026, 12:03 UTC

Avg trade size

explorer.struct.to/tags/geopolitics
Apr 27, 2026, 12:03 UTC

Shares traded

explorer.struct.to/tags/geopolitics
Apr 27, 2026, 12:03 UTC

Buy size distribution

explorer.struct.to/tags/geopolitics
Apr 27, 2026, 12:03 UTC

Trade types

explorer.struct.to/tags/geopolitics
Apr 27, 2026, 12:03 UTC

Volume

explorer.struct.to/tags/geopolitics
Apr 27, 2026, 12:03 UTC

Yes vs No volume

explorer.struct.to/tags/geopolitics
Apr 27, 2026, 12:03 UTC

Yes vs No trades

explorer.struct.to/tags/geopolitics
Apr 27, 2026, 12:03 UTC

Unique traders

explorer.struct.to/tags/geopolitics
Apr 27, 2026, 12:03 UTC

Makers vs takers

explorer.struct.to/tags/geopolitics
Apr 27, 2026, 12:03 UTC

Fees

explorer.struct.to/tags/geopolitics
Apr 27, 2026, 12:03 UTC

Avg trade size

explorer.struct.to/tags/geopolitics
Apr 27, 2026, 12:03 UTC

Shares traded

explorer.struct.to/tags/geopolitics
Apr 27, 2026, 12:03 UTC

Buy size distribution

Total buys3.34M
explorer.struct.to/tags/geopolitics
Apr 27, 2026, 12:03 UTC

Trade types

explorer.struct.to/tags/geopolitics
Apr 27, 2026, 12:03 UTC

Volume

$1.13B

+3459.9%

Fees

$1.1K

+1877724.6%

Trades

5.54M

+2349.6%

Unique traders

90.3K

-423.0%

Avg trade size

$203

+45.3%