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Avg trade size
| Merge | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? YesPolitics 416,132.00 shares | 50.0¢ / 21.5¢ | -$119K (-3.8%) | $3.11M | $0 | $2.9M | Jun 13, 2026 1:15 PM | |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? NoPolitics 416,132.00 shares | 50.0¢ / 76.0¢ | $108K (3.5%) | $3.11M | $0 | $2.9M | Jun 13, 2026 12:13 PM |
| Market | Entry / Current | PnL | Buys | Sells | Merge | Last Active | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)? WonYesPolitics | 15.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $445K (534.6%) | $83.2K · 42 | $0 | $0 | Feb 28, 2026 12:48 PM | |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? WonYesPolitics | 2.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $100K (3650.0%) | $2.74K · 21 | $2.76K · 11 | $0 | Mar 4, 2026 7:29 PM | |
 Will the US next strike Iran on March 2, 2026 (ET)? WonYesPolitics | — / 0.0¢ | $5.01K | $0 | $15 · 10 | $5K | Mar 4, 2026 8:06 AM | |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? WonNoPolitics | 95.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $2.47K (4.4%) | $56K · 31 | $2.76K · 1 | $0 | May 1, 2026 4:09 PM | |
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? WonNoPolitics | 97.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $915 (1.6%) | $57.3K · 28 | $29.6K · 59 | $0 | Apr 1, 2026 8:35 AM | |
 US forces enter Iran by December 31? WonYesPolitics | 99.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $736 (0.2%) | $378K · 96 | $21K · 3 | $0 | Apr 9, 2026 6:11 AM | |
US forces enter Iran by April 30? WonYesPolitics | 99.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $478 (0.1%) | $504K · 24 | $505K · 24 | $0 | Apr 9, 2026 12:29 AM | |
 Will Iran strike Israel on March 6? WonNoPolitics | 99.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $449 (0.2%) | $249K · 47 | $0 | $0 | Mar 12, 2026 7:26 AM | |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 99.9¢ / 0.0¢ | $365 (0.1%) | $364K · 11 | $0 | $0 | May 9, 2026 7:47 PM | |
99.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $334 (0.2%) | $198K · 24 | $0 | $0 | Feb 4, 2026 7:03 AM | ||
 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 99.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $308 (0.1%) | $308K · 1 | $0 | $0 | Apr 21, 2026 6:14 AM | |
 Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 99.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $308 (0.1%) | $307K · 47 | $0 | $0 | Apr 17, 2026 6:17 AM | |
 U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30? WonYesPolitics | 99.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $307 (0.1%) | $307K · 21 | $0 | $0 | Apr 25, 2026 7:10 AM | |
 Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman? WonYesPolitics | 99.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $304 (0.2%) | $153K · 5 | $0 | $0 | Feb 10, 2026 7:04 AM | |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31? WonNoPolitics | 99.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $302 (0.2%) | $151K · 6 | $0 | $0 | Jan 5, 2026 1:08 AM | |
99.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $268 (0.2%) | $174K · 10 | $156K · 1 | $0 | Mar 19, 2026 8:20 PM | ||
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? WonYesPolitics | 99.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $250 (0.2%) | $150K · 33 | $0 | $0 | Mar 4, 2026 7:53 AM | |
99.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $250 (0.1%) | $250K · 3 | $0 | $0 | Apr 5, 2026 7:49 AM | ||
 US government shutdown Saturday? WonYesPolitics | 99.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $243 (0.2%) | $119K · 19 | $115K · 9 | $0 | Feb 4, 2026 7:03 AM | |
95.0¢ / 99.9¢ | $221 (5.2%) | $4.28K · 1 | $4.5K · 1 | $0 | Feb 3, 2026 3:53 PM | ||
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027? WonYesPolitics | 99.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $206 (0.1%) | $186K · 120 | $9.98K · 6 | $0 | Mar 14, 2026 7:51 AM | |
99.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $205 (0.1%) | $204K · 24 | $0 | $0 | Feb 28, 2026 7:08 PM | ||
 Will the US strike Somalia next? WonYesPolitics | 99.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $201 (0.1%) | $201K · 16 | $0 | $0 | Jan 27, 2026 5:58 AM | |
 Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? WonNoSports | 99.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $200 (0.2%) | $99.8K · 25 | $0 | $0 | May 30, 2026 7:18 PM | |
99.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $200 (0.2%) | $99.8K · 60 | $0 | $0 | May 31, 2026 6:18 AM |
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Performance Summary
PnL Change
Markets
69
Won
60
Lost
2
Win Rate
96.8%
Profit Factor
0.26x
Avg Win
$2.39K
Avg Loss
-$272K
Total Wins
$144K
Total Losses
-$543K
Avg. Hold Time
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