| PnL | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bill Clinton divorce by June 30? No 436.86 net shares | 98.4¢ / 99.4¢ | $0 (1.0%) | Jun 4, 2026 11:20 AM | |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026? No -45.30 net shares | — / 99.1¢ | $44.8 | Jun 1, 2026 4:26 PM | |
 Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No 41.49 net shares | 98.0¢ / 98.1¢ | $0 (0.1%) | Jun 1, 2026 12:44 PM | |
 June 30 No 100.27 net shares | 98.1¢ / 99.2¢ | $0 (1.1%) | Jun 1, 2026 10:55 AM | |
 25 bps decrease No 820.31 net shares | 98.3¢ / 99.7¢ | $0 (1.4%) | May 29, 2026 2:29 PM | |
 June 30 No -151.69 net shares | — / 99.5¢ | $150 | May 27, 2026 7:12 PM | |
 GTA VI released before June 2026? No 132.27 net shares | 98.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (1.8%) | May 27, 2026 7:26 AM | |
 May 31 No 206.11 net shares | 97.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (2.1%) | May 27, 2026 5:34 AM | |
 Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30? No -79.12 net shares | 98.4¢ / 98.5¢ | $0 (0.1%) | May 27, 2026 3:37 AM | |
 by June 30, 2026 No -723.82 net shares | 98.8¢ / 99.7¢ | $0.76 (0.9%) | May 26, 2026 7:11 AM | |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? No 82.38 net shares | 98.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (2.0%) | May 26, 2026 12:16 AM | |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? No 2,987.61 net shares | 97.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (2.7%) | May 25, 2026 9:48 PM | |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No 270.76 net shares | 97.6¢ / 98.6¢ | $1.32 (1.0%) | May 25, 2026 5:13 PM | |
50+ bps decrease No 107.36 net shares | 99.3¢ / 99.8¢ | $0 (0.4%) | May 25, 2026 4:29 PM | |
 May 31 No 793.58 net shares | 99.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (0.6%) | May 25, 2026 11:47 AM | |
25 bps increase No -560.02 net shares | 99.0¢ / 99.7¢ | $0 (0.8%) | May 25, 2026 2:48 AM | |
 >$40M No -170.87 net shares | 98.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (1.3%) | May 24, 2026 1:00 AM | |
 Chicago White Sox No 531.98 net shares | 99.2¢ / 97.2¢ | -$5.45 (-2.1%) | May 23, 2026 3:58 PM | |
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No -425.59 net shares | 98.3¢ / 99.4¢ | $1.5 (1.2%) | May 22, 2026 9:10 AM | |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? No -281.60 net shares | 97.9¢ / 99.0¢ | $0 (1.1%) | May 20, 2026 1:58 PM | |
No change Yes 850.10 net shares | 97.6¢ / 99.2¢ | $0 (1.6%) | May 20, 2026 10:22 AM | |
 Henry Cavill No -133.50 net shares | 98.4¢ / 99.8¢ | $0 (1.4%) | May 19, 2026 9:49 AM | |
 Xi Jinping No 114.02 net shares | 98.6¢ / 98.8¢ | $0 (0.2%) | May 16, 2026 10:09 PM | |
 Romania No -718.54 net shares | 97.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (2.6%) | May 16, 2026 7:48 PM | |
 Sweden No -40.00 net shares | 99.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (0.8%) | May 16, 2026 8:08 AM |
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