
Volume
$8M
Txns
102,088
Traders
6,126
Fees
$8,202
Liquidity
$689,775
Ends
Jun 17, 2026
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Trades
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 99%$20.9Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$10.8Mvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$6.64Mvolume
Fed rate hike in 2026?
No 59%$1.79Mvolume
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 79%$5.31Mvolume
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
No 100%$2.89Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6m | Desy-1725192185234 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +126.04 | $0.25 | |
| 6m | yuho02 | Yes / 0.2¢ | -126.04 | $0.24 | |
| 11m | cryptojew69420 | Yes / 0.3¢ | +333.33 | $1.05 | |
| 11m | debased | Yes / 0.3¢ | -333.33 | $1 | |
| 17m | debased | Yes / 0.3¢ | -130.00 | $0.39 | |
| 17m | Politicalo345 | No / 99.7¢ | -130.00 | $130 | |
| 29m | Desy-1725192185234 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +63.20 | $0.13 | |
| 29m | PPMT | Yes / 0.2¢ | -63.20 | $0.12 | |
| 36m | Desy-1725192185234 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +54.56 | $0.11 | |
| 36m | jtLOL | No / 99.8¢ | +54.56 | $54.5 | |
| 37m | Desy-1725192185234 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +1.10 | $0 | |
| 37m | eivid | No / 99.8¢ | +1.10 | $1.1 | |
| 39m | craigcoleman | Yes / 0.3¢ | +291.00 | $0.92 | |
| 39m | debased | Yes / 0.3¢ | -291.00 | $0.87 | |
| 46m | Desy-1725192185234 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +30.06 | $0.06 | |
| 46m | vdsfsdjthyr | No / 99.8¢ | +30.06 | $30 | |
| 51m | debased | Yes / 0.3¢ | -3,173.33 | $9.52 | |
| 51m | suntori | Yes / 0.3¢ | +3,173.33 | $10 | |
| 54m | debased | Yes / 0.3¢ | -352.29 | $1.06 | |
| 54m | suntori | Yes / 0.3¢ | +633.33 | $1.99 | |
| 54m | Desy-1725192185234 | Yes / 0.3¢ | -281.04 | $0.84 | |
| 56m | Desy-1725192185234 | Yes / 0.3¢ | -9.99 | $0.03 | |
| 56m | sarahowell | No / 99.7¢ | -9.99 | $9.96 | |
| 1h | Desy-1725192185234 | Yes / 0.3¢ | -50.00 | $0.15 | |
| 1h | zheath | No / 99.7¢ | -50.00 | $49.8 |
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