
Volume
$20M
Txns
93,288
Traders
10,268
Fees
$43
Ends
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify. Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure. A widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
No 100%$35.9Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
No 100%$66.9Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
No 100%$31.3Mvolume
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Yes 100%$71.3Kvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
No 100%$4.71Mvolume
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
No 100%$8.64Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | whaleP1 | No / 99.9¢ | -10.96 | $10.9 | |
| 1h | ZhangMuZhisDaddy | No / 99.9¢ | +10.96 | $10.9 | |
| 1h | 0x5449...46992b | No / 99.9¢ | -1.04 | $1.04 | |
| 1h | ZhangMuZhisDaddy | No / 99.9¢ | +1.04 | $1.04 | |
| 1h | ZhangMuZhisDaddy | No / 99.9¢ | +0.85 | $0.85 | |
| 1h | 0xf885...dc5274 | No / 99.9¢ | -3.93 | $3.93 | |
| 1h | ZhangMuZhisDaddy | No / 99.9¢ | +3.93 | $3.93 | |
| 1h | ZhangMuZhisDaddy | No / 99.9¢ | +4.74 | $4.74 | |
| 1h | ZhangMuZhisDaddy | No / 99.9¢ | +0.40 | $0.4 | |
| 1h | 0x5449...46992b | No / 99.9¢ | -0.85 | $0.85 | |
| 1h | ZhangMuZhisDaddy | No / 99.9¢ | +1.81 | $1.81 | |
| 1h | 0xf885...dc5274 | No / 99.9¢ | -1.81 | $1.81 | |
| 1h | 0x5449...46992b | No / 99.9¢ | -0.40 | $0.4 | |
| 1h | 0xf885...dc5274 | No / 99.9¢ | -4.74 | $4.74 | |
| 1h | fl9dqwubtwzf | No / 98.9¢ | -0.05 | $0.05 | |
| 1h | ZhangMuZhisDaddy | No / 99.9¢ | +0.20 | $0.2 | |
| 1h | ZhangMuZhisDaddy | No / 99.9¢ | +0.05 | $0.05 | |
| 1h | 0xf885...dc5274 | No / 99.9¢ | -0.20 | $0.2 | |
| 1h | 0x5449...46992b | No / 99.9¢ | -0.44 | $0.44 | |
| 1h | ZhangMuZhisDaddy | No / 99.9¢ | +2.04 | $2.04 | |
| 1h | 0xf885...dc5274 | No / 99.9¢ | -2.04 | $2.04 | |
| 1h | ZhangMuZhisDaddy | No / 99.9¢ | +0.44 | $0.44 | |
| 1h | ZhangMuZhisDaddy | No / 99.9¢ | +0.03 | $0.03 | |
| 1h | ZhangMuZhisDaddy | No / 99.9¢ | +2,955.94 | $2.95K | |
| 1h | g4z3ll3 | No / 99.9¢ | -5.19 | $5.18 |
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