
Volume
$24M
Txns
97,190
Traders
10,336
Fees
$45
Ends
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify. Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure. A widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 76%$0volume
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
No 100%$0volume
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?
No 100%$0volume
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?
No 100%$0volume
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?
No 97%$0volume
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
No 92%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1mo | whaleP1 | No / 99.9¢ | -10.96 | $10.9 | |
| 1mo | ZhangMuZhisDaddy | No / 99.9¢ | +10.96 | $10.9 | |
| 1mo | 0x5449...46992b | No / 99.9¢ | -1.04 | $1.04 | |
| 1mo | ZhangMuZhisDaddy | No / 99.9¢ | +1.04 | $1.04 | |
| 1mo | ZhangMuZhisDaddy | No / 99.9¢ | +0.85 | $0.85 | |
| 1mo | 0xf885...dc5274 | No / 99.9¢ | -3.93 | $3.93 | |
| 1mo | ZhangMuZhisDaddy | No / 99.9¢ | +3.93 | $3.93 | |
| 1mo | ZhangMuZhisDaddy | No / 99.9¢ | +4.74 | $4.74 | |
| 1mo | ZhangMuZhisDaddy | No / 99.9¢ | +0.40 | $0.4 | |
| 1mo | 0x5449...46992b | No / 99.9¢ | -0.85 | $0.85 | |
| 1mo | ZhangMuZhisDaddy | No / 99.9¢ | +1.81 | $1.81 | |
| 1mo | 0xf885...dc5274 | No / 99.9¢ | -1.81 | $1.81 | |
| 1mo | 0x5449...46992b | No / 99.9¢ | -0.40 | $0.4 | |
| 1mo | 0xf885...dc5274 | No / 99.9¢ | -4.74 | $4.74 | |
| 1mo | fl9dqwubtwzf | No / 98.9¢ | -0.05 | $0.05 | |
| 1mo | ZhangMuZhisDaddy | No / 99.9¢ | +0.20 | $0.2 | |
| 1mo | ZhangMuZhisDaddy | No / 99.9¢ | +0.05 | $0.05 | |
| 1mo | 0xf885...dc5274 | No / 99.9¢ | -0.20 | $0.2 | |
| 1mo | 0x5449...46992b | No / 99.9¢ | -0.44 | $0.44 | |
| 1mo | ZhangMuZhisDaddy | No / 99.9¢ | +2.04 | $2.04 | |
| 1mo | 0xf885...dc5274 | No / 99.9¢ | -2.04 | $2.04 | |
| 1mo | ZhangMuZhisDaddy | No / 99.9¢ | +0.44 | $0.44 | |
| 1mo | ZhangMuZhisDaddy | No / 99.9¢ | +0.03 | $0.03 | |
| 1mo | ZhangMuZhisDaddy | No / 99.9¢ | +2,955.94 | $2.95K | |
| 1mo | g4z3ll3 | No / 99.9¢ | -5.19 | $5.18 |
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