
Volume
$808K
Txns
10,452
Traders
1,354
Fees
$2,274
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 3.5 model is made available to the general public by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 3.5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. Gemini 3.5 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.5 (e.g., Gemini 3.5 Pro would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Gemini 3, similar to the progression from Gemini 2.0 to Gemini 2.5. Products labeled as Gemini 4 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. Additional Gemini 3 models (e.g. a release of Gemini 3 Flash-lite) will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31…
No 75%$0volume
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Yes 76%$0volume
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 85%$0volume
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December…
No 69%$0volume
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 3…
No 58%$0volume
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on…
Yes 76%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2mo | Jjgr | Yes / 99.9¢ | -399.99 | $400 | |
| 2mo | niqqaping | Yes / 99.9¢ | +399.99 | $400 | |
| 2mo | JhonPol | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1.22 | $1.22 | |
| 2mo | kobie3 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1.22 | $1.22 | |
| 2mo | kobie3 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +0.28 | $0.28 | |
| 2mo | 0x5ab4...f25c9c | Yes / 99.9¢ | -0.28 | $0.28 | |
| 2mo | kobie3 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +688.18 | $687 | |
| 2mo | 0x3606F455cF588C84453f56E749cd15BCa4f14e08-1760889589657 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -720.00 | $719 | |
| 2mo | labistiiia | No / 0.1¢ | -31.82 | $0.03 | |
| 2mo | labistiiia | No / 0.1¢ | -939.78 | $0.94 | |
| 2mo | 0x58645056973cf7bfE401a00086A6742cB08be473-1771530655480 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -939.78 | $939 | |
| 2mo | labistiiia | No / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 2mo | muaddipp | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1.04 | |
| 2mo | robotictrader | Yes / 99.9¢ | -28.40 | $28.4 | |
| 2mo | labistiiia | No / 0.1¢ | -28.40 | $0.03 | |
| 2mo | iutwpfal | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1,137.34 | $1.14K | |
| 2mo | HerrieDavis | No / 0.1¢ | -100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 2mo | BikesAreTheBikes | No / 0.1¢ | -36.34 | $0.04 | |
| 2mo | OraculumNobius | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,001.00 | $1000 | |
| 2mo | melganis | No / 0.1¢ | +4,998.90 | $5 | |
| 2mo | thereallkanyewest | Yes / 99.9¢ | +4,998.90 | $4.99K | |
| 2mo | 1101101 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1.09 | $1.09 | |
| 2mo | melganis | No / 0.1¢ | +1.09 | $0 | |
| 2mo | noid2 | No / 0.1¢ | +500.00 | $0.5 | |
| 2mo | norealtime | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 |
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