
Volume
$808K
Txns
10,415
Traders
1,352
Fees
$2,274
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 3.5 model is made available to the general public by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 3.5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. Gemini 3.5 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.5 (e.g., Gemini 3.5 Pro would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Gemini 3, similar to the progression from Gemini 2.0 to Gemini 2.5. Products labeled as Gemini 4 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. Additional Gemini 3 models (e.g. a release of Gemini 3 Flash-lite) will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?
No 100%$184Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?
Yes 100%$108Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?
Yes 100%$114Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 93%$3.15Mvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550?
No 100%$74.8Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 85%$1.82Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23d | Jjgr | Yes / 99.9¢ | -399.99 | $400 | |
| 23d | niqqaping | Yes / 99.9¢ | +399.99 | $400 | |
| 23d | JhonPol | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1.22 | $1.22 | |
| 23d | kobie3 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1.22 | $1.22 | |
| 23d | kobie3 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +0.28 | $0.28 | |
| 23d | 0x5ab4...f25c9c | Yes / 99.9¢ | -0.28 | $0.28 | |
| 23d | kobie3 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +688.18 | $687 | |
| 23d | 0x3606F455cF588C84453f56E749cd15BCa4f14e08-1760889589657 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -720.00 | $719 | |
| 23d | labistiiia | No / 0.1¢ | -31.82 | $0.03 | |
| 23d | labistiiia | No / 0.1¢ | -939.78 | $0.94 | |
| 23d | 0x58645056973cf7bfE401a00086A6742cB08be473-1771530655480 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -939.78 | $939 | |
| 23d | labistiiia | No / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 23d | muaddipp | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1.04 | |
| 23d | robotictrader | Yes / 99.9¢ | -28.40 | $28.4 | |
| 23d | labistiiia | No / 0.1¢ | -28.40 | $0.03 | |
| 23d | iusedtowritepoetryforaliving | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1,137.34 | $1.14K | |
| 23d | HerrieDavis | No / 0.1¢ | -100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 23d | BikesAreTheBikes | No / 0.1¢ | -36.34 | $0.04 | |
| 23d | OraculumNobius | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,001.00 | $1000 | |
| 23d | melganis | No / 0.1¢ | +4,998.90 | $5 | |
| 23d | XuRi888 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +4,998.90 | $4.99K | |
| 23d | 1101101 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1.09 | $1.09 | |
| 23d | melganis | No / 0.1¢ | +1.09 | $0 | |
| 23d | noid2 | No / 0.1¢ | +500.00 | $0.5 | |
| 23d | norealtime | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 |
1–25