| PnL | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No 803.70 net shares | 74.7¢ / 71.0¢ | -$4.87 (-4.9%) | May 14, 2026 5:59 PM | |
 May 31 No 1,004.05 net shares | 71.7¢ / 72.0¢ | $0.36 (0.4%) | May 14, 2026 5:58 PM | |
 Will a hurricane form by May 31? No 0.01 net shares | 97.5¢ / 98.3¢ | $0 (0.8%) | May 14, 2026 5:58 PM | |
 AI / Artificial Intelligence Yes 0.00 net shares | 61.5¢ / 0.1¢ | -$0 (-99.8%) | May 14, 2026 1:39 PM | |
 May 15 No -40.53 net shares | 83.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (19.5%) | May 13, 2026 8:57 AM | |
 ↑ $140 No 38.70 net shares | 95.3¢ / 97.5¢ | $0.43 (2.3%) | May 12, 2026 7:05 AM | |
 ↑ $120 No 123.46 net shares | 81.6¢ / 84.5¢ | $0 (3.5%) | May 11, 2026 11:45 AM | |
↑ $130 No 444.44 net shares | 90.4¢ / 93.0¢ | $1.47 (2.9%) | May 11, 2026 11:45 AM | |
 June 30 No 555.56 net shares | 36.0¢ / 33.0¢ | -$4.17 (-8.3%) | May 11, 2026 8:31 AM | |
 Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No -549.31 net shares | 91.0¢ / 94.6¢ | $0 (4.0%) | May 10, 2026 4:37 PM | |
 No Meeting by June 30 Yes 56.09 net shares | 35.7¢ / 32.4¢ | -$0.91 (-9.1%) | May 6, 2026 6:14 AM | |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? Yes -24.39 net shares | 41.0¢ / 4.5¢ | -$0 (-89.0%) | May 5, 2026 5:48 AM | |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? No 235.29 net shares | 85.0¢ / 95.4¢ | $12.2 (12.2%) | May 5, 2026 5:48 AM | |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? No -20.51 net shares | 78.0¢ / 99.9¢ | $0 (28.1%) | May 5, 2026 5:47 AM | |
 Nothing Ever Happens: March Nothing 0.00 net shares | 46.8¢ / 92.7¢ | $0 (98.0%) | Mar 29, 2026 7:48 AM | |
 Marco Rubio Yes 964.37 net shares | 18.3¢ / 23.0¢ | $22.7 (25.8%) | Mar 23, 2026 6:27 AM | |
 J.D. Vance No 94.94 net shares | 63.2¢ / 64.1¢ | $0.43 (1.4%) | Mar 23, 2026 6:27 AM | |
 Robert Golob Yes 88.24 net shares | 68.0¢ / 0.3¢ | -$29.9 (-99.6%) | Mar 23, 2026 6:15 AM | |
 Mark Kelly Yes 0.01 net shares | 2.8¢ / 2.1¢ | -$0 (-25.0%) | Mar 21, 2026 8:12 PM | |
J.D. Vance Yes 0.01 net shares | 60.0¢ / 35.0¢ | -$0 (-41.7%) | Mar 20, 2026 5:37 PM | |
 June 30 Yes 0.00 net shares | 17.0¢ / 3.2¢ | -$0 (-81.2%) | Mar 17, 2026 9:50 PM | |
 Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? No 15.24 net shares | 82.0¢ / 93.0¢ | $1.68 (13.4%) | Mar 17, 2026 12:06 PM | |
 Donald Trump Yes 0.01 net shares | 13.0¢ / 8.0¢ | -$0 (-38.5%) | Mar 1, 2026 9:08 PM | |
 April 30 Yes 0.00 net shares | 94.0¢ / 0.0¢ | -$0 (-100.0%) | Feb 27, 2026 2:31 PM | |
 Gavin Newsom Yes 0.00 net shares | 27.6¢ / 24.9¢ | -$0 (-9.8%) | Feb 24, 2026 10:07 AM |
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