
Volume
$7M
Txns
54,959
Traders
5,191
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if France, the United Kingdom, or Germany initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by French, United Kingdom, or German military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a French, United Kingdom, or German missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by French, United Kingdom, or German ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3mo | weaklei | No / 99.9¢ | +302.00 | $302 | |
| 3mo | Secondhandvinyl | No / 99.9¢ | +20.00 | $20 | |
| 3mo | frosique1 | No / 99.9¢ | -322.00 | $322 | |
| 3mo | 5273853 | No / 99.9¢ | +93.00 | $92.9 | |
| 3mo | Secondhandvinyl | No / 99.9¢ | +20.00 | $20 | |
| 3mo | triklozoid | Yes / 0.1¢ | -30.00 | $0.03 | |
| 3mo | 0x4E75B91fb06288B0A005CDBE6679c5Daf315C2D8-1772395610988 | No / 99.9¢ | -143.00 | $143 | |
| 3mo | ffgglu | No / 99.9¢ | -6.17 | $6.16 | |
| 3mo | FlyingPlaty | No / 99.9¢ | +6.17 | $6.16 | |
| 3mo | FlyingPlaty | No / 99.9¢ | +1.10 | $1.1 | |
| 3mo | Mathys972.2 | No / 99.9¢ | -1.10 | $1.1 | |
| 3mo | 0xd3De5841D93c211EeDA91628127e84FED4B4FE0e-1770165147778 | No / 99.9¢ | -6.98 | $6.97 | |
| 3mo | FlyingPlaty | No / 99.9¢ | +6.98 | $6.97 | |
| 3mo | 2117 | No / 99.9¢ | -4,196.60 | $4.19K | |
| 3mo | Secondhandvinyl | No / 99.9¢ | +20.00 | $20 | |
| 3mo | FlyingPlaty | No / 99.9¢ | +3,175.40 | $3.17K | |
| 3mo | morilun | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,001.20 | $1 | |
| 3mo | morilun | Yes / 0.1¢ | -3.25 | $0 | |
| 3mo | 0x8b03...a390a7 | No / 99.9¢ | -3.25 | $3.25 | |
| 3mo | morilun | Yes / 0.1¢ | -25.21 | $0.03 | |
| 3mo | Chuggo1 | No / 99.9¢ | -25.21 | $25.2 | |
| 3mo | morilun | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1.29 | $0 | |
| 3mo | 0x3490...10e792 | No / 99.9¢ | -1.29 | $1.29 | |
| 3mo | 0x141c...78ae86 | No / 99.9¢ | -2.69 | $2.69 | |
| 3mo | morilun | Yes / 0.1¢ | -2.69 | $0 |
1–25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 76%$0volume
Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
No 92%$0volume
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No 91%$0volume
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?
No 100%$0volume
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
No 93%$0volume
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?
No 87%$0volume