
Volume
$369K
Txns
5,958
Traders
1,081
Fees
$0
Ends
May 31, 2026
The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season will take place over a period lasting from June 1 to November 30. This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms. If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9d | 0x3EDB97F456E17ce10DdDe955c7Cb6352392d2cD1-1773308054537 | No / 99.9¢ | -18.51 | $18.5 | |
| 9d | TENETENET | Yes / 0.1¢ | -18.51 | $0.02 | |
| 10d | 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes / 0.9¢ | -24.60 | $0.22 | |
| 10d | acc32 | Yes / 0.5¢ | -155.72 | $0.78 | |
| 10d | bavart09 | Yes / 0.6¢ | +180.32 | $1 | |
| 10d | floss-duff | No / 99.5¢ | -5.19 | $5.16 | |
| 10d | acc32 | Yes / 0.5¢ | -5.19 | $0.03 | |
| 10d | wwder | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 10d | TENETENET | Yes / 0.1¢ | +79.98 | $0.08 | |
| 10d | i2dt | No / 99.9¢ | +134.98 | $135 | |
| 10d | triklozoid | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 11d | TENETENET | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.01 | $0.01 | |
| 11d | skbdi | No / 99.9¢ | +10.01 | $10 | |
| 11d | LisaMalory | No / 99.6¢ | -9.00 | $8.96 | |
| 11d | rocky42008 | Yes / 0.4¢ | -9.00 | $0.04 | |
| 11d | TENETENET | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.01 | $0.01 | |
| 11d | LisaMalory | No / 99.9¢ | +10.01 | $10 | |
| 11d | Bstandal | No / 99.6¢ | -20.10 | $20 | |
| 11d | rocky42008 | Yes / 0.4¢ | -20.10 | $0.08 | |
| 11d | zeroEV | No / 99.6¢ | -5.00 | $4.98 | |
| 11d | rocky42008 | Yes / 0.4¢ | -5.00 | $0.02 | |
| 11d | acc32 | Yes / 0.3¢ | +160.92 | $0.48 | |
| 11d | Crypto-Well | Yes / 0.3¢ | -160.92 | $0.48 | |
| 11d | 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes / 0.9¢ | -29.46 | $0.27 | |
| 11d | 0x7b82CeBa10EB8F06a314A8d84bf6813957198d9F-1767456815278 | No / 99.1¢ | -29.46 | $29.2 |
1–25
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?
Yes 49%$34.1Kvolume
Natural Disaster in 2026?
No 78%$212Kvolume
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
No 90%$98.7Kvolume
Category 5 hurricane hits US before election?
No 100%$120Kvolume
Nothing Ever Happens: Natural Disaster Edition
Yes 100%$68.5Kvolume
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in September 2025?
No 100%$145Kvolume