fortunefavorsthebrave Polymarket Trader

How We Built Realtime Precomputed PnL for PolymarketRead the post

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Volume

Fees

Trades

Avg trade size

					Merge
Fed rate hike in 2026? NoEconomics 50.00 shares	81.0¢ / 34.0¢	-$23.5 (-58.0%)	$40.5 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 31, 2026 3:10 AM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? WonNoPolitics	84.0¢ / 100.0¢	$14.4 (17.1%)	$84 · 1	$98.4 · 1	$0	May 1, 2026 2:01 PM
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 mee… WonYesEconomics	48.0¢ / 100.0¢	$7.77 (77.1%)	$10.1 · 1	$17.9 · 1	$0	Dec 19, 2025 6:54 AM
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? WonNoPolitics	93.3¢ / 100.0¢	$7.18 (7.0%)	$103 · 2	$110 · 1	$0	Jun 2, 2026 6:25 PM
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? WonYesPolitics	72.6¢ / 100.0¢	$6.6 (12.1%)	$54.5 · 2	$31.1 · 1	$0	May 4, 2026 2:42 AM
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeti… WonYesPolitics	94.9¢ / 100.0¢	$5.96 (5.4%)	$110 · 2	$0	$0	May 4, 2026 2:42 AM
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? WonYesFinance	56.9¢ / 100.0¢	$4.31 (75.6%)	$5.57 · 1	$0	$0	May 31, 2026 11:43 PM
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? WonNoPolitics	95.5¢ / 100.0¢	$3.7 (3.9%)	$95.5 · 1	$99.2 · 1	$0	Jul 1, 2026 6:05 AM
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026? WonYesFinance	90.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.54 (10.5%)	$33.8 · 1	$37.4 · 1	$0	Jun 12, 2026 6:01 PM
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31? WonNoPolitics	93.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.5 (7.5%)	$46.5 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 2, 2026 12:54 AM
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? WonNoPolitics	68.9¢ / 100.0¢	$3.11 (45.1%)	$6.89 · 1	$0	$0	May 4, 2026 2:42 AM
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026? WonNoPolitics	95.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.5 (5.3%)	$47.5 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 27, 2026 1:01 AM
Nothing Ever Happens: November WonYesPolitics	67.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.43 (37.3%)	$6.5 · 1	$8.92 · 1	$0	Dec 1, 2025 7:36 AM
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31? WonYesPolitics	76.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.4 (31.6%)	$7.6 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 21, 2025 10:09 AM
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? WonYesPolitics	52.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.4 (92.3%)	$2.6 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 2, 2026 1:03 AM
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? WonYesTech	92.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.4 (8.7%)	$27.6 · 1	$0	$0	May 4, 2026 2:42 AM
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? WonYesPolitics	85.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.34 (15.3%)	$15.3 · 1	$17.6 · 1	$0	Mar 4, 2026 7:25 PM
Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation? WonYesMentions	90.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2 (11.1%)	$18 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 2, 2026 3:55 AM
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals? WonNoSports	90.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2 (11.1%)	$18 · 1	$0	$0	May 4, 2026 2:42 AM
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? WonNoPolitics	90.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2 (11.1%)	$18 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 1, 2026 7:07 AM
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? WonYesPolitics	67.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.9 (14.2%)	$13.4 · 2	$15.3 · 2	$0	Dec 10, 2025 10:17 PM
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? WonNoPolitics	81.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.9 (23.5%)	$8.1 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 2, 2026 12:54 AM
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6? WonNoPolitics	89.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.87 (12.4%)	$15.1 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 11, 2026 1:20 AM
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? WonNoSports	80.8¢ / 99.1¢	$1.87 (7.7%)	$24 · 1	$26.1 · 1	$0	Jul 31, 2026 1:37 AM
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? WonAnthropicFinance	75.8¢ / 88.6¢	$1.85 (8.1%)	$22.5 · 2	$24.6 · 1	$0	Jul 31, 2026 7:14 AM
Will Trump visit China by May 31? WonYesPolitics	93.3¢ / 100.0¢	$1.83 (6.6%)	$27.9 · 1	$29.8 · 1	$0	May 13, 2026 4:22 PM

					Merge
Fed rate hike in 2026? NoEconomics 50.00 shares	81.0¢ / 34.0¢	-$23.5 (-58.0%)	$40.5 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 31, 2026 3:10 AM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? WonNoPolitics	84.0¢ / 100.0¢	$14.4 (17.1%)	$84 · 1	$98.4 · 1	$0	May 1, 2026 2:01 PM
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 mee… WonYesEconomics	48.0¢ / 100.0¢	$7.77 (77.1%)	$10.1 · 1	$17.9 · 1	$0	Dec 19, 2025 6:54 AM
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? WonNoPolitics	93.3¢ / 100.0¢	$7.18 (7.0%)	$103 · 2	$110 · 1	$0	Jun 2, 2026 6:25 PM
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? WonYesPolitics	72.6¢ / 100.0¢	$6.6 (12.1%)	$54.5 · 2	$31.1 · 1	$0	May 4, 2026 2:42 AM
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeti… WonYesPolitics	94.9¢ / 100.0¢	$5.96 (5.4%)	$110 · 2	$0	$0	May 4, 2026 2:42 AM
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? WonYesFinance	56.9¢ / 100.0¢	$4.31 (75.6%)	$5.57 · 1	$0	$0	May 31, 2026 11:43 PM
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? WonNoPolitics	95.5¢ / 100.0¢	$3.7 (3.9%)	$95.5 · 1	$99.2 · 1	$0	Jul 1, 2026 6:05 AM
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026? WonYesFinance	90.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.54 (10.5%)	$33.8 · 1	$37.4 · 1	$0	Jun 12, 2026 6:01 PM
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31? WonNoPolitics	93.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.5 (7.5%)	$46.5 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 2, 2026 12:54 AM
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? WonNoPolitics	68.9¢ / 100.0¢	$3.11 (45.1%)	$6.89 · 1	$0	$0	May 4, 2026 2:42 AM
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026? WonNoPolitics	95.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.5 (5.3%)	$47.5 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 27, 2026 1:01 AM
Nothing Ever Happens: November WonYesPolitics	67.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.43 (37.3%)	$6.5 · 1	$8.92 · 1	$0	Dec 1, 2025 7:36 AM
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31? WonYesPolitics	76.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.4 (31.6%)	$7.6 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 21, 2025 10:09 AM
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? WonYesPolitics	52.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.4 (92.3%)	$2.6 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 2, 2026 1:03 AM
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? WonYesTech	92.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.4 (8.7%)	$27.6 · 1	$0	$0	May 4, 2026 2:42 AM
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? WonYesPolitics	85.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.34 (15.3%)	$15.3 · 1	$17.6 · 1	$0	Mar 4, 2026 7:25 PM
Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation? WonYesMentions	90.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2 (11.1%)	$18 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 2, 2026 3:55 AM
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals? WonNoSports	90.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2 (11.1%)	$18 · 1	$0	$0	May 4, 2026 2:42 AM
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? WonNoPolitics	90.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2 (11.1%)	$18 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 1, 2026 7:07 AM
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? WonYesPolitics	67.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.9 (14.2%)	$13.4 · 2	$15.3 · 2	$0	Dec 10, 2025 10:17 PM
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? WonNoPolitics	81.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.9 (23.5%)	$8.1 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 2, 2026 12:54 AM
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6? WonNoPolitics	89.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.87 (12.4%)	$15.1 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 11, 2026 1:20 AM
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? WonNoSports	80.8¢ / 99.1¢	$1.87 (7.7%)	$24 · 1	$26.1 · 1	$0	Jul 31, 2026 1:37 AM
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? WonAnthropicFinance	75.8¢ / 88.6¢	$1.85 (8.1%)	$22.5 · 2	$24.6 · 1	$0	Jul 31, 2026 7:14 AM
Will Trump visit China by May 31? WonYesPolitics	93.3¢ / 100.0¢	$1.83 (6.6%)	$27.9 · 1	$29.8 · 1	$0	May 13, 2026 4:22 PM

fortunefavorsthebrave Polymarket Trader

PnL Calendar

July 2026

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

1$0.81

Jul 1, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.81

Open-$110

High-$108

Low-$110

Close-$109

Open positions2

USD balance$0

2$4.15

Jul 2, 2026

Daily PnL

$4.15

Open-$109

High-$104

Low-$110

Close-$105

Open positions2

USD balance$0

3-$0.6

Jul 3, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.6

Open-$105

High-$105

Low-$106

Close-$105

Open positions2

USD balance$0

4-$0.5

Jul 4, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.5

Open-$105

High-$105

Low-$106

Close-$106

Open positions2

USD balance$0

5$0.04

Jul 5, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.04

Open-$106

High-$105

Low-$106

Close-$106

Open positions2

USD balance$0

6$0.49

Jul 6, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.49

Open-$106

High-$105

Low-$107

Close-$105

Open positions2

USD balance$0

7-$1.56

Jul 7, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.56

Open-$105

High-$105

Low-$107

Close-$107

Open positions2

USD balance$0

8-$5

Jul 8, 2026

Daily PnL

-$5

Open-$107

High-$106

Low-$113

Close-$112

Open positions2

USD balance$0

9$4.95

Jul 9, 2026

Daily PnL

$4.95

Open-$112

High-$107

Low-$112

Close-$107

Open positions2

USD balance$0

10-$1.14

Jul 10, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.14

Open-$107

High-$107

Low-$109

Close-$108

Open positions2

USD balance$0

11-$1.14

Jul 11, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.14

Open-$108

High-$108

Low-$109

Close-$109

Open positions2

USD balance$0

12-$1.86

Jul 12, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.86

Open-$109

High-$108

Low-$115

Close-$111

Open positions2

USD balance$0

13-$6.01

Jul 13, 2026

Daily PnL

-$6.01

Open-$111

High-$110

Low-$119

Close-$117

Open positions2

USD balance$0

14$9

Jul 14, 2026

Daily PnL

Open-$117

High-$107

Low-$118

Close-$108

Open positions2

USD balance$0

15$1.01

Jul 15, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.01

Open-$108

High-$106

Low-$109

Close-$107

Open positions2

USD balance$0

16-$0.7

Jul 16, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.7

Open-$107

High-$106

Low-$108

Close-$108

Open positions2

USD balance$0

17-$0.3

Jul 17, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.3

Open-$108

High-$107

Low-$109

Close-$108

Open positions2

USD balance$0

18-$0.05

Jul 18, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.05

Open-$108

High-$107

Low-$109

Close-$108

Open positions2

USD balance$0

19-$1.15

Jul 19, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.15

Open-$108

High-$108

Low-$110

Close-$109

Open positions2

USD balance$0

20-$1.97

Jul 20, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.97

Open-$109

High-$108

Low-$111

Close-$111

Open positions2

USD balance$0

21$0.18

Jul 21, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.18

Open-$111

High-$110

Low-$114

Close-$111

Open positions2

USD balance$0

22-$4.17

Jul 22, 2026

Daily PnL

-$4.17

Open-$111

High-$111

Low-$115

Close-$115

Open positions2

USD balance$0

23-$3.06

Jul 23, 2026

Daily PnL

-$3.06

Open-$115

High-$114

Low-$121

Close-$118

Open positions2

USD balance$0

24$0.01

Jul 24, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.01

Open-$118

High-$117

Low-$120

Close-$118

Open positions2

USD balance$0

25$1.57

Jul 25, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.57

Open-$118

High-$116

Low-$119

Close-$117

Open positions2

USD balance$0

26$2.06

Jul 26, 2026

Daily PnL

$2.06

Open-$117

High-$113

Low-$118

Close-$115

Open positions2

USD balance$0

27-$4.98

Jul 27, 2026

Daily PnL

-$4.98

Open-$115

High-$114

Low-$120

Close-$120

Open positions2

USD balance$0

28$0.5

Jul 28, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.5

Open-$120

High-$119

Low-$121

Close-$119

Open positions2

USD balance$0

29$7.14

Jul 29, 2026

Daily PnL

$7.14

Open-$119

High-$112

Low-$121

Close-$112

Open positions2

USD balance$0

30-$2.57

Jul 30, 2026

Daily PnL

-$2.57

Open-$112

High-$112

Low-$116

Close-$114

Open positions2

USD balance$0

31$0.09

Jul 31, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.09

Open-$114

High-$114

Low-$115

Close-$114

Open positions1

USD balance$0

Performance Summary

PnL Change

1D $0.057D $3.8530D -$9.7

Markets

Won

Lost

Win Rate

66.7%

Profit Factor

0.56x

Avg Win

$2.15

Avg Loss

-$7.66

Total Wins

$116

Total Losses

-$207

Avg. Hold Time

56d 23h 9m 2s

Best Win

$14.4

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Worst Loss

-$46.5

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Period

Best Period

$23.8, Mar 26 – Apr 1

Worst Period

-$111, Apr 1 – Apr 7

Longest Streak

8d W / 5d L

Current Streak

1d W

Max Drawdown

-$140 (-697.4%)

Current DD

-$134 (-671.6%)

Max Runup

$27.1 (380.6%)

Rebates

Rewards

Yield

fortunefavorsthebrave

Analytics

Analytics

fortunefavorsthebrave

fortunefavorsthebrave

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Volume

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

fortunefavorsthebrave

Trader DNA

Trader DNA