0xc679F430FA598311D86a28dB24756f9c439E3c01-174058… Polymarket Trader

How We Built Realtime Precomputed PnL for PolymarketRead the post

Explorer

Loading open positions...

Volume

Fees

Trades

Avg trade size

					Merge
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? NoPolitics 69.47 shares	50.0¢ / 93.8¢	$30.4 (87.5%)	$34.7	$0	$0	Jul 30, 2026 6:33 PM
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? YesPolitics 69.47 shares	50.0¢ / 6.0¢	-$30.6 (-88.0%)	$34.7	$0	$0	Jul 23, 2026 8:12 AM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark? WonNoTech	58.0¢ / 100.0¢	$4.43 (62.1%)	$7.14 · 1	$11.6 · 1	$0	Feb 1, 2026 7:55 AM
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark? WonNoTech	47.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.71 (40.1%)	$9.25 · 1	$13 · 1	$0	Feb 1, 2026 7:33 AM
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? WonNoPolitics	44.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.06 (43.2%)	$7.08 · 1	$10.1 · 1	$0	Mar 4, 2026 7:58 PM
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? WonNoPolitics	81.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.61 (23.5%)	$6.85 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 4, 2026 3:27 PM
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting? WonNoPolitics	89.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.12 (12.4%)	$9.03 · 1	$0	$0	Oct 30, 2025 3:46 AM
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? WonYesPolitics	86.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.85 (16.3%)	$5.25 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 29, 2026 3:08 AM
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025? WonYesTech	92.6¢ / 100.0¢	$0.64 (8.0%)	$8.06 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 31, 2025 10:47 PM
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026? WonYesTech	91.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.56 (9.9%)	$5.71 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 4, 2026 2:17 PM
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by… WonNoTech	91.8¢ / 100.0¢	$0.52 (8.9%)	$5.8 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 4, 2026 3:42 PM
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark? WonNoTech	94.5¢ / 100.0¢	$0.51 (5.8%)	$8.7 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 4, 2026 2:30 PM
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025? WonNoTech	93.2¢ / 100.0¢	$0.46 (7.3%)	$6.29 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 31, 2025 11:01 PM
Maduro out in 2025? WonNoPolitics	96.2¢ / 100.0¢	$0.4 (4.0%)	$10.1 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 1, 2026 8:55 AM
Trump x Xi Jinping talk before August? WonNoPolitics	95.6¢ / 100.0¢	$0.4 (4.6%)	$8.57 · 1	$0	$0	Aug 15, 2025 9:57 PM
Ethereum all time high before 2026? WonYesCrypto	16.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.38 (6.3%)	$6 · 1	$6.38 · 1	$0	Aug 22, 2025 11:10 PM
Will the candidate from the People Power Party win the South Korean Pres… WonNoPolitics	93.4¢ / 100.0¢	$0.35 (5.5%)	$6.43 · 1	$6.78 · 1	$0	Jun 4, 2025 2:58 AM
Will Perplexity AI buy TikTok? WonNoPolitics	94.4¢ / 100.0¢	$0.29 (1.4%)	$21.3 · 1	$21.6 · 3	$0	Jul 1, 2025 8:09 AM
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by Friday? WonNoPolitics	94.6¢ / 100.0¢	$0.28 (4.1%)	$6.84 · 1	$7.12 · 1	$0	May 17, 2025 8:28 AM
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday? WonNoPolitics	87.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.25 (3.5%)	$7.12 · 1	$7.36 · 1	$0	Jun 14, 2025 8:08 AM
Will Trump announce tariffs on China on April 2? WonYesPolitics	97.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0.23 (1.1%)	$21 · 1	$21.3 · 4	$0	Apr 3, 2025 7:05 AM
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win the most votes in the first round of the Poli… WonYesPolitics	96.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.2 (3.6%)	$5.54 · 1	$5.74 · 1	$0	May 19, 2025 1:04 PM
Will the highest temperature in London be between 43-44°F on March 12? WonNoWeather	99.2¢ / 100.0¢	$0.17 (0.8%)	$20.9 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 14, 2025 2:13 PM
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting? WonNoPolitics	97.5¢ / 100.0¢	$0.15 (2.1%)	$7.36 · 1	$7.5 · 1	$0	Jun 18, 2025 9:20 PM
Will Estonia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final? WonYesCulture	97.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0.1 (1.6%)	$6.42 · 1	$6.52 · 1	$0	May 14, 2025 1:11 AM
Will Melania Trump sue Hunter Biden by August 31? WonNoPolitics	98.7¢ / 100.0¢	$0.07 (0.8%)	$8.97 · 1	$9.03 · 2	$0	Feb 22, 2026 12:10 PM
Giza Pyramid underground structures confirmed? WonNoPolitics	91.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.07 (1.1%)	$6.37 · 1	$6.44 · 1	$0	Jan 1, 2026 11:44 AM

					Merge
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? NoPolitics 69.47 shares	50.0¢ / 93.8¢	$30.4 (87.5%)	$34.7	$0	$0	Jul 30, 2026 6:33 PM
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? YesPolitics 69.47 shares	50.0¢ / 6.0¢	-$30.6 (-88.0%)	$34.7	$0	$0	Jul 23, 2026 8:12 AM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark? WonNoTech	58.0¢ / 100.0¢	$4.43 (62.1%)	$7.14 · 1	$11.6 · 1	$0	Feb 1, 2026 7:55 AM
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark? WonNoTech	47.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.71 (40.1%)	$9.25 · 1	$13 · 1	$0	Feb 1, 2026 7:33 AM
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? WonNoPolitics	44.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.06 (43.2%)	$7.08 · 1	$10.1 · 1	$0	Mar 4, 2026 7:58 PM
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? WonNoPolitics	81.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.61 (23.5%)	$6.85 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 4, 2026 3:27 PM
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting? WonNoPolitics	89.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.12 (12.4%)	$9.03 · 1	$0	$0	Oct 30, 2025 3:46 AM
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? WonYesPolitics	86.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.85 (16.3%)	$5.25 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 29, 2026 3:08 AM
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025? WonYesTech	92.6¢ / 100.0¢	$0.64 (8.0%)	$8.06 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 31, 2025 10:47 PM
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026? WonYesTech	91.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.56 (9.9%)	$5.71 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 4, 2026 2:17 PM
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by… WonNoTech	91.8¢ / 100.0¢	$0.52 (8.9%)	$5.8 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 4, 2026 3:42 PM
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark? WonNoTech	94.5¢ / 100.0¢	$0.51 (5.8%)	$8.7 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 4, 2026 2:30 PM
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025? WonNoTech	93.2¢ / 100.0¢	$0.46 (7.3%)	$6.29 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 31, 2025 11:01 PM
Maduro out in 2025? WonNoPolitics	96.2¢ / 100.0¢	$0.4 (4.0%)	$10.1 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 1, 2026 8:55 AM
Trump x Xi Jinping talk before August? WonNoPolitics	95.6¢ / 100.0¢	$0.4 (4.6%)	$8.57 · 1	$0	$0	Aug 15, 2025 9:57 PM
Ethereum all time high before 2026? WonYesCrypto	16.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.38 (6.3%)	$6 · 1	$6.38 · 1	$0	Aug 22, 2025 11:10 PM
Will the candidate from the People Power Party win the South Korean Pres… WonNoPolitics	93.4¢ / 100.0¢	$0.35 (5.5%)	$6.43 · 1	$6.78 · 1	$0	Jun 4, 2025 2:58 AM
Will Perplexity AI buy TikTok? WonNoPolitics	94.4¢ / 100.0¢	$0.29 (1.4%)	$21.3 · 1	$21.6 · 3	$0	Jul 1, 2025 8:09 AM
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by Friday? WonNoPolitics	94.6¢ / 100.0¢	$0.28 (4.1%)	$6.84 · 1	$7.12 · 1	$0	May 17, 2025 8:28 AM
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday? WonNoPolitics	87.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.25 (3.5%)	$7.12 · 1	$7.36 · 1	$0	Jun 14, 2025 8:08 AM
Will Trump announce tariffs on China on April 2? WonYesPolitics	97.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0.23 (1.1%)	$21 · 1	$21.3 · 4	$0	Apr 3, 2025 7:05 AM
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win the most votes in the first round of the Poli… WonYesPolitics	96.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.2 (3.6%)	$5.54 · 1	$5.74 · 1	$0	May 19, 2025 1:04 PM
Will the highest temperature in London be between 43-44°F on March 12? WonNoWeather	99.2¢ / 100.0¢	$0.17 (0.8%)	$20.9 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 14, 2025 2:13 PM
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting? WonNoPolitics	97.5¢ / 100.0¢	$0.15 (2.1%)	$7.36 · 1	$7.5 · 1	$0	Jun 18, 2025 9:20 PM
Will Estonia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final? WonYesCulture	97.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0.1 (1.6%)	$6.42 · 1	$6.52 · 1	$0	May 14, 2025 1:11 AM
Will Melania Trump sue Hunter Biden by August 31? WonNoPolitics	98.7¢ / 100.0¢	$0.07 (0.8%)	$8.97 · 1	$9.03 · 2	$0	Feb 22, 2026 12:10 PM
Giza Pyramid underground structures confirmed? WonNoPolitics	91.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.07 (1.1%)	$6.37 · 1	$6.44 · 1	$0	Jan 1, 2026 11:44 AM

0xc679F430FA598311D86a28dB24756f9c439E3c01-174058… Polymarket Trader

PnL Calendar

July 2026

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

1-$2.54

Jul 1, 2026

Daily PnL

-$2.54

Open-$76.7

High-$76.7

Low-$80.6

Close-$79.2

Open positions2

USD balance$0

2-$0.29

Jul 2, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.29

Open-$79.2

High-$77.8

Low-$79.5

Close-$79.5

Open positions2

USD balance$0

3$1.59

Jul 3, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.59

Open-$79.5

High-$77.8

Low-$79.5

Close-$77.9

Open positions2

USD balance$0

4$0.65

Jul 4, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.65

Open-$77.9

High-$77.3

Low-$77.9

Close-$77.3

Open positions2

USD balance$0

5-$1.35

Jul 5, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.35

Open-$77.3

High-$77.3

Low-$78.6

Close-$78.6

Open positions2

USD balance$0

6$0.81

Jul 6, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.81

Open-$78.6

High-$77.8

Low-$78.8

Close-$77.8

Open positions2

USD balance$0

7-$0.11

Jul 7, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.11

Open-$77.8

High-$77.8

Low-$78

Close-$77.9

Open positions2

USD balance$0

8$0.11

Jul 8, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.11

Open-$77.9

High-$77.8

Low-$77.9

Close-$77.8

Open positions2

USD balance$0

9-$0.88

Jul 9, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.88

Open-$77.8

High-$77.1

Low-$79.4

Close-$78.7

Open positions2

USD balance$0

10$0.72

Jul 10, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.72

Open-$78.7

High-$76.4

Low-$79.5

Close-$78

Open positions2

USD balance$0

11$0.16

Jul 11, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.16

Open-$78

High-$77.8

Low-$78.6

Close-$77.8

Open positions2

USD balance$0

12-$0.16

Jul 12, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.16

Open-$77.8

High-$77.8

Low-$79.4

Close-$78

Open positions2

USD balance$0

13$0.85

Jul 13, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.85

Open-$78

High-$77.1

Low-$78.7

Close-$77.1

Open positions2

USD balance$0

14-$0.85

Jul 14, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.85

Open-$77.1

High-$77.1

Low-$78.6

Close-$78

Open positions2

USD balance$0

15$0.16

Jul 15, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.16

Open-$78

High-$77.8

Low-$78.8

Close-$77.8

Open positions2

USD balance$0

16-$0.16

Jul 16, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.16

Open-$77.8

High-$77.8

Low-$78.6

Close-$78

Open positions2

USD balance$0

17$0

Jul 17, 2026

Daily PnL

Open-$78

High-$78

Low-$78.2

Close-$78

Open positions2

USD balance$0

19-$0.83

Jul 19, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.83

Open-$78

High-$77.8

Low-$78.8

Close-$78.8

Open positions2

USD balance$0

20-$0.13

Jul 20, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.13

Open-$78.8

High-$78.8

Low-$78.9

Close-$78.9

Open positions2

USD balance$0

21$0.93

Jul 21, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.93

Open-$78.9

High-$77.8

Low-$79.5

Close-$78

Open positions2

USD balance$0

22$0.18

Jul 22, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.18

Open-$78

High-$77.8

Low-$80.2

Close-$77.8

Open positions2

USD balance$0

23-$0.16

Jul 23, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.16

Open-$77.8

High-$77.8

Low-$78

Close-$78

Open positions2

USD balance$0

24-$0.65

Jul 24, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.65

Open-$78

High-$78

Low-$78.6

Close-$78.6

Open positions2

USD balance$0

25$0.81

Jul 25, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.81

Open-$78.6

High-$77.8

Low-$78.6

Close-$77.8

Open positions2

USD balance$0

26-$0.16

Jul 26, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.16

Open-$77.8

High-$77.8

Low-$78

Close-$78

Open positions2

USD balance$0

28$0

Jul 28, 2026

Daily PnL

Open-$78

High-$78

Low-$78

Close-$78

Open positions2

USD balance$0

29-$0.63

Jul 29, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.63

Open-$78

High-$77.1

Low-$78.6

Close-$78.6

Open positions2

USD balance$0

30$0.63

Jul 30, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.63

Open-$78.6

High-$77.8

Low-$78.6

Close-$78

Open positions2

USD balance$0

Performance Summary

PnL Change

1D $0.637D -$030D $1.26

Markets

Won

Lost

Win Rate

67.4%

Profit Factor

0.21x

Avg Win

$0.72

Avg Loss

-$7.1

Total Wins

$20.9

Total Losses

-$99.4

Avg. Hold Time

52d 2h 12m 5s

Best Win

$4.43

Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?

Worst Loss

-$9.26

Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You…

Period

Best Period

$10.7, Jan 23 – Jan 29

Worst Period

-$59.8, May 5 – May 11

Longest Streak

6d W / 4d L

Current Streak

1d W

Max Drawdown

-$92.9 (-2306.1%)

Current DD

-$82 (-2035.5%)

Max Runup

$20.4 (22.9%)

Rebates

Rewards

Yield

$0.68(106)

0xc679F430FA598311D86a28dB24756f9c439E3c01-1740581534939

Analytics

0xc679F430FA598311D86a28dB24756f9c439E3c01-1740581534939

Analytics

0xc679F430FA598311D86a28dB24756f9c439E3c01-1740581534939

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Volume

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

0xc679F430FA598311D86a28dB24756f9c439E3c01-1740581534939

Trader DNA

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Trader DNA