Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
ResolvedVolume
$701K
Txns
7,636
Traders
1,031
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 31, 2026
Volume
$701K
Txns
7,636
Traders
1,031
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini 3 model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4mo | OriKing | No / 99.9¢ | -7.60 | $7.59 | |
| 4mo | 1BeaNataTime | No / 99.9¢ | +7.60 | $7.59 | |
| 4mo | weijia053 | No / 99.7¢ | -3.60 | $3.59 | |
| 4mo | OriKing | No / 99.7¢ | +3.60 | $3.59 | |
| 4mo | OriKing | No / 99.6¢ | +4.00 | $3.98 | |
| 4mo | bvb23 | No / 99.6¢ | -4.00 | $3.98 | |
| 4mo | Ardtysrt01 | Yes / 0.6¢ | -60.93 | $0.37 | |
| 4mo | Ardtysrt01 | Yes / 0.8¢ | -157.36 | $1.26 | |
| 4mo | rontro28 | No / 98.0¢ | +100.00 | $98 | |
| 4mo | aimsojke | Yes / 0.3¢ | -2,896.75 | $8.69 | |
| 4mo | ScottVan | Yes / 1.7¢ | -290.00 | $4.93 | |
| 4mo | NFLandChill | Yes / 0.1¢ | -40.62 | $0.04 | |
| 4mo | alnecrp | Yes / 1.1¢ | +9,055.28 | $100 | |
| 4mo | aikko | No / 98.1¢ | +500.00 | $491 | |
| 4mo | PotatoKotato | No / 99.8¢ | +1,000.00 | $998 | |
| 4mo | ScottyNooo | No / 97.2¢ | +2,222.00 | $2.16K | |
| 4mo | GollumGekko | No / 97.0¢ | +187.42 | $182 | |
| 4mo | rau1 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,378.20 | $1.38 | |
| 4mo | GollumGekko | No / 99.1¢ | +222.00 | $220 | |
| 4mo | OriKing | No / 99.9¢ | -239.11 | $239 | |
| 4mo | ScottyNooo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +700.66 | $0.7 | |
| 4mo | rau1 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -939.77 | $0.94 | |
| 4mo | BeneGesseritVoice | No / 99.7¢ | -5,286.07 | $5.27K | |
| 4mo | 0x6b0e...46e3ea | Yes / 0.2¢ | -179.81 | $0.36 | |
| 4mo | aimsojke | Yes / 0.3¢ | -5,106.26 | $15.3 |
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