Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
ResolvedVolume
$613K
Txns
13,998
Traders
1,778
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 31, 2026
Volume
$613K
Txns
13,998
Traders
1,778
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini 3 model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4mo | bondibeach | No / 99.9¢ | +8.10 | $8.09 | |
| 4mo | Bluti | No / 99.9¢ | -8.10 | $8.09 | |
| 4mo | bondibeach | No / 99.9¢ | +6.07 | $6.06 | |
| 4mo | fd1youg6qj1u | No / 99.9¢ | -6.07 | $6.06 | |
| 4mo | 0xe06b...78147f | No / 99.9¢ | -16.17 | $16.2 | |
| 4mo | bondibeach | No / 99.9¢ | +16.17 | $16.2 | |
| 4mo | 0x3a2d...5942ff | No / 99.8¢ | -1.75 | $1.75 | |
| 4mo | NFLandChill | Yes / 0.2¢ | -1.75 | $0 | |
| 4mo | 0x09ef...0fef88 | No / 99.8¢ | -1.76 | $1.76 | |
| 4mo | NFLandChill | Yes / 0.2¢ | -1.76 | $0 | |
| 4mo | highrisk-v2 | No / 99.9¢ | -2.53 | $2.53 | |
| 4mo | zb8 | No / 99.9¢ | +2.53 | $2.53 | |
| 4mo | ToyodaMan | No / 99.9¢ | -450.42 | $450 | |
| 4mo | zb8 | No / 99.9¢ | +450.42 | $450 | |
| 4mo | asfdt16 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +325.18 | $0.33 | |
| 4mo | OriKing | No / 99.9¢ | -50.00 | $50 | |
| 4mo | LeviGoldberg | No / 99.9¢ | -176.25 | $176 | |
| 4mo | noreasapa | No / 99.9¢ | +836.04 | $835 | |
| 4mo | asfdt16 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +274.61 | $0.27 | |
| 4mo | asfdt16 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | LeviGoldberg | No / 99.9¢ | -951.47 | $951 | |
| 4mo | RolandChang | No / 99.9¢ | -3,624.83 | $3.62K | |
| 4mo | Cloverince | No / 99.9¢ | +10,000.00 | $9.99K | |
| 4mo | RolandChang | No / 99.9¢ | -5,423.70 | $5.42K | |
| 4mo | NFLandChill | Yes / 0.2¢ | -10.00 | $0.02 |
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