Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?
ResolvedVolume
$525K
Txns
6,930
Traders
982
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 31, 2026
Volume
$525K
Txns
6,930
Traders
982
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini 3 model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4mo | 2po5 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +23.68 | $0.02 | |
| 4mo | 0x2b36...9c473b | No / 99.9¢ | +23.68 | $23.7 | |
| 4mo | TonyBeetZ | No / 99.9¢ | +20.39 | $20.4 | |
| 4mo | 2po5 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +20.39 | $0.02 | |
| 4mo | TonyBeetZ | No / 99.9¢ | +6.49 | $6.48 | |
| 4mo | 0x8733...0654f7 | No / 99.9¢ | -6.49 | $6.48 | |
| 4mo | Misprice | No / 99.8¢ | +20.00 | $20 | |
| 4mo | paas2 | No / 99.8¢ | -20.00 | $20 | |
| 4mo | paas2 | No / 99.8¢ | -5.00 | $4.99 | |
| 4mo | 0xe384...287faf | No / 99.8¢ | +5.00 | $4.99 | |
| 4mo | Misprice | No / 99.7¢ | +37.01 | $36.9 | |
| 4mo | NFLandChill | Yes / 0.3¢ | +37.01 | $0.11 | |
| 4mo | NFLandChill | Yes / 0.3¢ | +28.28 | $0.08 | |
| 4mo | Misprice | No / 99.7¢ | +28.28 | $28.2 | |
| 4mo | 0xe384...287faf | No / 99.8¢ | +5.00 | $4.99 | |
| 4mo | paas2 | No / 99.8¢ | -5.00 | $4.99 | |
| 4mo | ACara | Yes / 1.1¢ | -125.99 | $1.39 | |
| 4mo | 25oodksmsss09 | Yes / 1.2¢ | -67.00 | $0.8 | |
| 4mo | GollumGekko | No / 93.1¢ | +127.10 | $118 | |
| 4mo | R18helloworld | Yes / 0.9¢ | -20.00 | $0.18 | |
| 4mo | NFLandChill | Yes / 0.8¢ | -46.72 | $0.37 | |
| 4mo | 25oodksmsss09 | Yes / 0.9¢ | -24.00 | $0.22 | |
| 4mo | hunggin | No / 99.1¢ | +100.00 | $99.1 | |
| 4mo | R18helloworld | Yes / 1.1¢ | -6.13 | $0.07 | |
| 4mo | paas2 | No / 99.5¢ | +30.00 | $29.9 |
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