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| Merge | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? YesPolitics 803.52 shares | 15.1¢ / 34.0¢ | $151 (124.4%) | $122 · 17 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 4:00 AM | |
 Will the CDU/CSU win by 6-8%? YesPoliticsRedeemable 0.06 shares | 95.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $70.2 (4.1%) | $1.71K · 9 | $1.78K · 13 | $0 | Mar 14, 2025 4:23 PM |
| Market | Entry / Current | PnL | Buys | Sells | Merge | Last Active | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US military action against Iran before July? WonYesPolitics | 38.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.85K (103.4%) | $1.78K · 4 | $532 · 2 | $0 | Jun 22, 2025 11:32 AM | |
62.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $805 (61.0%) | $1.32K · 11 | $0 | $0 | Apr 30, 2025 9:51 AM | ||
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June? WonNoPolitics | 62.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $698 (46.1%) | $1.51K · 7 | $2.21K · 1 | $0 | Jun 1, 2025 7:58 AM | |
 Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister? WonYesPolitics | 66.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $677 (48.8%) | $1.39K · 11 | $2.07K · 1 | $0 | Apr 30, 2025 7:39 PM | |
 Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days? WonNoPolitics | 45.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $512 (61.4%) | $833 · 20 | $1.35K · 325 | $0 | Apr 30, 2025 7:58 AM | |
 Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first? WonZelenskyyPolitics | 50.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $366 (94.5%) | $388 · 1 | $754 · 2 | $0 | Feb 28, 2025 8:37 PM | |
55.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $350 (60.2%) | $582 · 3 | $933 · 2 | $0 | Jan 1, 2026 8:41 AM | ||
 10-year Treasury yield >4.5% next Friday? WonYesPolitics | 52.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $340 (91.9%) | $369 · 5 | $0 | $0 | May 24, 2025 1:52 AM | |
 Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? WonNoPolitics | 42.6¢ / 0.0¢ | $296 (22.0%) | $1.35K · 6 | $1.64K · 7 | $0 | Mar 25, 2025 12:21 AM | |
52.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $288 (92.3%) | $312 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Aug 22, 2025 3:19 PM | ||
 Will Trump audit Ukraine aid before May? WonNoPolitics | 45.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $288 (58.2%) | $495 · 5 | $783 · 4 | $0 | May 1, 2025 7:19 AM | |
90.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $207 (10.4%) | $2K · 1 | $2.21K · 2 | $0 | Mar 14, 2025 2:44 PM | ||
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025? WonYesFinance | 52.3¢ / 0.0¢ | $202 (64.3%) | $314 · 2 | $516 · 5 | $0 | Dec 31, 2025 11:14 PM | |
80.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $195 (24.6%) | $791 · 1 | $986 · 4 | $0 | May 6, 2025 10:55 PM | ||
79.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $176 (24.8%) | $709 · 4 | $97.8 · 1 | $0 | Apr 2, 2026 12:21 PM | ||
 India military action against Pakistan before June? WonYesPolitics | 66.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $170 (51.5%) | $330 · 2 | $0 | $0 | May 7, 2025 10:18 AM | |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31? WonNoPolitics | 59.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $162 (68.1%) | $238 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Apr 5, 2026 1:21 PM | |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? WonNoPolitics | 73.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $160 (27.4%) | $584 · 2 | $744 · 1 | $0 | Apr 24, 2025 1:00 AM | |
 Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July? WonYesPolitics | 37.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $140 (170.3%) | $82.1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 6, 2025 8:52 PM | |
 FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election? WonNoPolitics | 82.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $139 (21.4%) | $647 · 3 | $786 · 1 | $0 | Mar 14, 2025 2:27 PM | |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026? WonNoPolitics | 19.4¢ / 0.0¢ | $118 (16.8%) | $700 · 8 | $818 · 1 | $0 | Mar 9, 2026 7:51 AM | |
 Will The Left make it into the Bundestag as a Fraktion? WonYesPolitics | 95.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $107 (4.3%) | $2.5K · 1 | $2.61K · 53 | $0 | Mar 14, 2025 7:09 PM | |
45.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $105 (77.9%) | $135 · 2 | $240 · 1 | $0 | Mar 5, 2025 6:37 AM | ||
 Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025? WonNoPolitics | 58.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $103 (25.2%) | $408 · 2 | $511 · 1 | $0 | Jan 1, 2026 9:38 AM | |
67.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $98.5 (20.4%) | $483 · 4 | $581 · 2 | $0 | May 19, 2025 2:31 AM |
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Performance Summary
PnL Change
Markets
158
Won
60
Lost
93
Win Rate
39.2%
Profit Factor
0.35x
Avg Win
$165
Avg Loss
-$301
Total Wins
$9.89K
Total Losses
-$28K
Avg. Hold Time
Period
Best Period
Worst Period
Longest Streak
Current Streak
Max Drawdown
Current DD
Max Runup
Rebates
Rewards
Yield
