
Volume
$11K
Txns
494
Traders
88
Fees
$0
Ends
May 23, 2025
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Treasury 10-year yield on May 23, 2025 is greater than 4.50% according to the daily values published by the Department of the Treasury. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | pkbrabo2 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +0.69 | $0.69 | |
| 1y | noreasapa | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1.71 | $1.71 | |
| 1y | tommyraz | Yes / 99.9¢ | -2.40 | $2.4 | |
| 1y | pkbrabo2 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1.44 | $1.44 | |
| 1y | jkiv | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1.44 | $1.44 | |
| 1y | pkbrabo2 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +7.87 | $7.86 | |
| 1y | movimento | Yes / 99.9¢ | -7.87 | $7.86 | |
| 1y | pkbrabo2 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 1y | AgricultureSecretary | Yes / 99.1¢ | +14.36 | $14.2 | |
| 1y | maora | Yes / 99.4¢ | -24.36 | $24.2 | |
| 1y | Slowroasted | Yes / 99.0¢ | +110.00 | $109 | |
| 1y | Halyk | No / 1.0¢ | +110.00 | $1.1 | |
| 1y | DasPferd | Yes / 98.0¢ | -50.00 | $49 | |
| 1y | borogrid | No / 5.0¢ | +41.00 | $2.05 | |
| 1y | caroline.name | No / 6.0¢ | +21.00 | $1.26 | |
| 1y | kl1v | Yes / 96.0¢ | +473.12 | $454 | |
| 1y | DasPferd | Yes / 97.0¢ | -47.00 | $45.6 | |
| 1y | Skaliz | No / 4.0¢ | +300.00 | $12 | |
| 1y | Rocky91 | No / 7.0¢ | +14.12 | $0.99 | |
| 1y | movimento | Yes / 93.0¢ | +7.87 | $7.32 | |
| 1y | Rocky91 | No / 7.0¢ | +7.87 | $0.55 | |
| 1y | Hydrazinos | Yes / 83.0¢ | +2.41 | $2 | |
| 1y | Rocky91 | No / 42.0¢ | -4.76 | $2 | |
| 1y | Hydrazinos | No / 42.0¢ | +4.76 | $2 | |
| 1y | Patroclus | Yes / 83.0¢ | -2.41 | $2 |
1–25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 73%$0volume
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
Yes 77%$0volume
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
No 71%$0volume
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?
No 97%$0volume
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
No 92%$0volume
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No 91%$0volume