
Volume
$11K
Txns
494
Traders
88
Fees
$0
Ends
May 23, 2025
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Treasury 10-year yield on May 23, 2025 is greater than 4.50% according to the daily values published by the Department of the Treasury. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Trades
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 100%$23.5Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
No 100%$8.33Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 81%$21.8Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$11.8Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Yes 57%$5.14Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Yes 85%$1.71Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | pkbrabo2 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +0.69 | $0.69 | |
| 1y | noreasapa | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1.71 | $1.71 | |
| 1y | tommyraz | Yes / 99.9¢ | -2.40 | $2.4 | |
| 1y | pkbrabo2 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1.44 | $1.44 | |
| 1y | jkiv | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1.44 | $1.44 | |
| 1y | pkbrabo2 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +7.87 | $7.86 | |
| 1y | movimento | Yes / 99.9¢ | -7.87 | $7.86 | |
| 1y | pkbrabo2 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 1y | AgricultureSecretary | Yes / 99.1¢ | +14.36 | $14.2 | |
| 1y | maora | Yes / 99.4¢ | -24.36 | $24.2 | |
| 1y | Slowroasted | Yes / 99.0¢ | +110.00 | $109 | |
| 1y | Halyk | No / 1.0¢ | +110.00 | $1.1 | |
| 1y | DasPferd | Yes / 98.0¢ | -50.00 | $49 | |
| 1y | borogrid | No / 5.0¢ | +41.00 | $2.05 | |
| 1y | caroline.name | No / 6.0¢ | +21.00 | $1.26 | |
| 1y | kl1v | Yes / 96.0¢ | +473.12 | $454 | |
| 1y | DasPferd | Yes / 97.0¢ | -47.00 | $45.6 | |
| 1y | Skaliz | No / 4.0¢ | +300.00 | $12 | |
| 1y | Rocky91 | No / 7.0¢ | +14.12 | $0.99 | |
| 1y | movimento | Yes / 93.0¢ | +7.87 | $7.32 | |
| 1y | Rocky91 | No / 7.0¢ | +7.87 | $0.55 | |
| 1y | Hydrazinos | Yes / 83.0¢ | +2.41 | $2 | |
| 1y | Rocky91 | No / 42.0¢ | -4.76 | $2 | |
| 1y | Hydrazinos | No / 42.0¢ | +4.76 | $2 | |
| 1y | Patroclus | Yes / 83.0¢ | -2.41 | $2 |
1–25