Volume
$5M
Txns
29,083
Traders
3,865
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
If Iran halts or severely restricts international maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official governmental information, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trades
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 75%$0volume
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes 79%$0volume
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
Yes 68%$0volume
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
No 72%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
No 93%$0volume
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
No 86%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7mo | vinii | No / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 7mo | ABALOSPRESOPOLITICO | No / 99.9¢ | -55.20 | $55.1 | |
| 7mo | R23poyrffsddfdsfd43554 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -50.20 | $0.05 | |
| 7mo | FranTerC4 | No / 99.9¢ | +188.26 | $188 | |
| 7mo | GollumGekko | No / 99.9¢ | -178.26 | $178 | |
| 7mo | 0x0a23...3aaa25 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | ggily611a | No / 99.9¢ | -130.78 | $131 | |
| 7mo | Shekel | Yes / 0.1¢ | -130.78 | $0.13 | |
| 7mo | ggily611a | No / 99.9¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 7mo | hsanad | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 7mo | comon119 | No / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 7mo | ggily611a | No / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 7mo | ggily611a | No / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 7mo | flywheelpoly | No / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 7mo | Bska36 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -44.01 | $0.04 | |
| 7mo | Ahpo | No / 99.9¢ | -1,026.81 | $1.03K | |
| 7mo | operationcastle | Yes / 0.1¢ | -982.80 | $0.98 | |
| 7mo | xunta | No / 99.9¢ | -11.03 | $11 | |
| 7mo | operationcastle | Yes / 0.1¢ | -11.03 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | ddddc123 | No / 99.9¢ | -6.17 | $6.16 | |
| 7mo | operationcastle | Yes / 0.1¢ | -6.17 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | 0x04D4635d23daB727d0dC223622202A6b02568c51-1763611440547 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 7mo | operationcastle | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 7mo | mountaingreen | Yes / 0.2¢ | -158.91 | $0.32 | |
| 7mo | mountaingreen | Yes / 0.2¢ | -71.09 | $0.14 |
1–25