| PnL | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? No -447.74 net shares | 93.3¢ / 94.2¢ | $0 (1.0%) | May 4, 2026 7:10 PM | |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes 1,102.01 net shares | 25.0¢ / 25.0¢ | $0 (0.0%) | May 2, 2026 1:37 PM | |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? No 1,341.25 net shares | 75.9¢ / 91.0¢ | $0 (19.9%) | May 1, 2026 3:08 PM | |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? No 4,043.99 net shares | 81.6¢ / 97.6¢ | $355 (19.6%) | May 1, 2026 12:40 AM | |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? Yes 9,846.88 net shares | 3.1¢ / 2.7¢ | -$0 (-12.9%) | Apr 29, 2026 1:49 PM | |
 April 30 No -399.93 net shares | 95.2¢ / 99.9¢ | $0 (5.0%) | Apr 29, 2026 7:17 AM | |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? No 1,503.30 net shares | 57.4¢ / 84.0¢ | $0.01 (46.2%) | Apr 28, 2026 5:36 PM | |
 Roberto Sánchez Palomino Yes 180.10 net shares | 33.2¢ / 33.6¢ | $0.36 (1.2%) | Apr 28, 2026 12:58 PM | |
 Trump out as President by April 30? No 0.00 net shares | 98.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (1.6%) | Apr 28, 2026 12:45 PM | |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? Yes 6,607.94 net shares | 20.0¢ / 9.0¢ | -$0 (-55.1%) | Apr 27, 2026 5:21 PM | |
 Péter Magyar Yes 17,498.73 net shares | 96.2¢ / 99.8¢ | $199 (3.8%) | Apr 24, 2026 1:10 AM | |
 April 22 No -22.58 net shares | 34.6¢ / 99.9¢ | $0.01 (188.5%) | Apr 21, 2026 9:16 PM | |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? No -0.06 net shares | 54.6¢ / 99.9¢ | $0 (82.9%) | Apr 17, 2026 2:45 PM | |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? Yes 376.47 net shares | 24.4¢ / 0.0¢ | -$89.4 (-100.0%) | Apr 15, 2026 7:13 AM | |
Péter Magyar No 8,059.16 net shares | 0.5¢ / 0.2¢ | -$0 (-60.6%) | Apr 13, 2026 8:30 PM | |
 May 30 No -179.99 net shares | 50.0¢ / 97.0¢ | $0 (94.0%) | Apr 13, 2026 5:18 PM | |
 ↑ $8,000 No 0.00 net shares | 72.0¢ / 91.3¢ | $0 (26.8%) | Apr 13, 2026 8:32 AM | |
 December 31 Yes 709.09 net shares | 40.5¢ / 15.5¢ | -$184 (-61.8%) | Apr 13, 2026 4:50 AM | |
 December 31 No 0.01 net shares | 5.6¢ / 0.0¢ | -$0 (-100.0%) | Apr 12, 2026 9:09 AM | |
 No prison time No 577.35 net shares | 78.0¢ / 78.0¢ | $0 (0.0%) | Apr 12, 2026 7:20 AM | |
 Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? No 173.51 net shares | 46.0¢ / 23.3¢ | -$39.4 (-49.4%) | Apr 11, 2026 2:28 PM | |
December 31 No 27.85 net shares | 39.0¢ / 58.6¢ | $5.45 (50.2%) | Apr 11, 2026 10:58 AM | |
April 7 No 273.00 net shares | 43.1¢ / 0.1¢ | -$0 (-99.8%) | Apr 11, 2026 10:57 AM | |
 Alibaba Yes -150.66 net shares | — / 0.2¢ | $2.24 | Apr 11, 2026 10:55 AM | |
 J.D. Vance Yes 0.02 net shares | 37.9¢ / 39.2¢ | $0 (3.4%) | Apr 10, 2026 3:19 PM |
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