Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
ActiveVolume
$140K
Txns
3,161
Traders
522
Fees
$612
Liquidity
$4,725
Ends
Volume
$140K
Txns
3,161
Traders
522
Fees
$612
Liquidity
$4,725
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Trades
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 99%$20Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$8.21Mvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$6.6Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$10.7Mvolume
Fed rate hike in 2026?
No 52%$1.74Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
No 99%$783Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d | norbika | Yes / 37.1¢ | -8.06 | $2.99 | |
| 2d | israeI | Yes / 38.0¢ | +8.06 | $3.06 | |
| 3d | Carlojan-1774178265874 | No / 62.0¢ | +8.06 | $5.08 | |
| 3d | norbika | Yes / 38.0¢ | +8.06 | $3.06 | |
| 4d | TheNextBigShort | No / 59.0¢ | -12.00 | $7.08 | |
| 4d | 0xD056D2E765630Ee61850a7c743A30E20D2E2F1be-1764512770031 | No / 60.0¢ | +12.00 | $7.2 | |
| 4d | TheNextBigShort | No / 59.0¢ | -8.00 | $4.72 | |
| 4d | 0xD056D2E765630Ee61850a7c743A30E20D2E2F1be-1764512770031 | No / 60.0¢ | +8.00 | $4.8 | |
| 5d | 0xD056D2E765630Ee61850a7c743A30E20D2E2F1be-1764512770031 | No / 62.0¢ | +716.13 | $451 | |
| 5d | israeI | Yes / 38.0¢ | +322.50 | $123 | |
| 5d | M888 | No / 62.0¢ | -393.63 | $244 | |
| 6d | TheRealWarMonger | No / 58.0¢ | +16.66 | $9.66 | |
| 6d | 0xd3fc...9dd364 | No / 56.7¢ | -16.66 | $9.45 | |
| 6d | TheRealWarMonger | No / 58.0¢ | +5.87 | $3.4 | |
| 6d | TOMDWAN124 | No / 57.0¢ | -5.87 | $3.35 | |
| 6d | 0xd3fc...9dd364 | No / 60.0¢ | +16.67 | $10.2 | |
| 6d | ChiangWan-an | No / 60.0¢ | -5.76 | $3.45 | |
| 6d | Kuomintang | No / 60.0¢ | -10.91 | $6.55 | |
| 8d | Dufoos | No / 56.0¢ | -30.00 | $16.8 | |
| 8d | DualDelta | Yes / 43.0¢ | -30.00 | $12.9 | |
| 9d | cy6erpunker | Yes / 43.0¢ | +2.33 | $1.02 | |
| 9d | Elias.Thornwell | Yes / 43.0¢ | -2.33 | $1 | |
| 9d | Elias.Thornwell | Yes / 43.0¢ | -1.61 | $0.69 | |
| 9d | cy6erpunker | No / 56.0¢ | -1.61 | $0.9 | |
| 9d | Mitakaasa7 | No / 51.1¢ | -50.00 | $25.6 |
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