Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
ResolvedVolume
$69M
Txns
97,577
Traders
9,761
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 31, 2026
Volume
$69M
Txns
97,577
Traders
9,761
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Lebanese territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2mo | Tinorex | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 2mo | fin-tech | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 2mo | fin-tech | Yes / 99.9¢ | +6,000.00 | $5.99K | |
| 2mo | spacebarr | No / 0.1¢ | +6,000.00 | $6 | |
| 2mo | fin-tech | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10,000.00 | $9.99K | |
| 2mo | 0x9E9c1cF4d9b4758c38e011c9b55ea0b420eBfaA5-1774484802170 | No / 0.1¢ | +10,000.00 | $10 | |
| 2mo | 0x59eaE1f44112bcC00535dA8CBCd66F639e573F65-1769689631840 | No / 0.1¢ | +10,000.00 | $10 | |
| 2mo | fin-tech | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10,000.00 | $9.99K | |
| 2mo | fin-tech | Yes / 99.9¢ | +40,000.00 | $40K | |
| 2mo | Apollo156 | No / 0.1¢ | +40,000.00 | $40 | |
| 2mo | fin-tech | Yes / 99.9¢ | +20,000.00 | $20K | |
| 2mo | Danny007F | No / 0.1¢ | +20,000.00 | $20 | |
| 2mo | 0x85Bbe73C20F22f227f95BC1DFE7970746F59162b-1768251391640 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -8.54 | $8.53 | |
| 2mo | fin-tech | Yes / 99.9¢ | +8.54 | $8.53 | |
| 2mo | fin-tech | Yes / 99.9¢ | +5,000.00 | $5K | |
| 2mo | Stellausa | No / 0.1¢ | +5,000.00 | $5 | |
| 2mo | vrilliant | No / 0.1¢ | +19,800.00 | $19.8 | |
| 2mo | fin-tech | Yes / 99.9¢ | +19,800.00 | $19.8K | |
| 2mo | fin-tech | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 2mo | 0xa65d0b82A4a7C41BCfBc22882B4136e9668D2AeF-1772816285770 | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 2mo | fin-tech | Yes / 99.9¢ | +4,890.00 | $4.89K | |
| 2mo | 0x68fd...49ee92 | No / 0.1¢ | +4,890.00 | $4.89 | |
| 2mo | fin-tech | Yes / 99.9¢ | +38,000.00 | $38K | |
| 2mo | Dominus0x | No / 0.1¢ | +38,000.00 | $38 | |
| 2mo | fin-tech | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 |
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