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| Market | Entry / Current | PnL | Buys | Sells | Merge | Last Active | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? WonYesPolitics | 41.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $6.73K (41.2%) | $16.3K · 26 | $23.1K · 58 | $0 | Apr 11, 2026 12:36 AM | |
![]() Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10? WonYesPolitics | 28.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $5.71K (53.6%) | $10.7K · 32 | $12.4K · 5 | $0 | Oct 9, 2025 3:31 AM | |
![]() Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? WonYesPolitics | 70.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $3.5K (26.0%) | $13.5K · 24 | $17K · 19 | $0 | Mar 4, 2026 1:06 AM | |
![]() US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 45.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $3.34K (57.2%) | $5.85K · 21 | $9.19K · 153 | $0 | Feb 28, 2026 9:38 AM | |
![]() Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12? WonYesPolitics | 17.8¢ / 0.0¢ | $3.24K (117.0%) | $2.77K · 18 | $6.01K · 23 | $0 | Oct 13, 2025 6:03 AM | |
![]() US forces enter Iran by March 31? WonNoPolitics | 84.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $2.95K (16.6%) | $17.8K · 9 | $20.7K · 11 | $0 | Apr 5, 2026 6:15 AM | |
![]() Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30? WonYesPolitics | 69.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $2.03K (33.6%) | $6.05K · 41 | $1.64K · 5 | $0 | May 12, 2026 1:56 PM | |
66.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.57K (37.1%) | $4.22K · 43 | $5.79K · 3 | $0 | Jul 7, 2026 3:29 PM | ||
![]() US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 87.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.46K (14.0%) | $10.5K · 11 | $0 | $0 | Feb 28, 2026 9:35 AM | |
![]() US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 49.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.31K (12.9%) | $10.2K · 48 | $11.5K · 67 | $0 | Feb 28, 2026 9:35 AM | |
![]() Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 91.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.3K (9.4%) | $13.7K · 2 | $15K · 2 | $0 | Apr 21, 2026 12:34 AM | |
![]() US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? WonNoPolitics | 92.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.06K (7.0%) | $15K · 1 | $16.1K · 8 | $0 | Mar 16, 2026 6:26 AM | |
![]() Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31? WonNoPolitics | 78.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $830 (15.9%) | $5.23K · 34 | $6.06K · 24 | $0 | Nov 1, 2025 6:13 AM | |
![]() US forces enter Iran by March 14? WonNoPolitics | 95.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $799 (5.0%) | $16.1K · 29 | $0 | $0 | Mar 15, 2026 11:51 AM | |
71.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $769 (33.7%) | $2.29K · 47 | $339 · 4 | $0 | Mar 9, 2026 7:42 AM | ||
![]() US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 82.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $673 (10.5%) | $6.41K · 12 | $7.08K · 4 | $0 | Jun 1, 2026 12:20 PM | |
![]() Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 80.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $655 (23.6%) | $2.77K · 14 | $3.42K · 1 | $0 | May 1, 2026 12:34 AM | |
![]() Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13? WonYesPolitics | 93.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $639 (6.7%) | $9.54K · 4 | $10.2K · 2 | $0 | Oct 13, 2025 10:53 AM | |
![]() Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7? WonNoPolitics | 65.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $604 (52.7%) | $1.14K · 18 | $0 | $0 | May 27, 2026 7:24 PM | |
![]() Netanyahu out by March 31? WonNoPolitics | 94.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $586 (3.5%) | $16.9K · 1 | $17.5K · 3 | $0 | Apr 5, 2026 6:14 AM | |
![]() US forces enter Iran by April 30? WonYesPolitics | 83.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $569 (3.7%) | $15.4K · 4 | $15.9K · 3 | $0 | Apr 9, 2026 12:35 AM | |
![]() Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12? WonYesPolitics | 35.4¢ / 0.0¢ | $563 (40.2%) | $1.4K · 12 | $1.96K · 12 | $0 | Oct 13, 2025 6:04 AM | |
![]() Iran closes its airspace by June 30? WonYesPolitics | 58.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $484 (68.8%) | $704 · 9 | $1.19K · 1 | $0 | Jun 12, 2026 12:35 AM | |
![]() Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30? WonYesCulture | 80.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $474 (9.5%) | $5K · 1 | $5.47K · 10 | $0 | Nov 18, 2025 6:25 PM | |
![]() US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 32.3¢ / 0.0¢ | $444 (4.4%) | $10K · 22 | $10.5K · 18 | $0 | Jan 17, 2026 7:47 AM |
1–25
| Merge | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? YesPolitics 189.58 shares | 31.6¢ / 25.0¢ | -$12.6 (-21.0%) | $60 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 8:52 PM | |
![]() US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? NoPolitics 178.57 shares | 56.0¢ / 71.0¢ | $26.8 (26.8%) | $100 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 8:49 PM | |
![]() Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? YesPolitics 100.00 shares | 96.3¢ / 97.7¢ | $1.35 (1.4%) | $96.2 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 8:40 PM | |
![]() Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? NoPolitics 145.76 shares | 69.5¢ / 68.0¢ | -$2.14 (-2.1%) | $100 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 8:24 PM | |
![]() Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? YesTech 10.00 shares | 54.7¢ / 6.2¢ | -$4.85 (-88.7%) | $5.37 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 8:01 PM | |
![]() Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? YesPolitics 8,599.93 shares | 11.8¢ / 8.0¢ | -$349 (-27.1%) | $1.29K · 26 | $253 · 1 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 8:00 PM | |
![]() Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026? NoPolitics 114.94 shares | 87.0¢ / 95.0¢ | $9.2 (9.2%) | $100 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 8:00 PM | |
![]() Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? NoPolitics 610.53 shares | 93.0¢ / 99.9¢ | $41.9 (7.4%) | $568 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 7:58 PM | |
![]() Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? YesTech 120.00 shares | 45.5¢ / 26.1¢ | -$23.3 (-42.6%) | $54.4 · 3 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 7:46 PM | |
![]() Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? NoPolitics 200.00 shares | 73.5¢ / 95.0¢ | $43 (29.3%) | $147 · 4 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 7:21 PM | |
![]() Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? YesTech 5,199.97 shares | 90.1¢ / 89.0¢ | -$57.3 (-1.2%) | $4.68K · 20 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 7:13 PM | |
Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026? NoPolitics 100.00 shares | 4.0¢ / 7.6¢ | $3.57 (89.4%) | $4 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 6:33 PM | |
![]() Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? NoPolitics 399.99 shares | 37.0¢ / 49.0¢ | $48 (32.4%) | $148 · 8 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 5:46 PM | |
![]() Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? YesPolitics 11,121.65 shares | 0.3¢ / 0.1¢ | -$19.1 (-63.2%) | $30.2 · 82 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 5:23 PM | |
![]() Iran leadership change by December 31? YesPolitics 699.97 shares | 17.3¢ / 22.0¢ | $33 (27.3%) | $121 · 5 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 5:06 PM | |
![]() Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? YesFinance 100.00 shares | 71.0¢ / 17.4¢ | -$53.6 (-75.5%) | $71 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 4:10 PM | |
![]() Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? NoPolitics 34.09 shares | 88.0¢ / 88.0¢ | $0 (0.0%) | $30 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 4:09 PM | |
![]() Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? YesTech 313.97 shares | 30.8¢ / 27.0¢ | $21 (11.3%) | $186 · 9 | $123 · 1 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 3:47 PM | |
![]() Israeli election results in a hung parliament? YesPolitics 411.12 shares | 28.2¢ / 40.0¢ | $48.6 (42.0%) | $116 · 14 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 3:31 PM | |
![]() Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? YesPolitics 23.53 shares | 42.5¢ / 41.9¢ | -$0.14 (-1.4%) | $10 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 3:30 PM | |
![]() Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31? YesPolitics 77.86 shares | 13.3¢ / 4.8¢ | -$6.6 (-63.8%) | $10 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 2:27 PM | |
![]() Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? NoPolitics 621.41 shares | 89.5¢ / 99.9¢ | $60.8 (4.8%) | $1.27K · 14 | $712 · 1 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 2:12 PM | |
![]() Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? YesEconomics 289.28 shares | 29.0¢ / 10.9¢ | -$52.4 (-62.4%) | $83 · 4 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 12:23 PM | |
![]() Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? YesTech 100.00 shares | 36.0¢ / 23.0¢ | -$13 (-36.1%) | $36 · 3 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 10:34 AM | |
![]() US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? NoTech 200.00 shares | 83.6¢ / 91.0¢ | $14.9 (8.9%) | $166 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 10:18 AM |
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Performance Summary
PnL Change
Markets
325
Won
173
Lost
89
Win Rate
66.0%
Profit Factor
1.36x
Avg Win
$295
Avg Loss
-$422
Total Wins
$51K
Total Losses
-$37.5K
Avg. Hold Time
Period
Best Period
Worst Period
Longest Streak
Current Streak
Max Drawdown
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