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| Market | Entry / Current | PnL | Buys | Sells | Merge | Last Active | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? WonYesPolitics | 41.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $6.73K (41.2%) | $16.3K · 26 | $23.1K · 58 | $0 | Apr 11, 2026 12:30 AM | |
![]() Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10? WonYesPolitics | 28.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $5.71K (53.6%) | $10.7K · 32 | $12.4K · 5 | $0 | Oct 9, 2025 3:31 AM | |
![]() Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? WonYesPolitics | 70.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $3.5K (26.0%) | $13.5K · 24 | $17K · 19 | $0 | Mar 4, 2026 1:05 AM | |
![]() US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 45.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $3.34K (57.2%) | $5.85K · 21 | $9.19K · 153 | $0 | Feb 28, 2026 9:39 AM | |
![]() Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12? WonYesPolitics | 17.8¢ / 0.0¢ | $3.24K (117.0%) | $2.77K · 18 | $6.01K · 23 | $0 | Oct 13, 2025 6:03 AM | |
![]() US forces enter Iran by March 31? WonNoPolitics | 84.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $2.95K (16.6%) | $17.8K · 9 | $20.7K · 11 | $0 | Apr 5, 2026 6:15 AM | |
![]() Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30? WonYesPolitics | 69.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $2.03K (33.6%) | $6.05K · 41 | $1.64K · 5 | $0 | May 12, 2026 1:56 PM | |
66.0¢ / 76.7¢ | $1.57K (37.1%) | $4.22K · 43 | $5.79K · 3 | $0 | Jun 15, 2026 5:09 PM | ||
![]() US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 87.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.46K (14.0%) | $10.5K · 11 | $0 | $0 | Feb 28, 2026 9:35 AM | |
![]() US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026? WonNoPolitics | — / 100.0¢ | $1.43K | $0 | $0 | $0 | Feb 12, 2026 2:16 PM | |
![]() Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 91.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.3K (9.4%) | $13.7K · 2 | $15K · 2 | $0 | Apr 21, 2026 12:29 AM | |
![]() US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? WonNoPolitics | 92.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.06K (7.0%) | $15K · 1 | $16.1K · 8 | $0 | Mar 16, 2026 6:27 AM | |
![]() Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31? WonNoPolitics | 78.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $830 (15.9%) | $5.23K · 34 | $6.06K · 24 | $0 | Nov 1, 2025 6:13 AM | |
![]() US forces enter Iran by March 14? WonNoPolitics | 95.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $799 (5.0%) | $16.1K · 29 | $0 | $0 | Mar 15, 2026 11:51 AM | |
71.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $769 (33.7%) | $2.29K · 47 | $339 · 4 | $0 | Mar 9, 2026 7:42 AM | ||
![]() US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 82.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $673 (10.5%) | $6.41K · 12 | $7.08K · 4 | $0 | Jun 1, 2026 12:17 PM | |
![]() Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 80.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $655 (23.6%) | $2.77K · 14 | $3.42K · 1 | $0 | May 1, 2026 12:34 AM | |
![]() Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13? WonYesPolitics | 93.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $639 (6.7%) | $9.54K · 4 | $10.2K · 2 | $0 | Oct 13, 2025 10:53 AM | |
![]() Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7? WonNoPolitics | 65.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $604 (52.7%) | $1.14K · 18 | $0 | $0 | May 27, 2026 7:24 PM | |
![]() Netanyahu out by March 31? WonNoPolitics | 94.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $586 (3.5%) | $16.9K · 1 | $17.5K · 3 | $0 | Apr 5, 2026 6:14 AM | |
![]() US forces enter Iran by April 30? WonYesPolitics | 83.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $569 (3.7%) | $15.4K · 4 | $15.9K · 3 | $0 | Apr 9, 2026 12:28 AM | |
![]() Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12? WonYesPolitics | 35.4¢ / 0.0¢ | $563 (40.2%) | $1.4K · 12 | $1.96K · 12 | $0 | Oct 13, 2025 6:04 AM | |
![]() Iran closes its airspace by June 30? WonYesPolitics | 58.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $484 (68.8%) | $704 · 9 | $1.19K · 1 | $0 | Jun 12, 2026 12:32 AM | |
![]() Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30? WonYesCulture | 80.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $474 (9.5%) | $5K · 1 | $5.47K · 10 | $0 | Nov 18, 2025 6:25 PM | |
![]() US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 32.3¢ / 0.0¢ | $444 (4.4%) | $10K · 22 | $10.5K · 18 | $0 | Jan 17, 2026 7:47 AM |
1–25
| Merge | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? NoPolitics 3,488.60 shares | 92.3¢ / 93.0¢ | $24.4 (0.8%) | $3.22K · 6 | $0 | $0 | Jun 15, 2026 5:09 PM | |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15? NoTech 200.00 shares | 90.0¢ / 83.6¢ | -$12.8 (-7.1%) | $180 · 4 | $0 | $0 | Jun 15, 2026 5:08 PM | |
![]() Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? YesPolitics 189.58 shares | 31.6¢ / 11.0¢ | -$39.1 (-65.2%) | $60 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jun 15, 2026 5:07 PM | |
![]() Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? YesTech 58.76 shares | 17.0¢ / 2.6¢ | -$8.47 (-84.7%) | $10 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 15, 2026 5:06 PM | |
![]() Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? YesFinance 100.00 shares | 71.0¢ / 54.0¢ | -$17 (-23.9%) | $71 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 15, 2026 5:04 PM | |
— / 27.0¢ | $27 | $0 | $0 | $0 | Jun 15, 2026 5:00 PM | ||
![]() Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? NoPolitics 800.00 shares | 84.0¢ / 86.0¢ | $16 (2.4%) | $672 · 12 | $0 | $0 | Jun 15, 2026 4:58 PM | |
![]() Starmer out by December 31, 2026? YesPolitics 15.15 shares | 66.9¢ / 78.0¢ | $1.68 (16.6%) | $10 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 15, 2026 4:57 PM | |
![]() Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 30? YesPolitics 199.99 shares | 35.1¢ / 27.0¢ | $14 (35.0%) | $40 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jun 15, 2026 4:54 PM | |
![]() Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? YesPolitics 2,300.00 shares | 8.7¢ / 9.0¢ | $7 (3.5%) | $200 · 3 | $0 | $0 | Jun 15, 2026 4:40 PM | |
![]() Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? YesPolitics 1,887.56 shares | 45.6¢ / 10.2¢ | -$510 (-47.7%) | $1.07K · 79 | $367 · 5 | $0 | Jun 15, 2026 4:36 PM | |
![]() Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision? YesPolitics 131.72 shares | 63.3¢ / 88.5¢ | $33.2 (39.8%) | $83 · 7 | $0 | $0 | Jun 15, 2026 4:36 PM | |
![]() Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30? YesPolitics 250.00 shares | 2.1¢ / 0.6¢ | -$3.76 (-72.3%) | $5 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 15, 2026 4:11 PM | |
![]() Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? NoPolitics 567.41 shares | 83.5¢ / 94.3¢ | $60.9 (12.8%) | $474 · 5 | $0 | $0 | Jun 15, 2026 4:06 PM | |
![]() Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? YesPolitics 1,240.72 shares | 2.4¢ / 1.0¢ | -$17.5 (-58.3%) | $30 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 15, 2026 4:05 PM | |
![]() Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? YesPolitics 603.96 shares | 16.6¢ / 11.0¢ | -$33.6 (-33.6%) | $100 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 15, 2026 3:23 PM | |
![]() Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? 500.00 shares | — / 0.9¢ | $4.5 | $0 | $0 | $0 | Jun 15, 2026 3:04 PM | |
![]() Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? YesPolitics 23.53 shares | 42.5¢ / 54.9¢ | $2.92 (29.2%) | $10 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 15, 2026 2:55 PM | |
![]() Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31? NoPolitics 100.00 shares | 85.0¢ / 89.0¢ | $4 (4.7%) | $85 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jun 15, 2026 2:11 PM | |
![]() Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026? YesEconomics 69.91 shares | 10.4¢ / 5.0¢ | -$14.6 (-17.5%) | $80 · 1 | $65.5 · 10 | $0 | Jun 15, 2026 1:17 PM | |
![]() Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? YesPolitics 5.71 shares | 17.5¢ / 4.1¢ | -$0.77 (-76.6%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 15, 2026 9:32 AM | |
![]() Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31? YesPolitics 2,285.91 shares | 65.9¢ / 59.8¢ | -$139 (-9.2%) | $1.51K · 44 | $0 | $0 | Jun 15, 2026 6:26 AM | |
![]() Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30? YesPolitics 71.43 shares | 42.0¢ / 3.6¢ | -$27.4 (-91.4%) | $30 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 15, 2026 5:50 AM | |
![]() US announces Cuba oil sanction relief by June 30? NoPolitics 35.71 shares | 84.5¢ / 89.0¢ | $1.59 (5.3%) | $30 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 15, 2026 1:10 AM | |
![]() Israeli parliament dissolved by June 15? NoPolitics 60.24 shares | 83.0¢ / 99.9¢ | $10.2 (20.4%) | $50 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 14, 2026 11:50 PM |
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Performance Summary
PnL Change
Markets
271
Won
140
Lost
38
Win Rate
78.7%
Profit Factor
2.27x
Avg Win
$348
Avg Loss
-$566
Total Wins
$48.8K
Total Losses
-$21.5K
Avg. Hold Time
Period
Best Period
Worst Period
Longest Streak
Current Streak
Max Drawdown
Current DD
Max Runup
Rebates
Rewards
Yield