| Merge | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President before 2027? YesPolitics 8,195.91 shares | 10.0¢ / 7.0¢ | -$246 (-24.6%) | $1000 · 35 | $180 · 16 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 3:11 AM | |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? NoPolitics 2,054.97 shares | 31.8¢ / 21.2¢ | -$219 (-33.4%) | $654 · 7 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 2:46 AM | |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? NoWeather 3,000.00 shares | 90.7¢ / 96.3¢ | $169 (6.2%) | $2.72K · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 2:24 AM | |
 Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? NoTech 1,000.00 shares | 61.0¢ / 31.0¢ | -$300 (-49.2%) | $610 · 5 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 1:15 AM | |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? YesPolitics 1,159.71 shares | 26.4¢ / 0.6¢ | $292 (30.3%) | $965 · 40 | $0 | $1.25K | Jul 30, 2026 1:03 AM | |
 Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? NoTech 2,174.13 shares | 86.0¢ / 84.0¢ | -$43.6 (-2.3%) | $1.86K · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 12:54 AM | |
 Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? NoPolitics 700.00 shares | 9.6¢ / 2.8¢ | -$47.6 (-70.8%) | $67.2 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 12:43 AM | |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? YesPolitics 3,835.78 shares | 72.9¢ / 54.0¢ | -$727 (-26.0%) | $2.8K · 27 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 12:42 AM | |
 Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? YesPolitics 500.00 shares | 62.0¢ / 79.0¢ | $85 (27.4%) | $310 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 11:34 PM | |
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? NoPolitics 800.00 shares | 77.0¢ / 99.7¢ | $182 (29.5%) | $616 · 3 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 11:12 PM | |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? NoPolitics 1,000.00 shares | 81.3¢ / 95.0¢ | $110 (4.5%) | $2.44K · 2 | $1.6K · 1 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 8:19 PM | |
 Will Alberta join the US? NoPolitics 1,000.00 shares | 95.1¢ / 97.7¢ | $26 (2.7%) | $951 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 8:02 PM | |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? YesPolitics 1,999.99 shares | 54.0¢ / 40.0¢ | -$280 (-25.9%) | $1.08K · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 6:21 PM | |
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? NoTech 800.00 shares | 75.0¢ / 87.0¢ | $96 (16.0%) | $600 · 12 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 5:49 PM | |
 Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? NoTech 519.00 shares | 84.0¢ / 79.7¢ | -$22.3 (-5.1%) | $436 · 7 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 11:15 AM | |
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? NoTech 500.00 shares | 70.0¢ / 55.0¢ | -$74.9 (-21.4%) | $350 · 6 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 9:26 AM | |
 Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? NoTech 1,312.22 shares | 39.9¢ / 25.0¢ | -$34.4 (-1.9%) | $1.81K · 7 | $180 · 21 | $1.27K | Jul 29, 2026 2:29 AM | |
 Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot… YesTech 14.81 shares | 8.0¢ / 3.7¢ | -$0.64 (-53.8%) | $1.18 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 5:36 PM | |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2… NoPolitics 3.17 shares | 13.0¢ / 7.7¢ | -$0.17 (-40.7%) | $0.41 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 24, 2026 2:16 AM | |
 Will Bashar al-Assad be the next leader out in 2025? Yes 588.00 shares | 0.9¢ / 1.2¢ | $1.45 (27.2%) | $0 | $0 | $0 | Dec 11, 2025 4:42 AM |
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