
Volume
$203
Txns
20
Traders
11
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$1,292
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1mo | Kulborg | No / 71.0¢ | -5.59 | $3.97 | |
| 1mo | Mojito9 | No / 71.0¢ | +5.59 | $3.97 | |
| 1mo | AJSV | No / 6.0¢ | +16.24 | $0.97 | |
| 1mo | qqqppp-l1 | No / 16.0¢ | +6.25 | $1 | |
| 1mo | AJSV | No / 21.0¢ | +16.31 | $3.43 | |
| 1mo | ultralisk | No / 6.0¢ | +72.00 | $4.32 | |
| 1mo | Kulborg | No / 9.0¢ | +5.59 | $0.5 | |
| 1mo | qqqppp-l1 | No / 20.0¢ | +5.00 | $1 | |
| 1mo | ProfitMuhammedPBUH | Yes / 90.7¢ | +142.22 | $129 | |
| 1mo | qqqppp-l1 | No / 12.0¢ | +8.33 | $1 | |
| 1mo | qqqppp-l1 | No / 8.0¢ | +12.50 | $1 | |
| 2mo | wavesinthesky | Yes / 78.0¢ | +3.85 | $3 | |
| 2mo | AJSV | No / 22.0¢ | +3.85 | $0.85 | |
| 2mo | wavesinthesky | Yes / 79.0¢ | +2.53 | $2 | |
| 2mo | AJSV | No / 21.0¢ | +2.53 | $0.53 | |
| 2mo | Slackjaw | No / 38.0¢ | +15.00 | $5.7 | |
| 2mo | Crypster | No / 38.0¢ | -15.00 | $5.7 | |
| 2mo | Crypster | No / 38.0¢ | +15.00 | $5.7 | |
| 2mo | vee17 | No / 38.0¢ | +20.00 | $7.6 | |
| 2mo | popdidi | Yes / 62.0¢ | +35.00 | $21.7 |
1–20
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
Yes 61%$332Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 94%$3.22Mvolume
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?
Yes 99%$76.6Kvolume
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?
Yes 100%$81.6Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 89%$1.86Mvolume
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
No 100%$2.87Mvolume