
Volume
$3M
Txns
55,358
Traders
3,242
Fees
$0
Ends
Feb 28, 2026
The U.S. government collected $82.2b in customs duties in FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/files/reports-statements/financial-report/2024/notes-to-the-financial-statements19.pdf). This market will resolve according to the value of customs duties collected in FY 2025 according to the Financial Report of the United States Government published by the Treasury Department for FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/reports-statements/financial-report/) If the Treasury Department does not publish relevant data for FY 2025 by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source will be the Treasury Department.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5mo | alpha.chen | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1,299.99 | $1.3K | |
| 5mo | ZhangMuZhi.. | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,299.99 | $1.3K | |
| 5mo | ZhangMuZhi.. | Yes / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 5mo | johnywara | Yes / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 5mo | 0x07dc...544e57 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1.12 | $1.12 | |
| 5mo | ZhangMuZhi.. | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1.12 | $1.12 | |
| 5mo | ZhangMuZhi.. | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2.96 | $2.96 | |
| 5mo | 0x2a15...e5f2a3 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -2.96 | $2.96 | |
| 5mo | ZhangMuZhi.. | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1.01 | $1.01 | |
| 5mo | haloa9 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1.01 | $1.01 | |
| 5mo | 0x97953D534a8F616Af8ea462A51689C9EcE1af696-1761651184846 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -34.00 | $34 | |
| 5mo | ZhangMuZhi.. | Yes / 99.9¢ | +34.00 | $34 | |
| 5mo | ZhangMuZhi.. | Yes / 99.9¢ | +3.59 | $3.59 | |
| 5mo | 0x83F4E9F0980B6A2E8C0F4b31FCe3a80d4A60b488-1767894413425 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -3.59 | $3.59 | |
| 5mo | 0x643d...65f7dd | Yes / 99.9¢ | -32.04 | $32 | |
| 5mo | ZhangMuZhi.. | Yes / 99.9¢ | +32.04 | $32 | |
| 5mo | grazh | No / 0.1¢ | +792.42 | $0.79 | |
| 5mo | HZYTG | Yes / 99.9¢ | +319.01 | $319 | |
| 5mo | Bearpp | Yes / 99.9¢ | +473.41 | $473 | |
| 5mo | Bearpp | Yes / 99.9¢ | +5.10 | $5.09 | |
| 5mo | 7... | No / 0.1¢ | +5.10 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | 0x5f51...7e3006 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1.07 | $1.07 | |
| 5mo | 7... | No / 0.1¢ | +1.07 | $0 | |
| 5mo | Siuuuuuuuuu | Yes / 99.9¢ | -28,712.67 | $28.7K | |
| 5mo | 0x7cf8...42c380 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 |
1–25
Will the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 be at least 7%?
Yes 100%$0volume
Will the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 be at least 5%?
Yes 100%$0volume
Will the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 be at least 8%?
Yes 100%$0volume
Will the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 be at least 10%?
No 100%$0volume
Will the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 be at least 6%?
Yes 100%$0volume
Will the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 be at least 9%?
No 100%$0volume