
Volume
$117K
Txns
2,011
Traders
254
Fees
$764
Liquidity
$3,825
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Trades
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31…
No 92%$0volume
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Yes 90%$0volume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Yes 100%$0volume
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on…
Yes 92%$0volume
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
No 92%$0volume
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?
No 97%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12h | narua | Yes / 69.0¢ | +86.96 | $60.7 | |
| 12h | troim | No / 31.0¢ | +86.96 | $27 | |
| 13h | Etherapp | No / 32.0¢ | +9.38 | $3.08 | |
| 13h | WarriorH | No / 32.0¢ | -9.38 | $3 | |
| 13h | troim | No / 31.0¢ | +24.12 | $7.48 | |
| 13h | DeepDitch | No / 30.1¢ | -24.12 | $7.27 | |
| 17h | cacato | No / 34.0¢ | +40.00 | $13.6 | |
| 17h | 0xca75...390a64 | No / 33.1¢ | -40.00 | $13.2 | |
| 19h | LS-ship | Yes / 57.0¢ | -0.32 | $0.18 | |
| 19h | DeepDitch | No / 42.0¢ | -0.32 | $0.13 | |
| 20h | RazuchiDISNEY | No / 42.0¢ | -50.01 | $21 | |
| 20h | LS-ship | Yes / 57.0¢ | -50.01 | $28.5 | |
| 20h | LS-ship | Yes / 57.0¢ | -50.00 | $28.5 | |
| 20h | RazuchiONE | No / 42.0¢ | -50.00 | $21 | |
| 20h | LS-ship | Yes / 57.0¢ | -40.00 | $22.8 | |
| 20h | bvmontes | No / 42.0¢ | -40.00 | $16.8 | |
| 20h | TeenagePanda | No / 44.0¢ | +15.90 | $7 | |
| 20h | LS-ship | Yes / 57.0¢ | -34.11 | $19.4 | |
| 20h | Pol7StrategyBuilder | No / 42.3¢ | -50.01 | $21.2 | |
| 20h | DeepDitch | No / 45.0¢ | +24.44 | $11 | |
| 20h | LS-ship | Yes / 57.0¢ | -25.56 | $14.6 | |
| 20h | polesk8888 | No / 43.0¢ | -50.00 | $21.5 | |
| 20h | Freedom-BY | Yes / 55.0¢ | -100.00 | $55 | |
| 20h | PP55P | No / 44.0¢ | -100.00 | $44 | |
| 20h | WarriorH | No / 47.0¢ | +38.83 | $18.3 |
1–25