| PnL | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 May 31 No 32.63 net shares | 24.5¢ / 0.0¢ | -$8 (-100.0%) | Apr 12, 2026 12:22 AM | |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 4.17 net shares | 48.0¢ / 17.0¢ | -$1.29 (-64.6%) | Mar 14, 2026 11:51 AM | |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes 9.90 net shares | 10.1¢ / 6.5¢ | -$0.36 (-35.6%) | Mar 14, 2026 11:50 AM | |
 Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30? No 0.01 net shares | 66.0¢ / 94.0¢ | $0 (42.4%) | Mar 4, 2026 12:34 PM | |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No 0.01 net shares | 88.0¢ / 91.0¢ | $0 (3.4%) | Feb 28, 2026 9:15 AM | |
 U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? No 0.01 net shares | 72.0¢ / 97.9¢ | $0 (36.0%) | Feb 28, 2026 9:14 AM | |
 European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? No 0.00 net shares | 68.0¢ / 98.7¢ | $0 (45.1%) | Feb 28, 2026 9:14 AM | |
 Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30? No 0.01 net shares | 73.0¢ / 95.5¢ | $0 (30.8%) | Feb 28, 2026 9:14 AM | |
 Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? Yes 1.25 net shares | 80.0¢ / 59.0¢ | -$0.26 (-26.3%) | Jan 25, 2026 7:56 AM | |
 Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release? Yes 1.32 net shares | 76.0¢ / 86.1¢ | $0.13 (13.3%) | Jan 3, 2026 1:35 PM | |
 Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026? Yes 16.50 net shares | 18.2¢ / 2.7¢ | -$2.55 (-85.2%) | Jan 3, 2026 1:33 PM | |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? No 2.94 net shares | 34.0¢ / 10.0¢ | -$0.71 (-70.6%) | Jan 3, 2026 1:33 PM | |
 US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? No 1.45 net shares | 69.0¢ / 82.0¢ | $0.19 (18.8%) | Jan 3, 2026 1:30 PM | |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No 1.18 net shares | 85.0¢ / 93.0¢ | $0.09 (9.4%) | Dec 31, 2025 2:30 AM | |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes 3.39 net shares | 59.0¢ / 27.0¢ | -$1.08 (-54.2%) | Dec 31, 2025 2:28 AM | |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? Yes 33.33 net shares | 6.0¢ / 3.2¢ | -$0.93 (-46.7%) | Dec 31, 2025 2:22 AM | |
 Anthropic acquired before 2027? Yes 10.53 net shares | 19.0¢ / 3.7¢ | -$1.61 (-80.5%) | Dec 30, 2025 12:53 PM |
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