
Volume
$50K
Txns
2,372
Traders
662
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$10,851
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government officially recognizes Russian sovereignty over any portion of Ukrainian territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action. Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify. Ukrainian territory is defined as any portion of Ukraine as recognized by the UN at the start of the present conflict on February 24, 2022, including Crimea. The resolution source will be official U.S. government statements and credible reporting from major news organizations.
Trades
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No 84%$27.4Mvolume
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Yes 100%$5.33Mvolume
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No 60%$26Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 94%$3.48Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 82%$20.1Mvolume
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
No 54%$7.59Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3m | Haradwaith | No / 86.0¢ | -11.21 | $9.64 | |
| 3m | resilience26 | No / 85.0¢ | -13.78 | $11.7 | |
| 3m | boom13 | Yes / 14.6¢ | -24.99 | $3.64 | |
| 42m | 0x5fed...1e6f4c | No / 84.0¢ | +6.00 | $5.04 | |
| 42m | 0xc9e1...b2469b | No / 84.0¢ | -6.00 | $5.04 | |
| 6h | resilience26 | No / 85.0¢ | -1.18 | $1 | |
| 6h | kris86 | No / 85.0¢ | +1.18 | $1 | |
| 6h | vbrtu | No / 84.0¢ | +6.00 | $5.04 | |
| 6h | 0xa4b3...ee00fd | No / 84.0¢ | -6.00 | $5.04 | |
| 7h | 0x4fcb...f57e4d | No / 84.0¢ | -7.00 | $5.88 | |
| 7h | 0xc63b...095d7b | No / 84.0¢ | +7.00 | $5.88 | |
| 10h | 0x7c1c...a86a3a | Yes / 16.0¢ | -9.00 | $1.44 | |
| 10h | 0xc2b3...2c3cf0 | Yes / 16.0¢ | +9.00 | $1.44 | |
| 10h | 0x03c8...0161e8 | Yes / 16.0¢ | +7.00 | $1.12 | |
| 10h | 0x06e3...2de30b | Yes / 16.0¢ | -7.00 | $1.12 | |
| 11h | 0x650b...207c40 | Yes / 16.0¢ | +11.00 | $1.76 | |
| 11h | 0xdf13...9a2124 | Yes / 16.0¢ | -11.00 | $1.76 | |
| 19h | 0x8314...cd9baa | Yes / 16.0¢ | -7.00 | $1.12 | |
| 19h | 0x06e3...2de30b | Yes / 16.0¢ | +7.00 | $1.12 | |
| 21h | 0x99db...e5d241 | Yes / 15.0¢ | -7.04 | $1.06 | |
| 21h | resilience26 | No / 85.0¢ | -7.04 | $5.98 | |
| 1d | 0xf732...0d836b | Yes / 16.0¢ | -8.00 | $1.28 | |
| 1d | 0xca4a...13e55b | Yes / 16.0¢ | +8.00 | $1.28 | |
| 1d | 0xbb0d...16624f | Yes / 16.0¢ | +9.00 | $1.44 | |
| 1d | 0x993a...3643e0 | Yes / 16.0¢ | -9.00 | $1.44 |
1–25