| PnL | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? Yes 4.65 net shares | 44.2¢ / 43.0¢ | -$0.03 (-2.8%) | May 13, 2026 6:00 AM | |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No 2.19 net shares | 91.8¢ / 91.5¢ | -$0 (-0.3%) | May 13, 2026 1:35 AM | |
 Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31? Yes 10.53 net shares | 19.0¢ / 8.0¢ | -$0.58 (-57.9%) | May 13, 2026 1:21 AM | |
 Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 30.54 net shares | 39.6¢ / 60.0¢ | $3.62 (51.7%) | May 13, 2026 12:26 AM | |
 May 16 No -10.09 net shares | 3.4¢ / 7.9¢ | $0.44 (132.0%) | May 13, 2026 12:11 AM | |
 June 30, 2026 Yes 6.49 net shares | 46.7¢ / 69.4¢ | $1.14 (48.7%) | May 12, 2026 11:10 PM | |
 June 30 Yes 9.09 net shares | 22.0¢ / 20.0¢ | -$0.09 (-9.1%) | May 9, 2026 1:25 PM | |
 United Kingdom Yes 9.09 net shares | 22.0¢ / 12.0¢ | -$0.45 (-45.5%) | May 9, 2026 1:14 PM | |
 May 31 Yes 11.14 net shares | 23.1¢ / 10.5¢ | -$0.93 (-54.6%) | May 8, 2026 1:27 PM | |
 May 31 Yes 24.37 net shares | 24.6¢ / 12.0¢ | -$2.02 (-51.3%) | May 7, 2026 9:34 PM | |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 26.18 net shares | 72.5¢ / 72.0¢ | -$0.06 (-0.7%) | May 7, 2026 8:25 PM | |
 May 15 Yes 58.44 net shares | 11.8¢ / 1.2¢ | -$2.47 (-89.9%) | May 7, 2026 5:31 PM | |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? Yes 5.79 net shares | 34.5¢ / 8.0¢ | -$1.54 (-76.8%) | May 7, 2026 3:07 PM | |
May 31 No 1.69 net shares | 59.0¢ / 88.0¢ | $0.49 (49.2%) | May 7, 2026 1:08 PM | |
May 31 No 13.59 net shares | 80.9¢ / 88.0¢ | $0.7 (8.7%) | May 7, 2026 12:37 PM | |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? Yes 16.60 net shares | 12.1¢ / 9.0¢ | -$0.25 (-25.3%) | May 7, 2026 11:29 AM | |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31? Yes 48.78 net shares | 4.1¢ / 2.1¢ | -$0.49 (-48.8%) | May 7, 2026 11:27 AM | |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? Yes 27.65 net shares | 7.2¢ / 0.3¢ | -$1.92 (-95.9%) | May 7, 2026 7:54 AM | |
 May 15 No 9.15 net shares | 76.5¢ / 77.0¢ | $0.03 (0.6%) | May 7, 2026 7:09 AM | |
 May 31 No 3.68 net shares | 54.4¢ / 78.0¢ | $0.87 (43.4%) | May 7, 2026 2:14 AM | |
 Kash Patel Yes 1.62 net shares | 61.6¢ / 62.0¢ | $0.01 (0.7%) | May 6, 2026 8:52 PM | |
 December 31 Yes 3.20 net shares | 62.6¢ / 62.0¢ | -$0.01 (-0.9%) | May 6, 2026 8:51 PM | |
 Major US official out by May 31? Yes 3.85 net shares | 52.0¢ / 28.0¢ | -$0.46 (-46.2%) | May 6, 2026 8:51 PM | |
 Vladimir Putin Yes 2.17 net shares | 46.0¢ / 62.0¢ | $0.35 (34.8%) | May 6, 2026 10:54 AM | |
May 31, 2026 Yes 9.96 net shares | 10.0¢ / 43.0¢ | $3.3 (328.5%) | May 6, 2026 2:47 AM |
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