
Volume
$29K
Txns
906
Traders
193
Fees
$1
Ends
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of any individual alleged to be acting as an agent of the Iranian government between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Iranian agent” refers to any individual alleged to be acting on behalf of, under the direction of, or in coordination with the Iranian government (including its military or intelligence services) to conduct espionage, collect intelligence, or perform other covert operations that benefit Iran. For the purposes of this market, the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trades
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
Yes 100%$0volume
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
No 100%$0volume
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 75%$0volume
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
Yes 81%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 100%$0volume
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
No 78%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2mo | x.o | Yes / 99.9¢ | +674.00 | $673 | |
| 2mo | outkvst | Yes / 99.9¢ | -674.00 | $673 | |
| 2mo | NeoOracle | Yes / 99.9¢ | +866.60 | $866 | |
| 2mo | MemeLoverOfficial | No / 0.1¢ | +866.60 | $0.87 | |
| 2mo | vinii | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 2mo | MemeLoverOfficial | No / 0.1¢ | +1.00 | $0 | |
| 2mo | PollyMarquette | Yes / 99.6¢ | -6.41 | $6.38 | |
| 2mo | 0xzipper | Yes / 99.6¢ | +6.41 | $6.38 | |
| 2mo | 0xzipper | Yes / 99.6¢ | +104.63 | $104 | |
| 2mo | Nihaorush | Yes / 99.6¢ | -104.63 | $104 | |
| 2mo | MooonWhisper | Yes / 99.5¢ | -184.73 | $184 | |
| 2mo | 0xb0deF1BEeb51bB63A9141576b6bAd7b91EAec36F-1777944385999 | Yes / 99.5¢ | +179.24 | $178 | |
| 2mo | adspokposs | No / 0.4¢ | -5.49 | $0.02 | |
| 2mo | trade333 | No / 1.0¢ | -15.16 | $0.15 | |
| 2mo | adspokposs | No / 1.2¢ | -22.69 | $0.27 | |
| 2mo | trade333 | No / 1.1¢ | -42.27 | $0.46 | |
| 2mo | MIG343434 | No / 1.1¢ | +90.23 | $1 | |
| 2mo | Nottooserious | No / 1.1¢ | -10.11 | $0.11 | |
| 2mo | Nottooserious | No / 0.6¢ | -39.89 | $0.24 | |
| 2mo | 1984- | Yes / 99.4¢ | -68.07 | $67.7 | |
| 2mo | adspokposs | No / 0.5¢ | -28.18 | $0.14 | |
| 2mo | MemeLoverOfficial | No / 0.1¢ | +131.37 | $0.13 | |
| 2mo | 0x7e30e0D7E58061953247e08293fe08D5fE02E8f5-1772852632088 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +131.37 | $131 | |
| 2mo | MemeLoverOfficial | No / 0.1¢ | +1.00 | $0 | |
| 2mo | 0x7e30e0D7E58061953247e08293fe08D5fE02E8f5-1772852632088 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 |
1–25