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![]() Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? YesPolitics 10.00 shares | 20.9¢ / 20.1¢ | -$0.08 (-4.0%) | $2.03 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 9:24 PM | |
![]() Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? YesFinance 40.00 shares | 2.6¢ / 2.3¢ | -$0.13 (-12.3%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 9:20 PM | |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? YesPolitics 1.00 shares | 56.0¢ / 52.0¢ | $1.31 (23.4%) | $5.6 · 1 | $6.39 · 1 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 9:16 PM | |
![]() Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? YesPolitics 20.00 shares | 5.8¢ / 5.4¢ | -$0.08 (-7.3%) | $1.12 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 9:09 PM | |
![]() Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomin… YesPolitics 10.00 shares | 14.8¢ / 12.6¢ | -$0.22 (-14.8%) | $1.43 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 8:52 PM | |
![]() Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? YesPolitics 9.99 shares | 24.6¢ / 23.2¢ | -$0.15 (-5.9%) | $2.39 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 8:21 PM | |
![]() Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? YesPolitics 10.00 shares | 20.3¢ / 19.4¢ | -$0.09 (-4.6%) | $1.97 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 8:16 PM | |
![]() NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? YesPolitics 300.00 shares | 10.0¢ / 11.0¢ | $3 (10.0%) | $30 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 8:11 PM | |
![]() Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? YesPolitics 70.00 shares | 1.6¢ / 1.4¢ | -$0.11 (-10.2%) | $1.05 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 7:59 PM | |
![]() Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? YesPolitics 100.00 shares | 9.0¢ / 8.6¢ | -$0.42 (-4.6%) | $8.7 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 7:11 PM | |
![]() NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? YesPolitics 44.90 shares | 18.2¢ / 21.0¢ | $699 (29.4%) | $2.38K · 58 | $3.07K · 63 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 7:03 PM | |
![]() Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parli… NoPolitics 216.00 shares | 86.3¢ / 90.0¢ | $8.04 (4.3%) | $185 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 7:02 PM | |
![]() Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second… YesPolitics 10.00 shares | 73.8¢ / 79.4¢ | $0.56 (7.6%) | $7.3 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 7:00 PM | |
![]() Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 NoPolitics 32.13 shares | 32.1¢ / 27.0¢ | -$1.63 (-15.8%) | $10.3 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 6:25 PM | |
![]() Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 YesPolitics 10.00 shares | 67.0¢ / 73.0¢ | $0.6 (9.0%) | $6.7 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 6:25 PM | |
![]() Will no one dissent the July Fed decision? YesEconomics 60.00 shares | 29.0¢ / 0.1¢ | -$17.3 (-99.7%) | $16.8 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 6:10 PM | |
![]() Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? NoPolitics 10.00 shares | 87.0¢ / 89.0¢ | $0.2 (2.3%) | $8.7 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 5:02 PM | |
![]() Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? YesPolitics 100.00 shares | 16.1¢ / 13.3¢ | -$2.83 (-17.5%) | $15.6 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 4:48 PM | |
![]() Will Russia invade another country in 2026? YesPolitics 29,692.26 shares | 10.8¢ / 8.0¢ | -$679 (-15.3%) | $4.42K · 158 | $1.37K · 6 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 12:06 PM | |
![]() NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31? YesPolitics 10.00 shares | 50.0¢ / 53.0¢ | $0.3 (6.0%) | $5 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 9:24 AM | |
![]() NATO article 5 before 2027? YesPolitics 5,335.67 shares | 9.0¢ / 8.0¢ | -$18 (-2.7%) | $672 · 34 | $227 · 6 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 6:40 AM | |
![]() Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the third-… YesPolitics 392.80 shares | 19.0¢ / 19.0¢ | $0 (0.0%) | $106 · 1 | $31.2 · 1 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 5:46 PM | |
![]() US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? YesPolitics 288.68 shares | 4.7¢ / 4.8¢ | $0.25 (1.8%) | $13.6 · 8 | $0 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 11:32 AM | |
![]() Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most se… YesPolitics 302.00 shares | 38.8¢ / 36.0¢ | -$8.54 (-7.3%) | $117 · 3 | $0 | $0 | Jul 27, 2026 11:42 AM | |
![]() Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parlia… NoPolitics 275.00 shares | 59.9¢ / 63.0¢ | $8.55 (5.2%) | $165 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 27, 2026 10:52 AM |
1–25
| Market | Entry / Current | PnL | Buys | Sells | Merge | Last Active | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? WonNoPolitics | 69.0¢ / 0.0¢ | $17 (2.7%) | $621 · 5 | $638 · 1 | $0 | May 16, 2026 7:57 PM | |
![]() Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET WonDownCrypto | 50.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.94 (94.4%) | $0.96 · 1 | $1.94 · 1 | $0 | Apr 27, 2026 10:01 PM | |
53.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.88 (87.7%) | $0.98 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Apr 29, 2026 12:10 AM | ||
72.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.39 (38.8%) | $0.99 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Apr 29, 2026 12:09 AM | ||
![]() Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027? WonYesPolitics | 93.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.38 (7.5%) | $5 · 1 | $0 | $0 | May 9, 2026 5:43 PM | |
![]() Major US official out by April 30? WonNoPolitics | 75.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.32 (32.0%) | $0.99 · 1 | $0 | $0 | May 1, 2026 7:54 AM | |
88.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.26 (12.8%) | $1.99 · 1 | $2.25 · 1 | $0 | Apr 28, 2026 12:56 AM | ||
![]() Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? WonNoPolitics | 80.0¢ / 92.0¢ | $0.14 (13.8%) | $1 · 1 | $1.14 · 1 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 4:59 PM | |
![]() Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31? WonNoPolitics | 89.4¢ / 99.4¢ | $0.11 (11.1%) | $1 · 1 | $1.11 · 1 | $0 | Jul 27, 2026 5:34 AM | |
![]() China x Philippines military clash before 2027? WonNoPolitics | 72.0¢ / 74.0¢ | $0.1 (0.1%) | $108 · 2 | $108 · 1 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 4:38 PM | |
![]() Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 91.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.1 (9.9%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 1, 2026 6:20 AM | |
![]() Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? WonNoPolitics | 87.0¢ / 94.0¢ | $0.08 (8.0%) | $1 · 1 | $1.07 · 1 | $0 | Jul 27, 2026 5:35 AM | |
![]() Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? WonYesPolitics | 93.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.08 (7.5%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 1, 2026 11:33 PM | |
![]() Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? WonNoPolitics | 89.0¢ / 95.5¢ | $0.07 (7.4%) | $1 · 1 | $1.07 · 1 | $0 | Jul 27, 2026 5:34 AM | |
![]() Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30? WonNoPolitics | 96.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.04 (3.6%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 1, 2026 6:14 AM | |
![]() Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30? WonNoPolitics | 96.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.02 (1.8%) | $1 · 1 | $1.02 · 1 | $0 | Jul 1, 2026 6:14 AM | |
![]() Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? WonNoCulture | 96.7¢ / 98.2¢ | $0.01 (1.5%) | $1 · 1 | $1.01 · 1 | $0 | May 10, 2026 4:06 PM | |
![]() Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? WonNoPolitics | 83.1¢ / 85.0¢ | $0.01 (1.1%) | $1 · 1 | $1.02 · 1 | $0 | May 24, 2026 6:56 PM | |
![]() US strike on Cuba by December 31? LostNoPolitics | 67.0¢ / 70.0¢ | $0 (0.0%) | $67 · 1 | $67 · 1 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 9:25 PM | |
0.8¢ / 0.3¢ | -$0.15 (-62.5%) | $0.24 · 1 | $0.09 · 1 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 5:48 PM | ||
99.7¢ / 80.2¢ | -$0.2 (-19.5%) | $1 · 1 | $0.81 · 1 | $0 | May 13, 2026 9:37 PM | ||
60.0¢ / 59.0¢ | -$0.52 (-1.7%) | $31 · 2 | $30.5 · 1 | $0 | Apr 29, 2026 4:47 PM | ||
![]() Russian strike on Poland by June 30? LostYesPolitics | 5.9¢ / 0.0¢ | -$0.61 (-61.0%) | $1 · 1 | $0.39 · 1 | $0 | Jul 1, 2026 8:10 AM | |
![]() Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? LostYesPolitics | 3.1¢ / 0.0¢ | -$1 (-100.0%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 8, 2026 10:42 PM | |
![]() Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET LostUpCrypto | 37.7¢ / 0.0¢ | -$1 (-100.0%) | $0.95 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Apr 27, 2026 10:56 PM |
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Performance Summary
PnL Change
Markets
61
Won
18
Lost
16
Win Rate
52.9%
Profit Factor
0.10x
Avg Win
$1.16
Avg Loss
-$13.3
Total Wins
$20.9
Total Losses
-$213
Avg. Hold Time
Period
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Worst Period
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