Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
ActiveVolume
$614K
Txns
9,150
Traders
1,449
Fees
$58
Liquidity
$44,213
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
Volume
$614K
Txns
9,150
Traders
1,449
Fees
$58
Liquidity
$44,213
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET: - Trump out as President - China invades Taiwan - Xi Jinping out - U.S. invades Iran - Iranian regime falls - Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’ - Jeffrey Epstein alive - Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate - Russia invades a NATO country - Trump acquires Greenland - 9.0 or above earthquake - Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) - Major meteor strike (250kt+) Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h | Contrarian - 7451 | Yes / 70.0¢ | +60.00 | $42 | |
| 2h | Colala | Yes / 70.0¢ | -60.00 | $42 | |
| 4h | prognozu | Yes / 67.7¢ | -168.02 | $114 | |
| 4h | 0xAa7575ba25247c8eb4C23DFeB39b0237fb59a864-1749118418017 | Yes / 68.0¢ | +168.02 | $114 | |
| 4h | HerrieDavis | No / 31.0¢ | -20.00 | $6.2 | |
| 4h | prognozu | Yes / 68.7¢ | -166.58 | $114 | |
| 4h | Contrarian - 7451 | Yes / 69.0¢ | +134.58 | $92.9 | |
| 4h | Schnorrer | Yes / 69.0¢ | +12.00 | $8.28 | |
| 5h | Colala | Yes / 69.0¢ | +30.00 | $20.7 | |
| 5h | 0xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-1767532547794 | No / 31.0¢ | +30.00 | $9.3 | |
| 5h | 0xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-1767532547794 | No / 31.0¢ | +30.00 | $9.3 | |
| 5h | Colala | Yes / 69.0¢ | +30.00 | $20.7 | |
| 5h | HerrieDavis | No / 31.0¢ | -20.00 | $6.2 | |
| 5h | 0xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-1767532547794 | No / 31.0¢ | +157.41 | $48.8 | |
| 5h | Contrarian - 7451 | Yes / 69.0¢ | +137.41 | $94.8 | |
| 5h | Contrarian - 7451 | Yes / 71.0¢ | +60.36 | $42.9 | |
| 5h | KenneyG | Yes / 70.0¢ | +11.04 | $7.73 | |
| 5h | Valen9 | Yes / 70.1¢ | -1,115.93 | $782 | |
| 5h | Sylvester.the.Cat | Yes / 70.0¢ | +22.00 | $15.4 | |
| 5h | HerrieDavis | No / 29.0¢ | -20.00 | $5.8 | |
| 5h | 0xf94c88Ba416Fbd8f782420b7218E3Aa46c72E742-1778243234400 | Yes / 71.0¢ | +2.53 | $1.8 | |
| 5h | Sylvester.the.Cat | Yes / 70.0¢ | +1,000.00 | $700 | |
| 7h | 0xf94c88Ba416Fbd8f782420b7218E3Aa46c72E742-1778243234400 | Yes / 71.0¢ | +2.56 | $1.82 | |
| 7h | lottonakamoto | No / 28.0¢ | +2.24 | $0.63 | |
| 7h | 0xF1ADDd3C7e01dF23C3258EC690BBEf8896546979-1774575209559 | Yes / 71.0¢ | -2.56 | $1.82 |
1–25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 87%$23.6Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$2.37Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 66%$24Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 82%$18.8Mvolume
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 81%$37.4Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
No 98%$64.7Mvolume