
Volume
$713K
Txns
17,731
Traders
1,629
Fees
$64
Liquidity
$19,359
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET: - Trump out as President - China invades Taiwan - Xi Jinping out - U.S. invades Iran - Iranian regime falls - Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’ - Jeffrey Epstein alive - Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate - Russia invades a NATO country - Trump acquires Greenland - 9.0 or above earthquake - Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) - Major meteor strike (250kt+) Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf
Trades
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
Yes 100%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 100%$0volume
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
No 66%$0volume
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
No 92%$0volume
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 77%$0volume
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
No 51%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37m | otakakot | Yes / 75.0¢ | +15.35 | $11.5 | |
| 37m | LornaPredicts | No / 25.0¢ | +15.35 | $3.84 | |
| 11h | Oklmntrader | No / 26.0¢ | -3.85 | $1 | |
| 11h | 0x5cbfEdB672f0FB6Ae3939dD75B1316508DA40dFA-1769320534956 | No / 26.0¢ | +3.85 | $1 | |
| 15h | 0xc75497C019d49dBf535a3f24B36CD1742182bb99-1772392705189 | Yes / 74.0¢ | -1.58 | $1.17 | |
| 15h | Oklmntrader | No / 26.0¢ | -1.58 | $0.41 | |
| 22h | spordsde | No / 25.0¢ | +100.00 | $25 | |
| 22h | hetaoban | No / 25.0¢ | -100.00 | $25 | |
| 22h | nowsnow | No / 25.0¢ | -68.00 | $17 | |
| 22h | spordsde | No / 25.0¢ | +68.00 | $17 | |
| 1d | ViscaElBarca | No / 23.0¢ | -9.77 | $2.25 | |
| 1d | LornaPredicts | No / 23.0¢ | +9.77 | $2.25 | |
| 1d | return-of-the-king | No / 23.0¢ | -9.77 | $2.25 | |
| 1d | ViscaElBarca | No / 23.0¢ | +9.77 | $2.25 | |
| 1d | Ersicolus | No / 25.0¢ | +100.00 | $25 | |
| 1d | LornaPredicts | Yes / 75.0¢ | +36.16 | $27.1 | |
| 1d | Haradwaith | No / 25.0¢ | -13.84 | $3.46 | |
| 1d | Crayon | No / 25.0¢ | -50.00 | $12.5 | |
| 1d | ViscaElBarca | No / 23.0¢ | -1.58 | $0.36 | |
| 1d | LornaPredicts | No / 23.0¢ | +1.58 | $0.36 | |
| 1d | ViscaElBarca | No / 23.0¢ | +1.58 | $0.36 | |
| 1d | 0xc75497C019d49dBf535a3f24B36CD1742182bb99-1772392705189 | Yes / 77.0¢ | +1.58 | $1.22 | |
| 1d | return-of-the-king | No / 24.0¢ | -50.00 | $12 | |
| 1d | buzzedballs | Yes / 76.0¢ | +10.00 | $7.6 | |
| 1d | 0x24321322b33abD6850aC01b7EDE4211 | No / 24.0¢ | +60.00 | $14.4 |
1–25