Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
ActiveVolume
$615K
Txns
9,175
Traders
1,452
Fees
$58
Liquidity
$44,790
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
Volume
$615K
Txns
9,175
Traders
1,452
Fees
$58
Liquidity
$44,790
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET: - Trump out as President - China invades Taiwan - Xi Jinping out - U.S. invades Iran - Iranian regime falls - Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’ - Jeffrey Epstein alive - Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate - Russia invades a NATO country - Trump acquires Greenland - 9.0 or above earthquake - Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) - Major meteor strike (250kt+) Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 89%$26.2Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$4.98Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 73%$25.4Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 89%$3.2Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 80%$19.7Mvolume
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 81%$37.6Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19m | 0xAa7575ba25247c8eb4C23DFeB39b0237fb59a864-1749118418017 | Yes / 68.0¢ | +9.14 | $6.22 | |
| 19m | lordgamble | Yes / 68.0¢ | -9.14 | $6.22 | |
| 20m | Colala | Yes / 69.0¢ | +30.00 | $20.7 | |
| 20m | corsur4 | No / 31.0¢ | +30.00 | $9.3 | |
| 20m | corsur4 | Yes / 70.0¢ | +275.00 | $193 | |
| 20m | ludka228 | Yes / 69.0¢ | +15.00 | $10.3 | |
| 20m | HerrieDavis | No / 30.0¢ | -50.00 | $15 | |
| 20m | ludka228 | Yes / 70.0¢ | +15.00 | $10.5 | |
| 20m | Haradwaith | Yes / 69.0¢ | +50.10 | $34.6 | |
| 20m | ultralisk | Yes / 70.0¢ | +50.00 | $35 | |
| 20m | lordgamble | Yes / 69.0¢ | +9.14 | $6.31 | |
| 20m | kaninkungen | Yes / 70.0¢ | +100.00 | $70 | |
| 20m | Apple12345 | Yes / 69.9¢ | -697.61 | $488 | |
| 20m | lottonakamoto | No / 30.0¢ | -98.79 | $29.6 | |
| 20m | Contrarian - 7451 | Yes / 70.0¢ | +34.58 | $24.2 | |
| 2h | Jayjay8899 | Yes / 70.0¢ | -50.00 | $35 | |
| 2h | Contrarian - 7451 | Yes / 70.0¢ | +50.00 | $35 | |
| 2h | Idapro555 | Yes / 71.0¢ | +20.00 | $14.2 | |
| 2h | Schnorrer | Yes / 71.0¢ | -12.00 | $8.52 | |
| 2h | 0xA3af760e15e6B6bd3C43d8cf2AE6952F0a9bB7a6-1720875307802 | Yes / 71.0¢ | -8.00 | $5.68 | |
| 4h | Contrarian - 7451 | Yes / 70.0¢ | +3.33 | $2.33 | |
| 4h | fred1321 | No / 30.0¢ | +3.33 | $1 | |
| 4h | Contrarian - 7451 | Yes / 70.0¢ | +3.33 | $2.33 | |
| 4h | fred1321 | No / 30.0¢ | +3.33 | $1 | |
| 12h | Contrarian - 7451 | Yes / 70.0¢ | +60.00 | $42 |
1–25